Response of Runoff to Extreme Land Use Change in the Permafrost Region of Northeastern China

To study the response of runoff to extreme changes in land use, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to construct historical, extreme, and future scenarios for several major landscape types in a permafrost region of northeastern China. The results show that the SWAT model is appl...

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Main Authors: Peng Hu, Tijiu Cai, Fengxiang Sui, Liangliang Duan, Xiuling Man, Xueqing Cui
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-07-01
Series:Forests
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/12/8/1021
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author Peng Hu
Tijiu Cai
Fengxiang Sui
Liangliang Duan
Xiuling Man
Xueqing Cui
author_facet Peng Hu
Tijiu Cai
Fengxiang Sui
Liangliang Duan
Xiuling Man
Xueqing Cui
author_sort Peng Hu
collection DOAJ
description To study the response of runoff to extreme changes in land use, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to construct historical, extreme, and future scenarios for several major landscape types in a permafrost region of northeastern China. The results show that the SWAT model is applicable in the Tahe River Basin; forestlands, shrublands, wetlands, and grasslands are the main land-use types in this basin, and the transfers among them from 1980–2015 have impacted runoff by less than 5%. Under extreme land use-change scenarios, the simulated runoff decreased from grasslands, to wetlands, shrublands, and finally, forestlands. The conversion of extreme land-use scenarios produces different hydrological effects. When forestland is converted to grassland, runoff increases by 25.32%, when forestland is converted to wetland, runoff increases by 13.34%, and the conversion of shrubland to forestland reduces runoff by 13.25%. In addition, the sensitivity of runoff to different land-use changes was much greater during flood seasons than in dry seasons. Compared to the reference year of 2015, the annual simulated runoff under the two future land-use scenarios (shrublands to forestlands and shrublands to wetland) was less. Also, both future land-use scenarios showed effects to decrease flooding and increased dryness, This study provided important insight into the integrated management of land use and water resources in the Tahe River Basin and the permafrost region of northeastern China.
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spelling doaj.art-ad4113ef94b84b0e8f9f63fa436418ca2023-11-22T07:42:24ZengMDPI AGForests1999-49072021-07-01128102110.3390/f12081021Response of Runoff to Extreme Land Use Change in the Permafrost Region of Northeastern ChinaPeng Hu0Tijiu Cai1Fengxiang Sui2Liangliang Duan3Xiuling Man4Xueqing Cui5School of Forestry, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040, ChinaKey Laboratory of Sustainable Forest Ecosystem Management-Ministry of Education, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040, ChinaCollege of Life Sciences, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040, ChinaSchool of Forestry, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040, ChinaSchool of Forestry, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040, ChinaAcademy of Forest Inventory and Planning, National Forestry and Grassland Administration, Beijing 100714, ChinaTo study the response of runoff to extreme changes in land use, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to construct historical, extreme, and future scenarios for several major landscape types in a permafrost region of northeastern China. The results show that the SWAT model is applicable in the Tahe River Basin; forestlands, shrublands, wetlands, and grasslands are the main land-use types in this basin, and the transfers among them from 1980–2015 have impacted runoff by less than 5%. Under extreme land use-change scenarios, the simulated runoff decreased from grasslands, to wetlands, shrublands, and finally, forestlands. The conversion of extreme land-use scenarios produces different hydrological effects. When forestland is converted to grassland, runoff increases by 25.32%, when forestland is converted to wetland, runoff increases by 13.34%, and the conversion of shrubland to forestland reduces runoff by 13.25%. In addition, the sensitivity of runoff to different land-use changes was much greater during flood seasons than in dry seasons. Compared to the reference year of 2015, the annual simulated runoff under the two future land-use scenarios (shrublands to forestlands and shrublands to wetland) was less. Also, both future land-use scenarios showed effects to decrease flooding and increased dryness, This study provided important insight into the integrated management of land use and water resources in the Tahe River Basin and the permafrost region of northeastern China.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/12/8/1021Chinaland use and cover changepermafrost hydrologyrunoffSWAT model
spellingShingle Peng Hu
Tijiu Cai
Fengxiang Sui
Liangliang Duan
Xiuling Man
Xueqing Cui
Response of Runoff to Extreme Land Use Change in the Permafrost Region of Northeastern China
Forests
China
land use and cover change
permafrost hydrology
runoff
SWAT model
title Response of Runoff to Extreme Land Use Change in the Permafrost Region of Northeastern China
title_full Response of Runoff to Extreme Land Use Change in the Permafrost Region of Northeastern China
title_fullStr Response of Runoff to Extreme Land Use Change in the Permafrost Region of Northeastern China
title_full_unstemmed Response of Runoff to Extreme Land Use Change in the Permafrost Region of Northeastern China
title_short Response of Runoff to Extreme Land Use Change in the Permafrost Region of Northeastern China
title_sort response of runoff to extreme land use change in the permafrost region of northeastern china
topic China
land use and cover change
permafrost hydrology
runoff
SWAT model
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/12/8/1021
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