Conceptual foresight of the volumes of postal money orders in the Republic of Komi
This paper describes a methodology elaborated for forecasting the volume of postal services on the basis of statistical methods of regression analysis on the example of the Republic of Komi. The influence of internal and external factors on the market of postal money orders of the Republic is cons...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Economics of the Ural Branch
2012-03-01
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| Series: | Экономика региона |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.economyofregion.com/archive/2012/39/1436/pdf/ |
| _version_ | 1797764671656165376 |
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| author | Lyubov' Aleksandrovna Kuratova |
| author_facet | Lyubov' Aleksandrovna Kuratova |
| author_sort | Lyubov' Aleksandrovna Kuratova |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This paper describes a methodology elaborated for forecasting the volume of postal services on the basis of statistical methods of
regression analysis on the example of the Republic of Komi. The influence of internal and external factors on the market of postal money
orders of the Republic is constructed and investigated using the statistical regression model of the market of postal money orders of the Komi Republic in the period of 2005–2010. The conceptual foresight of development of the regional market of postal money orders for
2011–2012 is presented. Regression models were analyzed not only for the dynamic sequence of data, but also for sequences of data
on territories, which revealed independent correlated factors which are weakly changing and evolving over time. The presented results
have important practical and methodological significance for predicting both the volume of postal money orders as well as other types
of services. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T20:00:05Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-ad6c9b7cf93344d28286e4d6a5764a88 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2072-6414 2411-1406 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T20:00:05Z |
| publishDate | 2012-03-01 |
| publisher | Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Economics of the Ural Branch |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Экономика региона |
| spelling | doaj.art-ad6c9b7cf93344d28286e4d6a5764a882023-08-02T02:33:00ZengRussian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Economics of the Ural BranchЭкономика региона2072-64142411-14062012-03-012012127528110.17059/2012-1-30Conceptual foresight of the volumes of postal money orders in the Republic of KomiLyubov' Aleksandrovna Kuratova 0Institute for socio-economic and energy problems of the North Komi, Scientific center of the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of SciencesThis paper describes a methodology elaborated for forecasting the volume of postal services on the basis of statistical methods of regression analysis on the example of the Republic of Komi. The influence of internal and external factors on the market of postal money orders of the Republic is constructed and investigated using the statistical regression model of the market of postal money orders of the Komi Republic in the period of 2005–2010. The conceptual foresight of development of the regional market of postal money orders for 2011–2012 is presented. Regression models were analyzed not only for the dynamic sequence of data, but also for sequences of data on territories, which revealed independent correlated factors which are weakly changing and evolving over time. The presented results have important practical and methodological significance for predicting both the volume of postal money orders as well as other types of services.http://www.economyofregion.com/archive/2012/39/1436/pdf/conceptual foresightforecastingregression analysisinternal and external factorsmarket of postal money orders |
| spellingShingle | Lyubov' Aleksandrovna Kuratova Conceptual foresight of the volumes of postal money orders in the Republic of Komi Экономика региона conceptual foresight forecasting regression analysis internal and external factors market of postal money orders |
| title | Conceptual foresight of the volumes of postal money orders in the Republic of Komi |
| title_full | Conceptual foresight of the volumes of postal money orders in the Republic of Komi |
| title_fullStr | Conceptual foresight of the volumes of postal money orders in the Republic of Komi |
| title_full_unstemmed | Conceptual foresight of the volumes of postal money orders in the Republic of Komi |
| title_short | Conceptual foresight of the volumes of postal money orders in the Republic of Komi |
| title_sort | conceptual foresight of the volumes of postal money orders in the republic of komi |
| topic | conceptual foresight forecasting regression analysis internal and external factors market of postal money orders |
| url | http://www.economyofregion.com/archive/2012/39/1436/pdf/ |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT lyubovaleksandrovnakuratova conceptualforesightofthevolumesofpostalmoneyordersintherepublicofkomi |