Linear and Non-Linear Trends for Seasonal NO2 and SO2 Concentrations in the Southern Hemisphere (2004−2016)

In order to address the behaviour of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and sulphur dioxide (SO2) in the context of a changing climate, linear and non-linear trends for the concentrations of these two trace gases were estimated over their seasonal standardised variables in the Southern Hemisphere—between the Eq...

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Main Authors: Adrián Yuchechen, Susan Gabriela Lakkis, Pablo Canziani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2017-08-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/9/9/891
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author Adrián Yuchechen
Susan Gabriela Lakkis
Pablo Canziani
author_facet Adrián Yuchechen
Susan Gabriela Lakkis
Pablo Canziani
author_sort Adrián Yuchechen
collection DOAJ
description In order to address the behaviour of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and sulphur dioxide (SO2) in the context of a changing climate, linear and non-linear trends for the concentrations of these two trace gases were estimated over their seasonal standardised variables in the Southern Hemisphere—between the Equator and 60° S—using data retrieved by the Ozone Monitoring Instrument, for the period 2004–2016. A rescaling was applied to the calculated linear trends so that they are expressed in Dobson units (DU) per decade. Separately, the existence of monotonic—not necessarily linear—trends was addressed by means of the Mann-Kendall test. Results indicate that the SO2 exhibits significant linear trends in the planetary boundary layer only; they are present in all the analysed seasons but just in a small number of grid cells that are generally located over the landmasses or close to them. The SO2 concentrations in the quarterly time series exhibit, on average, a linear trend that is just below 0.08 DU decade−1 when significant and not significant values are considered altogether, but this figure increases to 0.80 DU decade−1 when only the significant trends are included. On the other hand, an important number of pixels in the lower troposphere, the middle troposphere, and the lower stratosphere have significant monotonic upward or downward trends. As for the NO2, no significant linear trends were found either in the troposphere or in the stratosphere, yet monotonic upward and downward trends were observed in the former and latter layers, respectively. Unlike the linear trends, semi-linear and non-linear trends were seen over the continents and in remote regions over the oceans. This suggests that pollutants are transported away from their sources by large-scale circulation and redistributed hemispherically. The combination of regional meteorological phenomena with atmospheric chemistry was raised as a possible explanation for the observed trends. If extrapolated, these trends are in an overall contradiction with the projected emissions of both gases for the current century.
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spelling doaj.art-ac0cbcac0d074845b26f236858198f752022-12-21T20:22:22ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922017-08-019989110.3390/rs9090891rs9090891Linear and Non-Linear Trends for Seasonal NO2 and SO2 Concentrations in the Southern Hemisphere (2004−2016)Adrián Yuchechen0Susan Gabriela Lakkis1Pablo Canziani2Universidad Tecnológica Nacional (UTN), Facultad Regional Buenos Aires (FRBA), Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Unidad de Investigación y Desarrollo de las Ingenierías (UIDI), Buenos Aires C1407IVT, ArgentinaPontificia Universidad Católica Argentina, Facultad de Ingeniería y Ciencias Agrarias, Buenos Aires C1107AAZ, ArgentinaUniversidad Tecnológica Nacional (UTN), Facultad Regional Buenos Aires (FRBA), Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Unidad de Investigación y Desarrollo de las Ingenierías (UIDI), Buenos Aires C1407IVT, ArgentinaIn order to address the behaviour of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and sulphur dioxide (SO2) in the context of a changing climate, linear and non-linear trends for the concentrations of these two trace gases were estimated over their seasonal standardised variables in the Southern Hemisphere—between the Equator and 60° S—using data retrieved by the Ozone Monitoring Instrument, for the period 2004–2016. A rescaling was applied to the calculated linear trends so that they are expressed in Dobson units (DU) per decade. Separately, the existence of monotonic—not necessarily linear—trends was addressed by means of the Mann-Kendall test. Results indicate that the SO2 exhibits significant linear trends in the planetary boundary layer only; they are present in all the analysed seasons but just in a small number of grid cells that are generally located over the landmasses or close to them. The SO2 concentrations in the quarterly time series exhibit, on average, a linear trend that is just below 0.08 DU decade−1 when significant and not significant values are considered altogether, but this figure increases to 0.80 DU decade−1 when only the significant trends are included. On the other hand, an important number of pixels in the lower troposphere, the middle troposphere, and the lower stratosphere have significant monotonic upward or downward trends. As for the NO2, no significant linear trends were found either in the troposphere or in the stratosphere, yet monotonic upward and downward trends were observed in the former and latter layers, respectively. Unlike the linear trends, semi-linear and non-linear trends were seen over the continents and in remote regions over the oceans. This suggests that pollutants are transported away from their sources by large-scale circulation and redistributed hemispherically. The combination of regional meteorological phenomena with atmospheric chemistry was raised as a possible explanation for the observed trends. If extrapolated, these trends are in an overall contradiction with the projected emissions of both gases for the current century.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/9/9/891nitrogen dioxidesulphur dioxideconcentrationslinear trendsnon-linear trendsMann-Kendall testSouthern Hemisphere
spellingShingle Adrián Yuchechen
Susan Gabriela Lakkis
Pablo Canziani
Linear and Non-Linear Trends for Seasonal NO2 and SO2 Concentrations in the Southern Hemisphere (2004−2016)
Remote Sensing
nitrogen dioxide
sulphur dioxide
concentrations
linear trends
non-linear trends
Mann-Kendall test
Southern Hemisphere
title Linear and Non-Linear Trends for Seasonal NO2 and SO2 Concentrations in the Southern Hemisphere (2004−2016)
title_full Linear and Non-Linear Trends for Seasonal NO2 and SO2 Concentrations in the Southern Hemisphere (2004−2016)
title_fullStr Linear and Non-Linear Trends for Seasonal NO2 and SO2 Concentrations in the Southern Hemisphere (2004−2016)
title_full_unstemmed Linear and Non-Linear Trends for Seasonal NO2 and SO2 Concentrations in the Southern Hemisphere (2004−2016)
title_short Linear and Non-Linear Trends for Seasonal NO2 and SO2 Concentrations in the Southern Hemisphere (2004−2016)
title_sort linear and non linear trends for seasonal no2 and so2 concentrations in the southern hemisphere 2004 2016
topic nitrogen dioxide
sulphur dioxide
concentrations
linear trends
non-linear trends
Mann-Kendall test
Southern Hemisphere
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/9/9/891
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AT susangabrielalakkis linearandnonlineartrendsforseasonalno2andso2concentrationsinthesouthernhemisphere20042016
AT pablocanziani linearandnonlineartrendsforseasonalno2andso2concentrationsinthesouthernhemisphere20042016