Serum Lactate Predicts Adverse Outcomes in Emergency Department Patients With and Without Infection

Introduction: Lactate levels are increasingly used to risk stratify emergency department (ED) patients with and without infection. Whether a serum lactate provides similar prognostic value across diseases is not fully elucidated. This study assesses the prognostic value of serum lactate in ED pati...

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Main Authors: Kimie Oedorf, Danielle E. Day, Yotam Lior, Victor Novack, Leon D. Sanchez, Richard E. Wolfe, Hans Kirkegaard, Nathan I. Shapiro, Daniel J. Henning
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: eScholarship Publishing, University of California 2017-02-01
Series:Western Journal of Emergency Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:http://escholarship.org/uc/item/4391g55t.pdf
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author Kimie Oedorf
Danielle E. Day
Yotam Lior
Victor Novack
Leon D. Sanchez
Richard E. Wolfe
Hans Kirkegaard
Nathan I. Shapiro
Daniel J. Henning
author_facet Kimie Oedorf
Danielle E. Day
Yotam Lior
Victor Novack
Leon D. Sanchez
Richard E. Wolfe
Hans Kirkegaard
Nathan I. Shapiro
Daniel J. Henning
author_sort Kimie Oedorf
collection DOAJ
description Introduction: Lactate levels are increasingly used to risk stratify emergency department (ED) patients with and without infection. Whether a serum lactate provides similar prognostic value across diseases is not fully elucidated. This study assesses the prognostic value of serum lactate in ED patients with and without infection to both report and compare relative predictive value across etiologies. Methods: We conducted a prospective, observational study of ED patients displaying abnormal vital signs (AVS) (heart rate ≥130 bpm, respiratory rate ≥24 bpm, shock index ≥1, and/or systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg). The primary outcome, deterioration, was a composite of acute renal failure, non-elective intubation, vasopressor administration or in-hospital mortality. Results: Of the 1,152 patients with AVS who were screened, 488 patients met the current study criteria: 34% deteriorated and 12.5% died. The deterioration rate was 88/342 (26%, 95% CI: 21 – 30%) for lactate < 2.5 mmol/L, 47/90 (52%, 42 – 63%) for lactate 2.5 – 4.0 mmol/L, and 33/46 (72%, 59 – 85%) for lactate >4.0mmol/L. Trended stratified lactate levels were associated with deterioration for both infected (p<0.01) and non-infected (p<0.01) patients. In the logistic regression models, lactate > 4mmol/L was an independent predictor of deterioration for patients with infection (OR 4.8, 95% CI: 1.7 – 14.1) and without infection (OR 4.4, 1.7 – 11.5). Conclusion: Lactate levels can risk stratify patients with AVS who have increased risk of adverse outcomes regardless of infection status. [West J Emerg Med. 2017;18(2)258-266.]
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spelling doaj.art-ad34775700cb4f2ba5fdac82ab9f4d382022-12-21T18:37:23ZengeScholarship Publishing, University of CaliforniaWestern Journal of Emergency Medicine1936-900X1936-90182017-02-0118225826610.5811/westjem.2016.10.31397Serum Lactate Predicts Adverse Outcomes in Emergency Department Patients With and Without InfectionKimie Oedorf0Danielle E. Day1Yotam Lior2Victor Novack3Leon D. Sanchez4Richard E. Wolfe5Hans Kirkegaard6Nathan I. Shapiro7Daniel J. Henning8Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Department of Emergency MedicineBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Department of Emergency MedicineBen-Gurion University of the Negev, Clinical Research Center Soroka University Medical Center, and Faculty of Health SciencesBen-Gurion University of the Negev, Clinical Research Center Soroka University Medical Center, and Faculty of Health SciencesBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Department of Emergency MedicineBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Department of Emergency MedicineAarhus University Hospital, Research Center for Emergency MedicineBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Department of Emergency MedicineBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Department of Emergency MedicineIntroduction: Lactate levels are increasingly used to risk stratify emergency department (ED) patients with and without infection. Whether a serum lactate provides similar prognostic value across diseases is not fully elucidated. This study assesses the prognostic value of serum lactate in ED patients with and without infection to both report and compare relative predictive value across etiologies. Methods: We conducted a prospective, observational study of ED patients displaying abnormal vital signs (AVS) (heart rate ≥130 bpm, respiratory rate ≥24 bpm, shock index ≥1, and/or systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg). The primary outcome, deterioration, was a composite of acute renal failure, non-elective intubation, vasopressor administration or in-hospital mortality. Results: Of the 1,152 patients with AVS who were screened, 488 patients met the current study criteria: 34% deteriorated and 12.5% died. The deterioration rate was 88/342 (26%, 95% CI: 21 – 30%) for lactate < 2.5 mmol/L, 47/90 (52%, 42 – 63%) for lactate 2.5 – 4.0 mmol/L, and 33/46 (72%, 59 – 85%) for lactate >4.0mmol/L. Trended stratified lactate levels were associated with deterioration for both infected (p<0.01) and non-infected (p<0.01) patients. In the logistic regression models, lactate > 4mmol/L was an independent predictor of deterioration for patients with infection (OR 4.8, 95% CI: 1.7 – 14.1) and without infection (OR 4.4, 1.7 – 11.5). Conclusion: Lactate levels can risk stratify patients with AVS who have increased risk of adverse outcomes regardless of infection status. [West J Emerg Med. 2017;18(2)258-266.]http://escholarship.org/uc/item/4391g55t.pdfEmergency DepartmentLactateRisk-stratificationInfection
spellingShingle Kimie Oedorf
Danielle E. Day
Yotam Lior
Victor Novack
Leon D. Sanchez
Richard E. Wolfe
Hans Kirkegaard
Nathan I. Shapiro
Daniel J. Henning
Serum Lactate Predicts Adverse Outcomes in Emergency Department Patients With and Without Infection
Western Journal of Emergency Medicine
Emergency Department
Lactate
Risk-stratification
Infection
title Serum Lactate Predicts Adverse Outcomes in Emergency Department Patients With and Without Infection
title_full Serum Lactate Predicts Adverse Outcomes in Emergency Department Patients With and Without Infection
title_fullStr Serum Lactate Predicts Adverse Outcomes in Emergency Department Patients With and Without Infection
title_full_unstemmed Serum Lactate Predicts Adverse Outcomes in Emergency Department Patients With and Without Infection
title_short Serum Lactate Predicts Adverse Outcomes in Emergency Department Patients With and Without Infection
title_sort serum lactate predicts adverse outcomes in emergency department patients with and without infection
topic Emergency Department
Lactate
Risk-stratification
Infection
url http://escholarship.org/uc/item/4391g55t.pdf
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