The dynamics of two-stage contagion

We explore simple models aimed at the study of social contagion, in which contagion proceeds through two stages. When coupled with demographic turnover, we show that two-stage contagion leads to nonlinear phenomena which are not present in the basic ‘classical’ models of mathematical epidemiology. T...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Guy Katriel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2019-06-01
Series:Chaos, Solitons & Fractals: X
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590054419300090
Description
Summary:We explore simple models aimed at the study of social contagion, in which contagion proceeds through two stages. When coupled with demographic turnover, we show that two-stage contagion leads to nonlinear phenomena which are not present in the basic ‘classical’ models of mathematical epidemiology. These include: bistability, critical transitions, endogenous oscillations, and excitability, suggesting that contagion models with stages could account for some aspects of the complex dynamics encountered in social life. These phenomena, and the bifurcations involved, are studied by a combination of analytical and numerical means. Keywords: Two-stage contagion, Social contagion, Bifurcation, Bistability, Oscillation, MSC: 97M70, 34C23, 34C25
ISSN:2590-0544