A Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer Predictive Model Using Digital Rectal Examination Prostate Volume Category to Stratify Initial Prostate Cancer Suspicion and Reduce Magnetic Resonance Imaging Demand

A predictive model including age, PCa family history, biopsy status (initial vs repeat), DRE (normal vs abnormal), serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA), and DRE prostate volume ca-tegory was developed to stratify initial PCa suspicion in 1486 men with PSA > 3 ng/mL and/or abnormal DRE, in whom m...

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Main Authors: Juan Morote, Ángel Borque-Fernando, Marina Triquell, Miriam Campistol, Anna Celma, Lucas Regis, José M. Abascal, Pol Servian, Jacques Planas, Olga Mendez, Luis M. Esteban, Enrique Trilla
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-10-01
Series:Cancers
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/14/20/5100
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author Juan Morote
Ángel Borque-Fernando
Marina Triquell
Miriam Campistol
Anna Celma
Lucas Regis
José M. Abascal
Pol Servian
Jacques Planas
Olga Mendez
Luis M. Esteban
Enrique Trilla
author_facet Juan Morote
Ángel Borque-Fernando
Marina Triquell
Miriam Campistol
Anna Celma
Lucas Regis
José M. Abascal
Pol Servian
Jacques Planas
Olga Mendez
Luis M. Esteban
Enrique Trilla
author_sort Juan Morote
collection DOAJ
description A predictive model including age, PCa family history, biopsy status (initial vs repeat), DRE (normal vs abnormal), serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA), and DRE prostate volume ca-tegory was developed to stratify initial PCa suspicion in 1486 men with PSA > 3 ng/mL and/or abnormal DRE, in whom mpMRI followed; 2- to 4-core TRUS-guided biopsies where Prostate Imaging Report and Data System (PI-RADS) > 3 lesions and/or 12-core TRUS systematic biopsies were performed in one academic institution between 1 January 2016–31 December 2019. The csPCa detection rate, defined as International Society of Uro-Pathology grade group 2 or higher, was 36.9%. An external validation of designed BCN-RC 1 was carried out on 946 men from two other institutions in the same metropolitan area, using the same criteria of PCa suspicion and diagnostic approach, yielded a csPCa detection rate of 40.8%. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of BCN-RC 1 were 0.823 (95% CI: 0.800–0.846) in the development cohort and 0.837 (95% CI: 0.811–0.863) in the validation cohort (<i>p</i> = 0.447). In both cohorts, BCN-RC 1 exhibited net benefit over performing mpMRI in all men from 8 and 12% risk thresholds, respectively. At 0.95 sensitivity of csPCa, the specificities of BCN-RC 1 were 0.24 (95% CI: 0.22–0.26) in the development cohort and 0.34 (95% CI: 0.31–0.37) in the validation cohort (<i>p</i> < 0.001). The percentages of avoided mpMRI scans were 17.2% in the development cohort and 22.3% in the validation cohort, missing between 1.8% and 2% of csPCa among men at risk of PCa. In summary, BCN-RC 1 can stratify initial PCa suspicion, reducing the demand of mpMRI, with an acceptable loss of csPCa.
