Advanced Machine Learning Methods for Major Hurricane Forecasting

Hurricanes, rapidly increasing in complexity and strength in a warmer world, are one of the worst natural disasters in the 21st century. Further studies integrating the changing hurricane features are thus crucial to aid in the prediction of major hurricanes. With this in mind, we present a new fram...

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Main Authors: Javier Martinez-Amaya, Cristina Radin, Veronica Nieves
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-12-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/1/119
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author Javier Martinez-Amaya
Cristina Radin
Veronica Nieves
author_facet Javier Martinez-Amaya
Cristina Radin
Veronica Nieves
author_sort Javier Martinez-Amaya
collection DOAJ
description Hurricanes, rapidly increasing in complexity and strength in a warmer world, are one of the worst natural disasters in the 21st century. Further studies integrating the changing hurricane features are thus crucial to aid in the prediction of major hurricanes. With this in mind, we present a new framework based on automated decision tree analysis, which has the capability to identify the most important cloud structural parameters from GOES imagery as predictors for hurricane intensification potential in the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. The proposed framework has been proved effective for predicting major hurricanes with an overall accuracy of 73% from 6 to 54 h in advance (both regions combined).
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spelling doaj.art-ac8a3826a1a94a62a20b167a2887d13d2023-12-02T00:51:01ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922022-12-0115111910.3390/rs15010119Advanced Machine Learning Methods for Major Hurricane ForecastingJavier Martinez-Amaya0Cristina Radin1Veronica Nieves2Image Processing Laboratory, University of Valencia, 46980 Valencia, SpainImage Processing Laboratory, University of Valencia, 46980 Valencia, SpainImage Processing Laboratory, University of Valencia, 46980 Valencia, SpainHurricanes, rapidly increasing in complexity and strength in a warmer world, are one of the worst natural disasters in the 21st century. Further studies integrating the changing hurricane features are thus crucial to aid in the prediction of major hurricanes. With this in mind, we present a new framework based on automated decision tree analysis, which has the capability to identify the most important cloud structural parameters from GOES imagery as predictors for hurricane intensification potential in the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. The proposed framework has been proved effective for predicting major hurricanes with an overall accuracy of 73% from 6 to 54 h in advance (both regions combined).https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/1/119tropical cyclonessevere hurricanesrapid intensificationmachine learninghybrid modelingforecasting
spellingShingle Javier Martinez-Amaya
Cristina Radin
Veronica Nieves
Advanced Machine Learning Methods for Major Hurricane Forecasting
Remote Sensing
tropical cyclones
severe hurricanes
rapid intensification
machine learning
hybrid modeling
forecasting
title Advanced Machine Learning Methods for Major Hurricane Forecasting
title_full Advanced Machine Learning Methods for Major Hurricane Forecasting
title_fullStr Advanced Machine Learning Methods for Major Hurricane Forecasting
title_full_unstemmed Advanced Machine Learning Methods for Major Hurricane Forecasting
title_short Advanced Machine Learning Methods for Major Hurricane Forecasting
title_sort advanced machine learning methods for major hurricane forecasting
topic tropical cyclones
severe hurricanes
rapid intensification
machine learning
hybrid modeling
forecasting
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/1/119
work_keys_str_mv AT javiermartinezamaya advancedmachinelearningmethodsformajorhurricaneforecasting
AT cristinaradin advancedmachinelearningmethodsformajorhurricaneforecasting
AT veronicanieves advancedmachinelearningmethodsformajorhurricaneforecasting