Impact of economic sectors on inflation rate: Evidence from Ethiopia

It is unclear how sectoral growth in the agriculture, industrial, and service sectors affects inflation, and the topic is also quite rare. Accordingly, the researchers in this paper examine the long- and short-term effects of agriculture, service, and industry sectors on inflation rates. In order to...

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Main Authors: Endashaw Sisay, Wondimhunegn Atilaw, Tecklebirhan Adisu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2022-12-01
Series:Cogent Economics & Finance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2022.2123889
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author Endashaw Sisay
Wondimhunegn Atilaw
Tecklebirhan Adisu
author_facet Endashaw Sisay
Wondimhunegn Atilaw
Tecklebirhan Adisu
author_sort Endashaw Sisay
collection DOAJ
description It is unclear how sectoral growth in the agriculture, industrial, and service sectors affects inflation, and the topic is also quite rare. Accordingly, the researchers in this paper examine the long- and short-term effects of agriculture, service, and industry sectors on inflation rates. In order to achieve this, the researchers applied an autoregressive distributed lag model from 1975 to 2019. In order to determine the direction of causation, the Granger causality test was conducted. The results clearly demonstrate the negative relationship between agriculture, services, population, and inflation over the long term. In the short run, previous inflation, the service sector, the second lag in population, and the agricultural sector do not reduce inflation. The industrial sector and the first lag of the population can lower inflation rates. Thus, the industry sector in the long run and the service and agricultural sectors in the short run are inefficient at reducing inflation. Inflation and the agricultural sector are causally linked in both directions. Additionally, unidirectional causality runs from industry and the service sector to inflation. Early researchers have not examined the impact of the service, industry, and agriculture sectors on inflation rate, thus offering a unique contribution to policy makers. Panel data are not used to compare the sectoral responsibility for reducing inflation in other African countries with researchers. Practically, the agriculture and service sectors on the short run, along with the industry sector on the long run, both need attention.
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spelling doaj.art-ae18bc1b26ca45018c8ea739568af28a2022-12-22T03:16:55ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCogent Economics & Finance2332-20392022-12-0110110.1080/23322039.2022.2123889Impact of economic sectors on inflation rate: Evidence from EthiopiaEndashaw Sisay0Wondimhunegn Atilaw1Tecklebirhan Adisu2Department of Economics, Mizan Tepi University, Mizan Aman, EthiopiaDepartment of Economics, Mizan Tepi University, Mizan Aman, EthiopiaDepartment of Marketing Management, Mizan Tepi University, Mizan Aman, EthiopiaIt is unclear how sectoral growth in the agriculture, industrial, and service sectors affects inflation, and the topic is also quite rare. Accordingly, the researchers in this paper examine the long- and short-term effects of agriculture, service, and industry sectors on inflation rates. In order to achieve this, the researchers applied an autoregressive distributed lag model from 1975 to 2019. In order to determine the direction of causation, the Granger causality test was conducted. The results clearly demonstrate the negative relationship between agriculture, services, population, and inflation over the long term. In the short run, previous inflation, the service sector, the second lag in population, and the agricultural sector do not reduce inflation. The industrial sector and the first lag of the population can lower inflation rates. Thus, the industry sector in the long run and the service and agricultural sectors in the short run are inefficient at reducing inflation. Inflation and the agricultural sector are causally linked in both directions. Additionally, unidirectional causality runs from industry and the service sector to inflation. Early researchers have not examined the impact of the service, industry, and agriculture sectors on inflation rate, thus offering a unique contribution to policy makers. Panel data are not used to compare the sectoral responsibility for reducing inflation in other African countries with researchers. Practically, the agriculture and service sectors on the short run, along with the industry sector on the long run, both need attention.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2022.2123889agriculture sectorEthiopiainflation rateindustry sectorservice sectorE23
spellingShingle Endashaw Sisay
Wondimhunegn Atilaw
Tecklebirhan Adisu
Impact of economic sectors on inflation rate: Evidence from Ethiopia
Cogent Economics & Finance
agriculture sector
Ethiopia
inflation rate
industry sector
service sector
E23
title Impact of economic sectors on inflation rate: Evidence from Ethiopia
title_full Impact of economic sectors on inflation rate: Evidence from Ethiopia
title_fullStr Impact of economic sectors on inflation rate: Evidence from Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Impact of economic sectors on inflation rate: Evidence from Ethiopia
title_short Impact of economic sectors on inflation rate: Evidence from Ethiopia
title_sort impact of economic sectors on inflation rate evidence from ethiopia
topic agriculture sector
Ethiopia
inflation rate
industry sector
service sector
E23
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2022.2123889
work_keys_str_mv AT endashawsisay impactofeconomicsectorsoninflationrateevidencefromethiopia
AT wondimhunegnatilaw impactofeconomicsectorsoninflationrateevidencefromethiopia
AT tecklebirhanadisu impactofeconomicsectorsoninflationrateevidencefromethiopia