Stress and pore fluid pressure control of seismicity rate changes following the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, Japan Version 2021125

Abstract We quantitatively examined the influence of pore fluid pressure and coseismic stress changes on the seismicity rate changes that followed the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, on the basis of two approaches. One is a numerical calculation of the classic stress metric of ∆CFS, and the other is an in...

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Main Authors: Kodai Nakagomi, Toshiko Terakawa, Satoshi Matsumoto, Shinichiro Horikawa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2021-01-01
Series:Earth, Planets and Space
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-020-01329-5
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author Kodai Nakagomi
Toshiko Terakawa
Satoshi Matsumoto
Shinichiro Horikawa
author_facet Kodai Nakagomi
Toshiko Terakawa
Satoshi Matsumoto
Shinichiro Horikawa
author_sort Kodai Nakagomi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract We quantitatively examined the influence of pore fluid pressure and coseismic stress changes on the seismicity rate changes that followed the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, on the basis of two approaches. One is a numerical calculation of the classic stress metric of ∆CFS, and the other is an inversion analysis of pore fluid pressure fields with earthquake focal mechanism data. The former calculation demonstrated that seismicity rate changes were consistent with the expectation from ∆CFS in 65% of the target region, whereas they were not in the remaining 35% of the region. The latter analysis indicates that seismicity rates increased in the regions where pore fluid pressure before the Kumamoto earthquake sequence was remarkably enhanced above hydrostatic, regardless of values of ΔCFS. This suggests that the increase in pore fluid pressure is one of the important physical mechanisms triggering aftershock generation. We obtained evidence that pore fluid pressure increased around the southern part of the main rupture zone after the mainshock, examining temporal changes in types of focal mechanism data. The average increases in pore fluid pressure were estimated to be 17, 20, and 17 MPa at depths of 5, 10, and 15 km, respectively. These large increases in pore fluid pressure cannot be explained under the undrained condition. The spatial derivative of the pore fluid pressure field in the depth direction implies that fluid supply from greater depths may have controlled increases in seismicity rates that followed the large earthquake.
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spelling doaj.art-ac69452fb897469c97e9a54d8e8037442022-12-21T22:35:32ZengSpringerOpenEarth, Planets and Space1880-59812021-01-0173111610.1186/s40623-020-01329-5Stress and pore fluid pressure control of seismicity rate changes following the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, Japan Version 2021125Kodai Nakagomi0Toshiko Terakawa1Satoshi Matsumoto2Shinichiro Horikawa3Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya UniversityGraduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya UniversityInstitute of Seismology and Volcanology, Kyushu UniversityTechnical Center of Nagoya University, Nagoya UniversityAbstract We quantitatively examined the influence of pore fluid pressure and coseismic stress changes on the seismicity rate changes that followed the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, on the basis of two approaches. One is a numerical calculation of the classic stress metric of ∆CFS, and the other is an inversion analysis of pore fluid pressure fields with earthquake focal mechanism data. The former calculation demonstrated that seismicity rate changes were consistent with the expectation from ∆CFS in 65% of the target region, whereas they were not in the remaining 35% of the region. The latter analysis indicates that seismicity rates increased in the regions where pore fluid pressure before the Kumamoto earthquake sequence was remarkably enhanced above hydrostatic, regardless of values of ΔCFS. This suggests that the increase in pore fluid pressure is one of the important physical mechanisms triggering aftershock generation. We obtained evidence that pore fluid pressure increased around the southern part of the main rupture zone after the mainshock, examining temporal changes in types of focal mechanism data. The average increases in pore fluid pressure were estimated to be 17, 20, and 17 MPa at depths of 5, 10, and 15 km, respectively. These large increases in pore fluid pressure cannot be explained under the undrained condition. The spatial derivative of the pore fluid pressure field in the depth direction implies that fluid supply from greater depths may have controlled increases in seismicity rates that followed the large earthquake.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-020-01329-5Seismicity rate changeAftershockPore fluid pressureStressCoulomb failure stress changes2016 Kumamoto earthquake
spellingShingle Kodai Nakagomi
Toshiko Terakawa
Satoshi Matsumoto
Shinichiro Horikawa
Stress and pore fluid pressure control of seismicity rate changes following the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, Japan Version 2021125
Earth, Planets and Space
Seismicity rate change
Aftershock
Pore fluid pressure
Stress
Coulomb failure stress changes
2016 Kumamoto earthquake
title Stress and pore fluid pressure control of seismicity rate changes following the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, Japan Version 2021125
title_full Stress and pore fluid pressure control of seismicity rate changes following the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, Japan Version 2021125
title_fullStr Stress and pore fluid pressure control of seismicity rate changes following the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, Japan Version 2021125
title_full_unstemmed Stress and pore fluid pressure control of seismicity rate changes following the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, Japan Version 2021125
title_short Stress and pore fluid pressure control of seismicity rate changes following the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, Japan Version 2021125
title_sort stress and pore fluid pressure control of seismicity rate changes following the 2016 kumamoto earthquake japan version 2021125
topic Seismicity rate change
Aftershock
Pore fluid pressure
Stress
Coulomb failure stress changes
2016 Kumamoto earthquake
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-020-01329-5
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