A “risk-induced” emission mitigation pathway for Kazakhstan

The key goal of this research is to propose a method (and a tool) to explore the evolution of the energy sector in Kazakhstan subject to a flexible “user-defined” criterion (e.g. perception of risk of competitiveness loss for the system), so as to trigger the transition towards the emission reductio...

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Main Authors: Rocco De Miglio, Aidyn Bakdolotov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024-03-01
Series:Energy Strategy Reviews
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X24000397
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author Rocco De Miglio
Aidyn Bakdolotov
author_facet Rocco De Miglio
Aidyn Bakdolotov
author_sort Rocco De Miglio
collection DOAJ
description The key goal of this research is to propose a method (and a tool) to explore the evolution of the energy sector in Kazakhstan subject to a flexible “user-defined” criterion (e.g. perception of risk of competitiveness loss for the system), so as to trigger the transition towards the emission reduction in an “indirect” manner. The undertaken experiments show that risk reduction policies can be very “synergic” with mitigation ambitions, or, in other words, that the transition towards GHG mitigation can be pushed by other forces (rather than by pure environmental concerns only). The potential beneficiaries of such a type of analysis are groups of stakeholders of various nature: decision makers, academia, civil society, experts interested in proposing/testing alternative formulation of the additional criterion of the analysis (risky configuration of the energy mix) and in assessing the impacts on the energy and climate dynamics of Kazakhstan. The “basic” structure of the model (upon which the updated and more targeted version of the model used in this study is built) is available on a collaborative platform. This study is part of the research material that aims to support the investigation of carbon neutrality pathways in Kazakhstan and it can be seen as a continuation and further development of the “Kazakhstan's Road to Net Zero GHG Emission Vision”.
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spelling doaj.art-aba196d82e1242f298a2a958458907332024-03-29T05:49:59ZengElsevierEnergy Strategy Reviews2211-467X2024-03-0152101332A “risk-induced” emission mitigation pathway for KazakhstanRocco De Miglio0Aidyn Bakdolotov1Senior Energy Consultant and Lead Architect of the Energy System Model of Kazakhstan, Italy; Corresponding author.Energy Expert at Economic Research Institute and Astana IT University, KazakhstanThe key goal of this research is to propose a method (and a tool) to explore the evolution of the energy sector in Kazakhstan subject to a flexible “user-defined” criterion (e.g. perception of risk of competitiveness loss for the system), so as to trigger the transition towards the emission reduction in an “indirect” manner. The undertaken experiments show that risk reduction policies can be very “synergic” with mitigation ambitions, or, in other words, that the transition towards GHG mitigation can be pushed by other forces (rather than by pure environmental concerns only). The potential beneficiaries of such a type of analysis are groups of stakeholders of various nature: decision makers, academia, civil society, experts interested in proposing/testing alternative formulation of the additional criterion of the analysis (risky configuration of the energy mix) and in assessing the impacts on the energy and climate dynamics of Kazakhstan. The “basic” structure of the model (upon which the updated and more targeted version of the model used in this study is built) is available on a collaborative platform. This study is part of the research material that aims to support the investigation of carbon neutrality pathways in Kazakhstan and it can be seen as a continuation and further development of the “Kazakhstan's Road to Net Zero GHG Emission Vision”.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X24000397KazakhstanGHG emissions mitigationEnergy systems modelsMulti-criteria decision makingTrade-off analysisModelling of risk
spellingShingle Rocco De Miglio
Aidyn Bakdolotov
A “risk-induced” emission mitigation pathway for Kazakhstan
Energy Strategy Reviews
Kazakhstan
GHG emissions mitigation
Energy systems models
Multi-criteria decision making
Trade-off analysis
Modelling of risk
title A “risk-induced” emission mitigation pathway for Kazakhstan
title_full A “risk-induced” emission mitigation pathway for Kazakhstan
title_fullStr A “risk-induced” emission mitigation pathway for Kazakhstan
title_full_unstemmed A “risk-induced” emission mitigation pathway for Kazakhstan
title_short A “risk-induced” emission mitigation pathway for Kazakhstan
title_sort risk induced emission mitigation pathway for kazakhstan
topic Kazakhstan
GHG emissions mitigation
Energy systems models
Multi-criteria decision making
Trade-off analysis
Modelling of risk
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X24000397
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AT aidynbakdolotov riskinducedemissionmitigationpathwayforkazakhstan