An Adaptive Neural Network Approach To Predict The Capital Adequacy Ratio

Financial institutions, policy makers and regulatory authorities need to implement stress tests in order to test both resilience and the consequences of adverse shocks. The European Central Bank and the European Banking Authority regularly conduct these tests, whose importance is more and more evide...

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Main Authors: Giacomo Di Tollo, Gerarda Fattoruso, Bartolomeo Toffano
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Accademia Piceno Aprutina dei Velati 2022-12-01
Series:Ratio Mathematica
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eiris.it/ojs/index.php/ratiomathematica/article/view/841
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author Giacomo Di Tollo
Gerarda Fattoruso
Bartolomeo Toffano
author_facet Giacomo Di Tollo
Gerarda Fattoruso
Bartolomeo Toffano
author_sort Giacomo Di Tollo
collection DOAJ
description Financial institutions, policy makers and regulatory authorities need to implement stress tests in order to test both resilience and the consequences of adverse shocks. The European Central Bank and the European Banking Authority regularly conduct these tests, whose importance is more and more evident after the financial crisis of 2007-2008. The stress tests’ nonlinear features of variables and scenarios triggered the need of general and robust strategies to perform this task. In this paper we want to introduce an adaptive Neural Network approach to predict the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), which is one of the main ratios monitored to retrieve useful information along many stress test procedures. The Neural Network approach is based on a comparison between feed-forward and recurrent networks, and is run after a meaningful pre-processing operations definition. Results show that our approach is able to successfully predict CAR by using both Neural Networks and recurrent networks.
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spelling doaj.art-ad00828f5c8a463f8011041f5f0c5f162023-01-04T16:56:08ZengAccademia Piceno Aprutina dei VelatiRatio Mathematica1592-74152282-82142022-12-0143018320710.23755/rm.v43i0.841628An Adaptive Neural Network Approach To Predict The Capital Adequacy RatioGiacomo Di Tollo0Gerarda Fattoruso1Bartolomeo Toffano2University of SannioUniversity of SannioCa’ Foscari University, VeniceFinancial institutions, policy makers and regulatory authorities need to implement stress tests in order to test both resilience and the consequences of adverse shocks. The European Central Bank and the European Banking Authority regularly conduct these tests, whose importance is more and more evident after the financial crisis of 2007-2008. The stress tests’ nonlinear features of variables and scenarios triggered the need of general and robust strategies to perform this task. In this paper we want to introduce an adaptive Neural Network approach to predict the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), which is one of the main ratios monitored to retrieve useful information along many stress test procedures. The Neural Network approach is based on a comparison between feed-forward and recurrent networks, and is run after a meaningful pre-processing operations definition. Results show that our approach is able to successfully predict CAR by using both Neural Networks and recurrent networks.http://eiris.it/ojs/index.php/ratiomathematica/article/view/841capital adequacy ratiostress tests, neural network approach.
spellingShingle Giacomo Di Tollo
Gerarda Fattoruso
Bartolomeo Toffano
An Adaptive Neural Network Approach To Predict The Capital Adequacy Ratio
Ratio Mathematica
capital adequacy ratio
stress tests, neural network approach.
title An Adaptive Neural Network Approach To Predict The Capital Adequacy Ratio
title_full An Adaptive Neural Network Approach To Predict The Capital Adequacy Ratio
title_fullStr An Adaptive Neural Network Approach To Predict The Capital Adequacy Ratio
title_full_unstemmed An Adaptive Neural Network Approach To Predict The Capital Adequacy Ratio
title_short An Adaptive Neural Network Approach To Predict The Capital Adequacy Ratio
title_sort adaptive neural network approach to predict the capital adequacy ratio
topic capital adequacy ratio
stress tests, neural network approach.
url http://eiris.it/ojs/index.php/ratiomathematica/article/view/841
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AT bartolomeotoffano anadaptiveneuralnetworkapproachtopredictthecapitaladequacyratio
AT giacomoditollo adaptiveneuralnetworkapproachtopredictthecapitaladequacyratio
AT gerardafattoruso adaptiveneuralnetworkapproachtopredictthecapitaladequacyratio
AT bartolomeotoffano adaptiveneuralnetworkapproachtopredictthecapitaladequacyratio