Demand relationships in orange exports to Russia: a differential demand system approach focusing on Egypt

Abstract Recent years have witnessed closer diplomatic relations between Egypt and Russia, which have led to significant growth in the countries’ bilateral agricultural trade. As a world-leading producer and exporter of oranges, these developments represent an opportunity for Egypt to promote its or...

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Main Author: Assem Abu Hatab
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2016-10-01
Series:Agricultural and Food Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40100-016-0066-5
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author Assem Abu Hatab
author_facet Assem Abu Hatab
author_sort Assem Abu Hatab
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description Abstract Recent years have witnessed closer diplomatic relations between Egypt and Russia, which have led to significant growth in the countries’ bilateral agricultural trade. As a world-leading producer and exporter of oranges, these developments represent an opportunity for Egypt to promote its orange exports to Russia. Another emerging opportunity for Egypt to increase its share in the Russian market for imported oranges has been provided by import embargos imposed by Russia in recent years on agricultural and food commodities from several countries, creating a supply gap of around 25 % in the Russian orange market. To assess the competitiveness of Egyptian oranges and explore the potential export opportunities presented by the Russian market, this paper uses a Rotterdam import allocation model to analyse demand relationships among major orange suppliers to Russia during the period 1996–2014. The results show that in comparison with other orange suppliers, Egypt enjoys a strong comparative advantage in the export of oranges to Russia. The econometric results suggest that both Morocco and Egypt would benefit the most if Russia were to allocate a larger budget to the import of oranges. The expenditure elasticity estimates indicate that an increase in Russia’s demand for imported oranges would lead to increases in the quantity of Egypt’s orange exports, as well as in its share of the Russian orange market. Furthermore, cross-price elasticity estimates reveal that Egyptian oranges are substitutes for Turkish and South African oranges, implying that Russia has a tendency to switch to these two suppliers when Egyptian oranges become relatively expensive. In light of these results, the adoption of strategies to produce oranges sustainably and cost-effectively, upgrade the orange value chain, acquire processing technologies and enhance the technical and organisational capacity of farmers and exporters could be useful means for promoting exports and boosting the competitiveness of Egyptian oranges on the Russian market.
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spelling doaj.art-abcd1ee438024b36b0b0e85fb6f64b322022-12-21T17:33:54ZengSpringerOpenAgricultural and Food Economics2193-75322016-10-014111610.1186/s40100-016-0066-5Demand relationships in orange exports to Russia: a differential demand system approach focusing on EgyptAssem Abu Hatab0Department of Economics and Rural Development, Faculty of Environmental Agricultural Sciences, Arish UniversityAbstract Recent years have witnessed closer diplomatic relations between Egypt and Russia, which have led to significant growth in the countries’ bilateral agricultural trade. As a world-leading producer and exporter of oranges, these developments represent an opportunity for Egypt to promote its orange exports to Russia. Another emerging opportunity for Egypt to increase its share in the Russian market for imported oranges has been provided by import embargos imposed by Russia in recent years on agricultural and food commodities from several countries, creating a supply gap of around 25 % in the Russian orange market. To assess the competitiveness of Egyptian oranges and explore the potential export opportunities presented by the Russian market, this paper uses a Rotterdam import allocation model to analyse demand relationships among major orange suppliers to Russia during the period 1996–2014. The results show that in comparison with other orange suppliers, Egypt enjoys a strong comparative advantage in the export of oranges to Russia. The econometric results suggest that both Morocco and Egypt would benefit the most if Russia were to allocate a larger budget to the import of oranges. The expenditure elasticity estimates indicate that an increase in Russia’s demand for imported oranges would lead to increases in the quantity of Egypt’s orange exports, as well as in its share of the Russian orange market. Furthermore, cross-price elasticity estimates reveal that Egyptian oranges are substitutes for Turkish and South African oranges, implying that Russia has a tendency to switch to these two suppliers when Egyptian oranges become relatively expensive. In light of these results, the adoption of strategies to produce oranges sustainably and cost-effectively, upgrade the orange value chain, acquire processing technologies and enhance the technical and organisational capacity of farmers and exporters could be useful means for promoting exports and boosting the competitiveness of Egyptian oranges on the Russian market.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40100-016-0066-5Egyptian orange exportsRussiaImport demandDifferential demand systemRotterdam model
spellingShingle Assem Abu Hatab
Demand relationships in orange exports to Russia: a differential demand system approach focusing on Egypt
Agricultural and Food Economics
Egyptian orange exports
Russia
Import demand
Differential demand system
Rotterdam model
title Demand relationships in orange exports to Russia: a differential demand system approach focusing on Egypt
title_full Demand relationships in orange exports to Russia: a differential demand system approach focusing on Egypt
title_fullStr Demand relationships in orange exports to Russia: a differential demand system approach focusing on Egypt
title_full_unstemmed Demand relationships in orange exports to Russia: a differential demand system approach focusing on Egypt
title_short Demand relationships in orange exports to Russia: a differential demand system approach focusing on Egypt
title_sort demand relationships in orange exports to russia a differential demand system approach focusing on egypt
topic Egyptian orange exports
Russia
Import demand
Differential demand system
Rotterdam model
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40100-016-0066-5
work_keys_str_mv AT assemabuhatab demandrelationshipsinorangeexportstorussiaadifferentialdemandsystemapproachfocusingonegypt