Large-Scale Vole Population Synchrony in Central Europe Revealed by Kestrel Breeding Performance

Rodents are classical model species to investigate spatial synchrony in population fluctuation. Yet, previous studies have been strongly biased geographically toward high latitude (boreal ecosystem) and limited in their spatial scale, i.e., few sampling sites separated by a few tens of kilometers. B...

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Main Authors: Rémi Fay, Stephanie Michler, Jacques Laesser, Jacques Jeanmonod, Michael Schaub
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fevo.2019.00512/full
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author Rémi Fay
Stephanie Michler
Jacques Laesser
Jacques Jeanmonod
Michael Schaub
author_facet Rémi Fay
Stephanie Michler
Jacques Laesser
Jacques Jeanmonod
Michael Schaub
author_sort Rémi Fay
collection DOAJ
description Rodents are classical model species to investigate spatial synchrony in population fluctuation. Yet, previous studies have been strongly biased geographically toward high latitude (boreal ecosystem) and limited in their spatial scale, i.e., few sampling sites separated by a few tens of kilometers. Both aspects currently limit our understanding of rodent population dynamics across space. In this study we investigate vole population synchrony at a large spatial scale in central Europe. We used long-term breeding success of a vole-eating raptor specialist, the European kestrel, as an indicator of vole abundance. We first demonstrate that the productivity of kestrels is highly dependent on the availability of voles and as such is a good proxy of vole abundance. Secondly, we assessed the spatial synchrony of kestrel productivity and its scaling. We found that kestrel productivity fluctuated synchronously at a large spatial scale, up to a distance of 300 km. This result suggests that vole populations in central Europe varied in synchrony at large spatial scales, similarly as in northern latitudes. The most likely mechanism resulting in such large scale synchrony of vole populations is synchronized density-independent environmental conditions.
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spelling doaj.art-ad5b9b9a87de4a35a968ccf4512dbc122022-12-22T02:42:35ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution2296-701X2020-01-01710.3389/fevo.2019.00512498355Large-Scale Vole Population Synchrony in Central Europe Revealed by Kestrel Breeding PerformanceRémi FayStephanie MichlerJacques LaesserJacques JeanmonodMichael SchaubRodents are classical model species to investigate spatial synchrony in population fluctuation. Yet, previous studies have been strongly biased geographically toward high latitude (boreal ecosystem) and limited in their spatial scale, i.e., few sampling sites separated by a few tens of kilometers. Both aspects currently limit our understanding of rodent population dynamics across space. In this study we investigate vole population synchrony at a large spatial scale in central Europe. We used long-term breeding success of a vole-eating raptor specialist, the European kestrel, as an indicator of vole abundance. We first demonstrate that the productivity of kestrels is highly dependent on the availability of voles and as such is a good proxy of vole abundance. Secondly, we assessed the spatial synchrony of kestrel productivity and its scaling. We found that kestrel productivity fluctuated synchronously at a large spatial scale, up to a distance of 300 km. This result suggests that vole populations in central Europe varied in synchrony at large spatial scales, similarly as in northern latitudes. The most likely mechanism resulting in such large scale synchrony of vole populations is synchronized density-independent environmental conditions.https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fevo.2019.00512/fullFalco tinnunculuspopulation dynamicsprey abundancespatial synchronyspatial autocorrelation
spellingShingle Rémi Fay
Stephanie Michler
Jacques Laesser
Jacques Jeanmonod
Michael Schaub
Large-Scale Vole Population Synchrony in Central Europe Revealed by Kestrel Breeding Performance
Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution
Falco tinnunculus
population dynamics
prey abundance
spatial synchrony
spatial autocorrelation
title Large-Scale Vole Population Synchrony in Central Europe Revealed by Kestrel Breeding Performance
title_full Large-Scale Vole Population Synchrony in Central Europe Revealed by Kestrel Breeding Performance
title_fullStr Large-Scale Vole Population Synchrony in Central Europe Revealed by Kestrel Breeding Performance
title_full_unstemmed Large-Scale Vole Population Synchrony in Central Europe Revealed by Kestrel Breeding Performance
title_short Large-Scale Vole Population Synchrony in Central Europe Revealed by Kestrel Breeding Performance
title_sort large scale vole population synchrony in central europe revealed by kestrel breeding performance
topic Falco tinnunculus
population dynamics
prey abundance
spatial synchrony
spatial autocorrelation
url https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fevo.2019.00512/full
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AT jacqueslaesser largescalevolepopulationsynchronyincentraleuroperevealedbykestrelbreedingperformance
AT jacquesjeanmonod largescalevolepopulationsynchronyincentraleuroperevealedbykestrelbreedingperformance
AT michaelschaub largescalevolepopulationsynchronyincentraleuroperevealedbykestrelbreedingperformance