Increase in surface runoff in the central mountains of Mexico: lessons from the past and predictive scenario for the next century
The hydrological response of a medium scale mountainous watershed (Mexico) is analysed over half a century. The hydrograph separation highlights an increasing surface runoff contribution since the early 1970's. This increase is attributed to land use changes while the meteorological forcing (ra...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Copernicus Publications
2010-02-01
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| Series: | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences |
| Online Access: | http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/14/291/2010/hess-14-291-2010.pdf |
| _version_ | 1811263840613040128 |
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| author | N. Gratiot C. Duvert L. Collet D. Vinson J. Némery C. Sáenz-Romero |
| author_facet | N. Gratiot C. Duvert L. Collet D. Vinson J. Némery C. Sáenz-Romero |
| author_sort | N. Gratiot |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The hydrological response of a medium scale mountainous watershed (Mexico) is analysed over half a century. The hydrograph separation highlights an increasing surface runoff contribution since the early 1970's. This increase is attributed to land use changes while the meteorological forcing (rains) remains statistically stable over the same period. As a consequence, the intensity of annual extreme floods has tripled up over the period of survey, increasing flood risks in the region. The paper ends with a climatic projection over the 21st century. The decrease of precipitation and the increase of temperature should accentuate the trend engaged since the 1970's by reducing groundwater resources and increasing surface-runoff and associated risks. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T19:52:19Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-ac1966e04a834e5e865720550f28e6c9 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1027-5606 1607-7938 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T19:52:19Z |
| publishDate | 2010-02-01 |
| publisher | Copernicus Publications |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences |
| spelling | doaj.art-ac1966e04a834e5e865720550f28e6c92022-12-22T03:18:47ZengCopernicus PublicationsHydrology and Earth System Sciences1027-56061607-79382010-02-01142291300Increase in surface runoff in the central mountains of Mexico: lessons from the past and predictive scenario for the next centuryN. GratiotC. DuvertL. ColletD. VinsonJ. NémeryC. Sáenz-RomeroThe hydrological response of a medium scale mountainous watershed (Mexico) is analysed over half a century. The hydrograph separation highlights an increasing surface runoff contribution since the early 1970's. This increase is attributed to land use changes while the meteorological forcing (rains) remains statistically stable over the same period. As a consequence, the intensity of annual extreme floods has tripled up over the period of survey, increasing flood risks in the region. The paper ends with a climatic projection over the 21st century. The decrease of precipitation and the increase of temperature should accentuate the trend engaged since the 1970's by reducing groundwater resources and increasing surface-runoff and associated risks.http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/14/291/2010/hess-14-291-2010.pdf |
| spellingShingle | N. Gratiot C. Duvert L. Collet D. Vinson J. Némery C. Sáenz-Romero Increase in surface runoff in the central mountains of Mexico: lessons from the past and predictive scenario for the next century Hydrology and Earth System Sciences |
| title | Increase in surface runoff in the central mountains of Mexico: lessons from the past and predictive scenario for the next century |
| title_full | Increase in surface runoff in the central mountains of Mexico: lessons from the past and predictive scenario for the next century |
| title_fullStr | Increase in surface runoff in the central mountains of Mexico: lessons from the past and predictive scenario for the next century |
| title_full_unstemmed | Increase in surface runoff in the central mountains of Mexico: lessons from the past and predictive scenario for the next century |
| title_short | Increase in surface runoff in the central mountains of Mexico: lessons from the past and predictive scenario for the next century |
| title_sort | increase in surface runoff in the central mountains of mexico lessons from the past and predictive scenario for the next century |
| url | http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/14/291/2010/hess-14-291-2010.pdf |
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