Are we losing water storage capacity mostly due to climate change – Analysis of the landscape hydric potential in selected catchments in East-Central Europe
Are we losing water mostly due to climate change? This study delves into that question. The main innovation of this research lies in developing a methodology that forecasts future shifts in water resources through the use of nondimensional indicators, such as Landscape Hydric Potential (LHP), caused...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2023-10-01
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| Series: | Ecological Indicators |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X23010555 |
| _version_ | 1797683087595798528 |
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| author | Jakub Wojkowski Andrzej Wałęga Dariusz Młyński Artur Radecki-Pawlik Tomáš Lepeška Mikołaj Piniewski Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz |
| author_facet | Jakub Wojkowski Andrzej Wałęga Dariusz Młyński Artur Radecki-Pawlik Tomáš Lepeška Mikołaj Piniewski Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz |
| author_sort | Jakub Wojkowski |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Are we losing water mostly due to climate change? This study delves into that question. The main innovation of this research lies in developing a methodology that forecasts future shifts in water resources through the use of nondimensional indicators, such as Landscape Hydric Potential (LHP), caused by climate change scenarios, land use and land cover (LULC) projections, and a combination of both factors. The LHP method draws upon a range of indicators that shape the geosphere at the catchment scale, namely: hydrogeological conditions, soil conditions, climatic conditions, geomorphological conditions, and LULC. The analysis was carried out for 33 catchments located in the Upper Vistula River Basin in East-Central Europe. The study was conducted in the following stages. First, LHP values were calculated for the present conditions. Subsequently, an analysis of anticipated changes in LULC and in climate were conducted for the near and far future. Lastly, simulations were performed to project how LHP might evolve, considering potential changes in climate and LULC over time. The results have shown that under current climatic conditions, mountainous catchments are characterized by higher LHP values than catchments located in highlands or plains. Agricultural areas are projected to experience the largest changes in LULC. Climatic water balance indicate minimal changes, irrespective of time horizon. Our studies conclude that changes in predicted LULC could have a more significant impact on LHP values than the projected climate change. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T00:09:24Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-ab6e7f753d0043d0860d9bfc9885e2f1 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1470-160X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T00:09:24Z |
| publishDate | 2023-10-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Ecological Indicators |
| spelling | doaj.art-ab6e7f753d0043d0860d9bfc9885e2f12023-09-16T05:30:21ZengElsevierEcological Indicators1470-160X2023-10-01154110913Are we losing water storage capacity mostly due to climate change – Analysis of the landscape hydric potential in selected catchments in East-Central EuropeJakub Wojkowski0Andrzej Wałęga1Dariusz Młyński2Artur Radecki-Pawlik3Tomáš Lepeška4Mikołaj Piniewski5Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz6Department of Ecology, Climatology and Air Protection, University of Agriculture in Kraków, Mickiewicza 24/28, 30-059 Kraków, PolandDepartment of Sanitary Engineering and Water Management, University of Agriculture in Kraków, Mickiewicza 24/28, 30-059 Kraków, PolandDepartment of Sanitary Engineering and Water Management, University of Agriculture in Kraków, Mickiewicza 24/28, 30-059 Kraków, Poland; Corresponding author.Division of Structural Mechanics and Material Mechanics, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Cracow University of Technology, Warszawska 24, 31-155 Kraków, PolandDepartment of Applied Ecology, Faculty of Ecology and Environmental Sciences, Technical University in Zvolen, T. G. Masaryka 24, 960 01 Zvolen, SlovakiaDepartment of Hydraulic Engineering, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, Nowoursynowska 166, 02-787 Warsaw, PolandDepartment of Environmental Engineering and Mechanical Engineering, Poznan University of Life Sciences, Piatkowska 94b, 60-649 Poznan, PolandAre we losing water mostly due to climate change? This study delves into that question. The main innovation of this research lies in developing a methodology that forecasts future shifts in water resources through the use of nondimensional indicators, such as Landscape Hydric Potential (LHP), caused by climate change scenarios, land use and land cover (LULC) projections, and a combination of both factors. The LHP method draws upon a range of indicators that shape the geosphere at the catchment scale, namely: hydrogeological conditions, soil conditions, climatic conditions, geomorphological conditions, and LULC. The analysis was carried out for 33 catchments located in the Upper Vistula River Basin in East-Central Europe. The study was conducted in the following stages. First, LHP values were calculated for the present conditions. Subsequently, an analysis of anticipated changes in LULC and in climate were conducted for the near and far future. Lastly, simulations were performed to project how LHP might evolve, considering potential changes in climate and LULC over time. The results have shown that under current climatic conditions, mountainous catchments are characterized by higher LHP values than catchments located in highlands or plains. Agricultural areas are projected to experience the largest changes in LULC. Climatic water balance indicate minimal changes, irrespective of time horizon. Our studies conclude that changes in predicted LULC could have a more significant impact on LHP values than the projected climate change.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X23010555Climate changeHydrological alterationsLand use/land cover changesLand useAnd hydric potential modeling |
| spellingShingle | Jakub Wojkowski Andrzej Wałęga Dariusz Młyński Artur Radecki-Pawlik Tomáš Lepeška Mikołaj Piniewski Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz Are we losing water storage capacity mostly due to climate change – Analysis of the landscape hydric potential in selected catchments in East-Central Europe Ecological Indicators Climate change Hydrological alterations Land use/land cover changes Land use And hydric potential modeling |
| title | Are we losing water storage capacity mostly due to climate change – Analysis of the landscape hydric potential in selected catchments in East-Central Europe |
| title_full | Are we losing water storage capacity mostly due to climate change – Analysis of the landscape hydric potential in selected catchments in East-Central Europe |
| title_fullStr | Are we losing water storage capacity mostly due to climate change – Analysis of the landscape hydric potential in selected catchments in East-Central Europe |
| title_full_unstemmed | Are we losing water storage capacity mostly due to climate change – Analysis of the landscape hydric potential in selected catchments in East-Central Europe |
| title_short | Are we losing water storage capacity mostly due to climate change – Analysis of the landscape hydric potential in selected catchments in East-Central Europe |
| title_sort | are we losing water storage capacity mostly due to climate change analysis of the landscape hydric potential in selected catchments in east central europe |
| topic | Climate change Hydrological alterations Land use/land cover changes Land use And hydric potential modeling |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X23010555 |
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