Indonesia’s Energy Demand Projection Until 2060

Changes that occur along with the times have consequences for increasing the need for various resources, especially energy. In Indonesia, various changes that occur will also affect the pattern of energy consumption, both qualitatively and quantitatively. This paper describes various aspects relate...

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Main Authors: Edwaren Liun, Suparman Suparman, Sriyana Sriyana, Dharu Dewi, Jupiter Sitorus Pane
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2022-03-01
Series:International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/12794
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author Edwaren Liun
Suparman Suparman
Sriyana Sriyana
Dharu Dewi
Jupiter Sitorus Pane
author_facet Edwaren Liun
Suparman Suparman
Sriyana Sriyana
Dharu Dewi
Jupiter Sitorus Pane
author_sort Edwaren Liun
collection DOAJ
description Changes that occur along with the times have consequences for increasing the need for various resources, especially energy. In Indonesia, various changes that occur will also affect the pattern of energy consumption, both qualitatively and quantitatively. This paper describes various aspects related to change and projects over the next 40 years the pattern and quantitative aspects of energy demand in Indonesia. This study is based on historical data by applying related parameters that influence one another. The methodology used is the application of a modeling system with the software 'Model for Analysis of Energy Demand (MAED)'. The results obtained are a description of Indonesia's energy demand projections until 2060 per sector and the form or type of energy needed. The projection results show that in the next 40 years the total energy demand will increase from 195.0 Mtoe in 2020 to 556.5 Mtoe in 2060. From this amount there is a percentage change in the need for each type of energy between the early years of 2020 to the end of 2060. Motor fuel changed from 28% to 34%, while electricity changed from 24% in 2020 to 28% in 2060. In the demand sector, the share of demand decreased in households from 29% in 2020 to 20% in 2060. While other sectors experienced an increase in share in various values. Transportation rose from 19% to 22%, ACM from 8% to 9%, manufacturing remained 34%, while services rose from 10 to 15%. During study period there two important parameters decrease, those are population growth and energy intensity.
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spelling doaj.art-ab6feb657d48443db5a92beabd6b87542023-02-15T16:22:02ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Energy Economics and Policy2146-45532022-03-0112210.32479/ijeep.12794Indonesia’s Energy Demand Projection Until 2060Edwaren Liun0Suparman Suparman1Sriyana Sriyana2Dharu Dewi3Jupiter Sitorus Pane4Center for Research of Nuclear Energy System, Indonesia.Center for Research of Nuclear Energy System, Indonesia.Center for Research of Nuclear Energy System, IndonesiaCenter for Research of Nuclear Energy System, Indonesia.Center for Research of Reactor Technology and Nuclear Safety, National Research and Innovation Agency, Indonesia. Changes that occur along with the times have consequences for increasing the need for various resources, especially energy. In Indonesia, various changes that occur will also affect the pattern of energy consumption, both qualitatively and quantitatively. This paper describes various aspects related to change and projects over the next 40 years the pattern and quantitative aspects of energy demand in Indonesia. This study is based on historical data by applying related parameters that influence one another. The methodology used is the application of a modeling system with the software 'Model for Analysis of Energy Demand (MAED)'. The results obtained are a description of Indonesia's energy demand projections until 2060 per sector and the form or type of energy needed. The projection results show that in the next 40 years the total energy demand will increase from 195.0 Mtoe in 2020 to 556.5 Mtoe in 2060. From this amount there is a percentage change in the need for each type of energy between the early years of 2020 to the end of 2060. Motor fuel changed from 28% to 34%, while electricity changed from 24% in 2020 to 28% in 2060. In the demand sector, the share of demand decreased in households from 29% in 2020 to 20% in 2060. While other sectors experienced an increase in share in various values. Transportation rose from 19% to 22%, ACM from 8% to 9%, manufacturing remained 34%, while services rose from 10 to 15%. During study period there two important parameters decrease, those are population growth and energy intensity. https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/12794population growthGDP growthenergy intensitytechnological developmentsenergy demand
spellingShingle Edwaren Liun
Suparman Suparman
Sriyana Sriyana
Dharu Dewi
Jupiter Sitorus Pane
Indonesia’s Energy Demand Projection Until 2060
International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
population growth
GDP growth
energy intensity
technological developments
energy demand
title Indonesia’s Energy Demand Projection Until 2060
title_full Indonesia’s Energy Demand Projection Until 2060
title_fullStr Indonesia’s Energy Demand Projection Until 2060
title_full_unstemmed Indonesia’s Energy Demand Projection Until 2060
title_short Indonesia’s Energy Demand Projection Until 2060
title_sort indonesia s energy demand projection until 2060
topic population growth
GDP growth
energy intensity
technological developments
energy demand
url https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/12794
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AT suparmansuparman indonesiasenergydemandprojectionuntil2060
AT sriyanasriyana indonesiasenergydemandprojectionuntil2060
AT dharudewi indonesiasenergydemandprojectionuntil2060
AT jupitersitoruspane indonesiasenergydemandprojectionuntil2060