Credit market development and agricultural production in selected African countries

This study aimed to examine the long and short-run relationships between credit market development and agricultural production using the Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) Bounds test for cointegration, as well as the direction of causality by using the Granger causality test. The results of th...

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Main Author: Zewdie Shikur
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: ERSA 2023-08-01
Series:REGION
Online Access:https://openjournals.wu.ac.at/ojs/index.php/region/article/view/417
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author Zewdie Shikur
author_facet Zewdie Shikur
author_sort Zewdie Shikur
collection DOAJ
description This study aimed to examine the long and short-run relationships between credit market development and agricultural production using the Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) Bounds test for cointegration, as well as the direction of causality by using the Granger causality test. The results of the ARDL Bounds test revealed that institutional credit development had a significant long-run effect on agricultural production in all countries under examination, except for Tunisia; that is: Benin, Kenya, and Nigeria. In the short run, credit market development had a significant and positive effect on agricultural production in Nigeria. By contrast, the effect of credit market development on agricultural production was negative in the short-run in Benin, Kenya, and Tunisia. The result of granger causality test revealed the existence of significant bi-directional causal links between institutional credit development and agricultural production in Benin, Kenya and Nigeria, no significant interdependence was found between the two variables in Tunisia. Capital formation had a significant and positive effect on agricultural production in the long-run and short-run in all countries. Climate change was negatively associated with agricultural production in all countries except for Nigeria. The exchange rates and real interest rates had a negative effect on agricultural production in the long-run and short-run in all countries.
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spelling doaj.art-ab90283dd7b34f5f95b8be72bd3084012023-08-01T09:12:05ZengERSAREGION2409-53702023-08-0110310.18335/region.v10i3.417Credit market development and agricultural production in selected African countriesZewdie Shikur0Wolaita Sodo University This study aimed to examine the long and short-run relationships between credit market development and agricultural production using the Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) Bounds test for cointegration, as well as the direction of causality by using the Granger causality test. The results of the ARDL Bounds test revealed that institutional credit development had a significant long-run effect on agricultural production in all countries under examination, except for Tunisia; that is: Benin, Kenya, and Nigeria. In the short run, credit market development had a significant and positive effect on agricultural production in Nigeria. By contrast, the effect of credit market development on agricultural production was negative in the short-run in Benin, Kenya, and Tunisia. The result of granger causality test revealed the existence of significant bi-directional causal links between institutional credit development and agricultural production in Benin, Kenya and Nigeria, no significant interdependence was found between the two variables in Tunisia. Capital formation had a significant and positive effect on agricultural production in the long-run and short-run in all countries. Climate change was negatively associated with agricultural production in all countries except for Nigeria. The exchange rates and real interest rates had a negative effect on agricultural production in the long-run and short-run in all countries. https://openjournals.wu.ac.at/ojs/index.php/region/article/view/417
spellingShingle Zewdie Shikur
Credit market development and agricultural production in selected African countries
REGION
title Credit market development and agricultural production in selected African countries
title_full Credit market development and agricultural production in selected African countries
title_fullStr Credit market development and agricultural production in selected African countries
title_full_unstemmed Credit market development and agricultural production in selected African countries
title_short Credit market development and agricultural production in selected African countries
title_sort credit market development and agricultural production in selected african countries
url https://openjournals.wu.ac.at/ojs/index.php/region/article/view/417
work_keys_str_mv AT zewdieshikur creditmarketdevelopmentandagriculturalproductioninselectedafricancountries