Testing on Market Efficiency of the Cacao Commodity for the Futures Market in Jakarta Future Exchange

<p>The investigation of the efficient market validity hypothesis is a favorite topic in financial literature. However, there are still limited research on futures market commodity, especially the futures market in Indonesia. The objectives of this study were to analyze the development of cacao...

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Main Authors: Ria Maulida, Lukytawati Anggraeni, Samsul Hidayat Pasaribu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Bogor Agricultural University 2018-03-01
Series:Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.ipb.ac.id/index.php/jmagr/article/view/18093
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author Ria Maulida
Lukytawati Anggraeni
Samsul Hidayat Pasaribu
author_facet Ria Maulida
Lukytawati Anggraeni
Samsul Hidayat Pasaribu
author_sort Ria Maulida
collection DOAJ
description <p>The investigation of the efficient market validity hypothesis is a favorite topic in financial literature. However, there are still limited research on futures market commodity, especially the futures market in Indonesia. The objectives of this study were to analyze the development of cacao commodity futures market trading and determine its market efficiency. This study used value of trading volume, daily spot price and futures price of cacao commodity trading market from December 2011 to December 2016. Descriptive analysis showed that the development of cacao commodity futures trading market from value of trading volume of cacao commodity experienced fluctuating growth between -126.050% and 39.480%, and average growth of cacao by -6.462%. Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) root test, Augmented Engle Granger (AEG) Error Correction Model Test (ECM) were used as the bases for the analyses. The results of the study showed that cocoa commodity futures market in Indonesia is an efficient market and contained risk premium. The implication of this research for market participants or investors is that they may choose to carry out hedging activities because cacao is an efficient market in the short term and contains risk premium.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-ad9061d2d3bf4a3c852775a4a5a6d7782022-12-21T19:40:32ZengBogor Agricultural UniversityJurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis1693-58532407-25242018-03-0115110.17358/jma.15.1.5313989Testing on Market Efficiency of the Cacao Commodity for the Futures Market in Jakarta Future ExchangeRia Maulida0Lukytawati Anggraeni1Samsul Hidayat Pasaribu2School of Business, Bogor Agricultural UniversityDepartement of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, Bogor Agricuture UnivesrsityDepartement of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, Bogor Agricuture Univesrsity<p>The investigation of the efficient market validity hypothesis is a favorite topic in financial literature. However, there are still limited research on futures market commodity, especially the futures market in Indonesia. The objectives of this study were to analyze the development of cacao commodity futures market trading and determine its market efficiency. This study used value of trading volume, daily spot price and futures price of cacao commodity trading market from December 2011 to December 2016. Descriptive analysis showed that the development of cacao commodity futures trading market from value of trading volume of cacao commodity experienced fluctuating growth between -126.050% and 39.480%, and average growth of cacao by -6.462%. Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) root test, Augmented Engle Granger (AEG) Error Correction Model Test (ECM) were used as the bases for the analyses. The results of the study showed that cocoa commodity futures market in Indonesia is an efficient market and contained risk premium. The implication of this research for market participants or investors is that they may choose to carry out hedging activities because cacao is an efficient market in the short term and contains risk premium.</p>http://journal.ipb.ac.id/index.php/jmagr/article/view/18093market efficiencycacao commodityvalue of trading volumefutures marketrisk premium
spellingShingle Ria Maulida
Lukytawati Anggraeni
Samsul Hidayat Pasaribu
Testing on Market Efficiency of the Cacao Commodity for the Futures Market in Jakarta Future Exchange
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis
market efficiency
cacao commodity
value of trading volume
futures market
risk premium
title Testing on Market Efficiency of the Cacao Commodity for the Futures Market in Jakarta Future Exchange
title_full Testing on Market Efficiency of the Cacao Commodity for the Futures Market in Jakarta Future Exchange
title_fullStr Testing on Market Efficiency of the Cacao Commodity for the Futures Market in Jakarta Future Exchange
title_full_unstemmed Testing on Market Efficiency of the Cacao Commodity for the Futures Market in Jakarta Future Exchange
title_short Testing on Market Efficiency of the Cacao Commodity for the Futures Market in Jakarta Future Exchange
title_sort testing on market efficiency of the cacao commodity for the futures market in jakarta future exchange
topic market efficiency
cacao commodity
value of trading volume
futures market
risk premium
url http://journal.ipb.ac.id/index.php/jmagr/article/view/18093
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AT lukytawatianggraeni testingonmarketefficiencyofthecacaocommodityforthefuturesmarketinjakartafutureexchange
AT samsulhidayatpasaribu testingonmarketefficiencyofthecacaocommodityforthefuturesmarketinjakartafutureexchange