Detection of Breaks in a Capital Structure: a Case Study

The main goal of this paper is to present an analysis of financial quarterly time series describing the level of book leverage of U.S. companies selected from different industries in the period 1991–2014. The basic question is whether the sub-prime crisis 2007–2008 caused a change in the behavior of...

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Main Authors: Jaromír Antoch, Daniela Jarušková
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Czech Statistical Office 2017-03-01
Series:Statistika: Statistics and Economy Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.czso.cz/documents/10180/45606527/32019717q1032.pdf/3a0e1167-6a34-4f76-a032-38505e36696f?version=1.0
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author Jaromír Antoch
Daniela Jarušková
author_facet Jaromír Antoch
Daniela Jarušková
author_sort Jaromír Antoch
collection DOAJ
description The main goal of this paper is to present an analysis of financial quarterly time series describing the level of book leverage of U.S. companies selected from different industries in the period 1991–2014. The basic question is whether the sub-prime crisis 2007–2008 caused a change in the behavior of the respective companies. More generally, we are interested whether the time series may be considered stationary. Statistical methods suitable for the detection of breaks (changes) for individual and panel data are presented together with their pros and cons. Against our expectations, the analysis did not reveal a significant change due to the sub-prime crisis. On the other hand, all series contain at least one change, most of the changes occurring around the year 2000, thus offering room for an economic explanation.
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spelling doaj.art-add6614c1ed344369193f02d360575c92022-12-21T17:30:43ZengCzech Statistical OfficeStatistika: Statistics and Economy Journal0322-788X1804-87652017-03-019713243Detection of Breaks in a Capital Structure: a Case StudyJaromír Antoch0Daniela Jarušková1Charles University, Prague, Czech RepublicCzech Technical University, Prague, Czech RepublicThe main goal of this paper is to present an analysis of financial quarterly time series describing the level of book leverage of U.S. companies selected from different industries in the period 1991–2014. The basic question is whether the sub-prime crisis 2007–2008 caused a change in the behavior of the respective companies. More generally, we are interested whether the time series may be considered stationary. Statistical methods suitable for the detection of breaks (changes) for individual and panel data are presented together with their pros and cons. Against our expectations, the analysis did not reveal a significant change due to the sub-prime crisis. On the other hand, all series contain at least one change, most of the changes occurring around the year 2000, thus offering room for an economic explanation.https://www.czso.cz/documents/10180/45606527/32019717q1032.pdf/3a0e1167-6a34-4f76-a032-38505e36696f?version=1.0Change point problemabruptgradual and multiple changesstationarity in the meansum and maximal test statisticspanel databook leverage
spellingShingle Jaromír Antoch
Daniela Jarušková
Detection of Breaks in a Capital Structure: a Case Study
Statistika: Statistics and Economy Journal
Change point problem
abrupt
gradual and multiple changes
stationarity in the mean
sum and maximal test statistics
panel data
book leverage
title Detection of Breaks in a Capital Structure: a Case Study
title_full Detection of Breaks in a Capital Structure: a Case Study
title_fullStr Detection of Breaks in a Capital Structure: a Case Study
title_full_unstemmed Detection of Breaks in a Capital Structure: a Case Study
title_short Detection of Breaks in a Capital Structure: a Case Study
title_sort detection of breaks in a capital structure a case study
topic Change point problem
abrupt
gradual and multiple changes
stationarity in the mean
sum and maximal test statistics
panel data
book leverage
url https://www.czso.cz/documents/10180/45606527/32019717q1032.pdf/3a0e1167-6a34-4f76-a032-38505e36696f?version=1.0
work_keys_str_mv AT jaromirantoch detectionofbreaksinacapitalstructureacasestudy
AT danielajaruskova detectionofbreaksinacapitalstructureacasestudy