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spelling doaj.art-ad8312ba5e6147339c7ca721d1945ca82023-11-23T23:21:57ZengMDPI AGCancers2072-66942022-10-011420510010.3390/cancers14205100A Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer Predictive Model Using Digital Rectal Examination Prostate Volume Category to Stratify Initial Prostate Cancer Suspicion and Reduce Magnetic Resonance Imaging DemandJuan Morote0Ángel Borque-Fernando1Marina Triquell2Miriam Campistol3Anna Celma4Lucas Regis5José M. Abascal6Pol Servian7Jacques Planas8Olga Mendez9Luis M. Esteban10Enrique Trilla11Department of Urology and Surgery, Vall d’Hebron Hospital and Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08035 Barcelona, SpainDepartment of Urology, Hospital Miguel Servet, IIS-Aragon, 50009 Zaragoza, SpainDepartment of Urology and Surgery, Vall d’Hebron Hospital and Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08035 Barcelona, SpainDepartment of Urology and Surgery, Vall d’Hebron Hospital and Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08035 Barcelona, SpainDepartment of Urology and Surgery, Vall d’Hebron Hospital and Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08035 Barcelona, SpainDepartment of Urology and Surgery, Vall d’Hebron Hospital and Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08035 Barcelona, SpainDepartments of Urology and Surgery, Parc de Salut Mar and Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 08003 Barcelona, SpainDepartment of Urology, Hospital Germans Trias I Pujol, 08916 Badalona, SpainDepartment of Urology and Surgery, Vall d’Hebron Hospital and Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08035 Barcelona, SpainUrology Biomedical Research Unit, Vall d´Hebron Research Institute, 08035 Barcelona, SpainDepartment of Applied Mathematics, Escuela Universitaria Politécnica La Almunia, Universidad de Zaragoza, 50100 Zaragoza, SpainDepartment of Urology and Surgery, Vall d’Hebron Hospital and Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08035 Barcelona, SpainA predictive model including age, PCa family history, biopsy status (initial vs repeat), DRE (normal vs abnormal), serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA), and DRE prostate volume ca-tegory was developed to stratify initial PCa suspicion in 1486 men with PSA > 3 ng/mL and/or abnormal DRE, in whom mpMRI followed; 2- to 4-core TRUS-guided biopsies where Prostate Imaging Report and Data System (PI-RADS) > 3 lesions and/or 12-core TRUS systematic biopsies were performed in one academic institution between 1 January 2016–31 December 2019. The csPCa detection rate, defined as International Society of Uro-Pathology grade group 2 or higher, was 36.9%. An external validation of designed BCN-RC 1 was carried out on 946 men from two other institutions in the same metropolitan area, using the same criteria of PCa suspicion and diagnostic approach, yielded a csPCa detection rate of 40.8%. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of BCN-RC 1 were 0.823 (95% CI: 0.800–0.846) in the development cohort and 0.837 (95% CI: 0.811–0.863) in the validation cohort (<i>p</i> = 0.447). In both cohorts, BCN-RC 1 exhibited net benefit over performing mpMRI in all men from 8 and 12% risk thresholds, respectively. At 0.95 sensitivity of csPCa, the specificities of BCN-RC 1 were 0.24 (95% CI: 0.22–0.26) in the development cohort and 0.34 (95% CI: 0.31–0.37) in the validation cohort (<i>p</i> < 0.001). The percentages of avoided mpMRI scans were 17.2% in the development cohort and 22.3% in the validation cohort, missing between 1.8% and 2% of csPCa among men at risk of PCa. In summary, BCN-RC 1 can stratify initial PCa suspicion, reducing the demand of mpMRI, with an acceptable loss of csPCa.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/14/20/5100prostate cancersuspicionclinically significantpredictive modelrisk calculatorexternal validation
spellingShingle Juan Morote
Ángel Borque-Fernando
Marina Triquell
Miriam Campistol
Anna Celma
Lucas Regis
José M. Abascal
Pol Servian
Jacques Planas
Olga Mendez
Luis M. Esteban
Enrique Trilla
A Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer Predictive Model Using Digital Rectal Examination Prostate Volume Category to Stratify Initial Prostate Cancer Suspicion and Reduce Magnetic Resonance Imaging Demand
Cancers
prostate cancer
suspicion
clinically significant
predictive model
risk calculator
external validation
title A Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer Predictive Model Using Digital Rectal Examination Prostate Volume Category to Stratify Initial Prostate Cancer Suspicion and Reduce Magnetic Resonance Imaging Demand
title_full A Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer Predictive Model Using Digital Rectal Examination Prostate Volume Category to Stratify Initial Prostate Cancer Suspicion and Reduce Magnetic Resonance Imaging Demand
title_fullStr A Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer Predictive Model Using Digital Rectal Examination Prostate Volume Category to Stratify Initial Prostate Cancer Suspicion and Reduce Magnetic Resonance Imaging Demand
title_full_unstemmed A Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer Predictive Model Using Digital Rectal Examination Prostate Volume Category to Stratify Initial Prostate Cancer Suspicion and Reduce Magnetic Resonance Imaging Demand
title_short A Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer Predictive Model Using Digital Rectal Examination Prostate Volume Category to Stratify Initial Prostate Cancer Suspicion and Reduce Magnetic Resonance Imaging Demand
title_sort clinically significant prostate cancer predictive model using digital rectal examination prostate volume category to stratify initial prostate cancer suspicion and reduce magnetic resonance imaging demand
topic prostate cancer
suspicion
clinically significant
predictive model
risk calculator
external validation
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/14/20/5100
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