Intelligent forecasting system for rooftop solar plants

The dependency of the off-grid customer on a non-conventional energy sources like solar energy is always not suggested due to the intermittent nature of the power generated. Forecasting the output power helps even the amateur solar roof top consumers to make plan of their self-consumption strategies...

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Main Authors: Vasudha Hegde, Prajwal S
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIP Publishing LLC 2023-10-01
Series:AIP Advances
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/5.0165153
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author Vasudha Hegde
Prajwal S
author_facet Vasudha Hegde
Prajwal S
author_sort Vasudha Hegde
collection DOAJ
description The dependency of the off-grid customer on a non-conventional energy sources like solar energy is always not suggested due to the intermittent nature of the power generated. Forecasting the output power helps even the amateur solar roof top consumers to make plan of their self-consumption strategies and also make necessary arrangements for alternate source of energy while minimizing their dependencies on energy storage devices to a great extent. One of the major difficulties faced during the forecasting is procurement of the authentic and accurate digital data since the accuracy of the implemented algorithm depends on many parameters. This work presents a low cost solution for roof top solar plants using intelligent technique. This implemented system has two parts, first one for acquisition and digitization of data with Internet of Things (IoT) and Raspberry Pi and the other part is building a day ahead forecasting model using the deep learning 2D convolution approach with the temporal resolution of 1 h. The data acquisition system collects the power related parameters, such as voltage, current, frequency, active power, and power factor and the related weather parameters, such as temperature, light intensity, and humidity and then appends into Google Sheets using IoT. The error in forecasting the solar power output using these data for 12 months is found to be 11.55%.
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spelling doaj.art-ae1573b4034b410ab80b4a7f4cda2d132023-11-07T17:47:01ZengAIP Publishing LLCAIP Advances2158-32262023-10-011310105102105102-810.1063/5.0165153Intelligent forecasting system for rooftop solar plantsVasudha Hegde0Prajwal S1Department of E&EE, Nitte Meenakshi Institute of Technology, Bengaluru, Karnataka, IndiaREConnect Energy Solutions Pvt. Ltd, Bengaluru, Karnataka, IndiaThe dependency of the off-grid customer on a non-conventional energy sources like solar energy is always not suggested due to the intermittent nature of the power generated. Forecasting the output power helps even the amateur solar roof top consumers to make plan of their self-consumption strategies and also make necessary arrangements for alternate source of energy while minimizing their dependencies on energy storage devices to a great extent. One of the major difficulties faced during the forecasting is procurement of the authentic and accurate digital data since the accuracy of the implemented algorithm depends on many parameters. This work presents a low cost solution for roof top solar plants using intelligent technique. This implemented system has two parts, first one for acquisition and digitization of data with Internet of Things (IoT) and Raspberry Pi and the other part is building a day ahead forecasting model using the deep learning 2D convolution approach with the temporal resolution of 1 h. The data acquisition system collects the power related parameters, such as voltage, current, frequency, active power, and power factor and the related weather parameters, such as temperature, light intensity, and humidity and then appends into Google Sheets using IoT. The error in forecasting the solar power output using these data for 12 months is found to be 11.55%.http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/5.0165153
spellingShingle Vasudha Hegde
Prajwal S
Intelligent forecasting system for rooftop solar plants
AIP Advances
title Intelligent forecasting system for rooftop solar plants
title_full Intelligent forecasting system for rooftop solar plants
title_fullStr Intelligent forecasting system for rooftop solar plants
title_full_unstemmed Intelligent forecasting system for rooftop solar plants
title_short Intelligent forecasting system for rooftop solar plants
title_sort intelligent forecasting system for rooftop solar plants
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/5.0165153
work_keys_str_mv AT vasudhahegde intelligentforecastingsystemforrooftopsolarplants
AT prajwals intelligentforecastingsystemforrooftopsolarplants