Multimorbidity and mortality

Background: Knowledge about prevalent and deadly combinations of multimorbidity is needed. Objective: To determine the nationwide prevalence of multimorbidity and estimate mortality for the most prevalent combinations of one to five diagnosis groups. Furthermore, to assess the excess mortality of th...

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Main Authors: TG Willadsen, V Siersma, DR Nicolaisdóttir, R Køster-Rasmussen, DE Jarbøl, S Reventlow, SW Mercer, N de Fine Olivarius
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2018-10-01
Series:Journal of Comorbidity
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/2235042X18804063
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author TG Willadsen
V Siersma
DR Nicolaisdóttir
R Køster-Rasmussen
DE Jarbøl
S Reventlow
SW Mercer
N de Fine Olivarius
author_facet TG Willadsen
V Siersma
DR Nicolaisdóttir
R Køster-Rasmussen
DE Jarbøl
S Reventlow
SW Mercer
N de Fine Olivarius
author_sort TG Willadsen
collection DOAJ
description Background: Knowledge about prevalent and deadly combinations of multimorbidity is needed. Objective: To determine the nationwide prevalence of multimorbidity and estimate mortality for the most prevalent combinations of one to five diagnosis groups. Furthermore, to assess the excess mortality of the combination of two groups compared to the product of mortality associated with the single groups. Design: A prospective cohort study using Danish registries and including 3.986.209 people aged ≥18 years on 1 January, 2000. Multimorbidity was defined as having diagnoses from at least 2 of 10 diagnosis groups: lung, musculoskeletal, endocrine, mental, cancer, neurological, gastrointestinal, cardiovascular, kidney, and sensory organs. Logistic regression (odds ratios, ORs) and ratio of ORs (ROR) were used to study mortality and excess mortality. Results: Prevalence of multimorbidity was 7.1% in the Danish population. The most prevalent combination was the musculoskeletal–cardiovascular (0.4%), which had double the mortality (OR, 2.03) compared to persons not belonging to any of the diagnosis groups but showed no excess mortality (ROR, 0.97). The neurological–cancer combination had the highest mortality (OR, 6.35), was less prevalent (0.07%), and had no excess mortality (ROR, 0.94). Cardiovascular–lung was moderately prevalent (0.2%), had high mortality (OR, 5.75), and had excess mortality (ROR, 1.18). Endocrine–kidney had high excess mortality (ROR, 1.81) and cancer–mental had low excess mortality (ROR, 0.66). Mortality increased with the number of groups. Conclusions: All combinations had increased mortality risk with some of them having up to a six-fold increased risk. Mortality increased with the number of diagnosis groups. Most combinations did not increase mortality above that expected, that is, were additive rather than synergistic.
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spelling doaj.art-ad2ccefee9ac40d4b31fa6d9935358ba2022-12-22T00:25:31ZengSAGE PublishingJournal of Comorbidity2235-042X2018-10-01810.1177/2235042X18804063Multimorbidity and mortalityTG Willadsen0V Siersma1DR Nicolaisdóttir2R Køster-Rasmussen3DE Jarbøl4S Reventlow5SW Mercer6N de Fine Olivarius7 The Research Unit for General Practice and Section of General Practice, Institute of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark The Research Unit for General Practice and Section of General Practice, Institute of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark The Research Unit for General Practice and Section of General Practice, Institute of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark The Research Unit for General Practice and Section of General Practice, Institute of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark Department of Public Health, The Research Unit of General Practice, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark The Research Unit for General Practice and Section of General Practice, Institute of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark General Practice and Primary Care, Institute of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland The Research Unit for General Practice and Section of General Practice, Institute of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, DenmarkBackground: Knowledge about prevalent and deadly combinations of multimorbidity is needed. Objective: To determine the nationwide prevalence of multimorbidity and estimate mortality for the most prevalent combinations of one to five diagnosis groups. Furthermore, to assess the excess mortality of the combination of two groups compared to the product of mortality associated with the single groups. Design: A prospective cohort study using Danish registries and including 3.986.209 people aged ≥18 years on 1 January, 2000. Multimorbidity was defined as having diagnoses from at least 2 of 10 diagnosis groups: lung, musculoskeletal, endocrine, mental, cancer, neurological, gastrointestinal, cardiovascular, kidney, and sensory organs. Logistic regression (odds ratios, ORs) and ratio of ORs (ROR) were used to study mortality and excess mortality. Results: Prevalence of multimorbidity was 7.1% in the Danish population. The most prevalent combination was the musculoskeletal–cardiovascular (0.4%), which had double the mortality (OR, 2.03) compared to persons not belonging to any of the diagnosis groups but showed no excess mortality (ROR, 0.97). The neurological–cancer combination had the highest mortality (OR, 6.35), was less prevalent (0.07%), and had no excess mortality (ROR, 0.94). Cardiovascular–lung was moderately prevalent (0.2%), had high mortality (OR, 5.75), and had excess mortality (ROR, 1.18). Endocrine–kidney had high excess mortality (ROR, 1.81) and cancer–mental had low excess mortality (ROR, 0.66). Mortality increased with the number of groups. Conclusions: All combinations had increased mortality risk with some of them having up to a six-fold increased risk. Mortality increased with the number of diagnosis groups. Most combinations did not increase mortality above that expected, that is, were additive rather than synergistic.https://doi.org/10.1177/2235042X18804063
spellingShingle TG Willadsen
V Siersma
DR Nicolaisdóttir
R Køster-Rasmussen
DE Jarbøl
S Reventlow
SW Mercer
N de Fine Olivarius
Multimorbidity and mortality
Journal of Comorbidity
title Multimorbidity and mortality
title_full Multimorbidity and mortality
title_fullStr Multimorbidity and mortality
title_full_unstemmed Multimorbidity and mortality
title_short Multimorbidity and mortality
title_sort multimorbidity and mortality
url https://doi.org/10.1177/2235042X18804063
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AT rkøsterrasmussen multimorbidityandmortality
AT dejarbøl multimorbidityandmortality
AT sreventlow multimorbidityandmortality
AT swmercer multimorbidityandmortality
AT ndefineolivarius multimorbidityandmortality