Macro-Econometric Model: Keynesian-Monetarist Synthesis of the International Balance of Payments (The Indonesian Case)

The study of the Keynesian-monetarist synthesis macroeconomic model on Indonesia’s balance of payments combines the goods market and money market approaches to Indonesia’s balance of payments theory. This study used three models of shortness to balance payments: Keynesian, monetarism, and synthesis...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Aris Soelistyo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Pusat Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi (PPPM STIE) 2022-07-01
Series:Journal of Economics, Business & Accountancy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journal.perbanas.ac.id/index.php/jebav/article/view/2606
_version_ 1797305198199177216
author Aris Soelistyo
author_facet Aris Soelistyo
author_sort Aris Soelistyo
collection DOAJ
description The study of the Keynesian-monetarist synthesis macroeconomic model on Indonesia’s balance of payments combines the goods market and money market approaches to Indonesia’s balance of payments theory. This study used three models of shortness to balance payments: Keynesian, monetarism, and synthesis of Keynesian and monetarism methods. Data was used from 1998 to 2019 from International Monetary Fund, international financial statistics, and balance sheet book from Bank Indonesia statistics report. The data is analyzed using reduced-form regression analysis. The results show that based on the monetarist approach to the balance of payments, it is found that the effect of the money multiplier on the international balance of payments; the magnitude of which is strongly influenced by the size of the high-powered money or the monetary base; has a negative effect on the international balance of payments, while the Net Domestic Assets has a positive effect on the international balance of payments. In the Keynesian model of the international balance of payments, it is found that government spending, world income, and domestic prices have a negative effect on Indonesia’s balance of payments. Based on the Keynesian-monetary syntheses approach to the balance of payments, it is found that government spending and domestic prices have a negative effect on the international balance of payments; the higher the level of government spending and the level of domestic prices will reduce foreign exchange reserves. At the same time, an increase in foreign income, in this case, an increase in US GDP, will increase Indonesia’s foreign exchange reserves.
first_indexed 2024-03-08T00:22:10Z
format Article
id doaj.art-ac97f57a73ee4447b3200579e258d32a
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2087-3735
2088-785X
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-08T00:22:10Z
publishDate 2022-07-01
publisher Pusat Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi (PPPM STIE)
record_format Article
series Journal of Economics, Business & Accountancy
spelling doaj.art-ac97f57a73ee4447b3200579e258d32a2024-02-16T05:28:00ZengPusat Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi (PPPM STIE)Journal of Economics, Business & Accountancy2087-37352088-785X2022-07-01251617610.14414/jebav.v25i1.2606Macro-Econometric Model: Keynesian-Monetarist Synthesis of the International Balance of Payments (The Indonesian Case)Aris Soelistyo0Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang, Malang, East Java, IndonesiaThe study of the Keynesian-monetarist synthesis macroeconomic model on Indonesia’s balance of payments combines the goods market and money market approaches to Indonesia’s balance of payments theory. This study used three models of shortness to balance payments: Keynesian, monetarism, and synthesis of Keynesian and monetarism methods. Data was used from 1998 to 2019 from International Monetary Fund, international financial statistics, and balance sheet book from Bank Indonesia statistics report. The data is analyzed using reduced-form regression analysis. The results show that based on the monetarist approach to the balance of payments, it is found that the effect of the money multiplier on the international balance of payments; the magnitude of which is strongly influenced by the size of the high-powered money or the monetary base; has a negative effect on the international balance of payments, while the Net Domestic Assets has a positive effect on the international balance of payments. In the Keynesian model of the international balance of payments, it is found that government spending, world income, and domestic prices have a negative effect on Indonesia’s balance of payments. Based on the Keynesian-monetary syntheses approach to the balance of payments, it is found that government spending and domestic prices have a negative effect on the international balance of payments; the higher the level of government spending and the level of domestic prices will reduce foreign exchange reserves. At the same time, an increase in foreign income, in this case, an increase in US GDP, will increase Indonesia’s foreign exchange reserves.https://journal.perbanas.ac.id/index.php/jebav/article/view/2606macroeconomicskeynesianmonetaristkeynesian-monetarist synthesis
spellingShingle Aris Soelistyo
Macro-Econometric Model: Keynesian-Monetarist Synthesis of the International Balance of Payments (The Indonesian Case)
Journal of Economics, Business & Accountancy
macroeconomics
keynesian
monetarist
keynesian-monetarist synthesis
title Macro-Econometric Model: Keynesian-Monetarist Synthesis of the International Balance of Payments (The Indonesian Case)
title_full Macro-Econometric Model: Keynesian-Monetarist Synthesis of the International Balance of Payments (The Indonesian Case)
title_fullStr Macro-Econometric Model: Keynesian-Monetarist Synthesis of the International Balance of Payments (The Indonesian Case)
title_full_unstemmed Macro-Econometric Model: Keynesian-Monetarist Synthesis of the International Balance of Payments (The Indonesian Case)
title_short Macro-Econometric Model: Keynesian-Monetarist Synthesis of the International Balance of Payments (The Indonesian Case)
title_sort macro econometric model keynesian monetarist synthesis of the international balance of payments the indonesian case
topic macroeconomics
keynesian
monetarist
keynesian-monetarist synthesis
url https://journal.perbanas.ac.id/index.php/jebav/article/view/2606
work_keys_str_mv AT arissoelistyo macroeconometricmodelkeynesianmonetaristsynthesisoftheinternationalbalanceofpaymentstheindonesiancase