Prediction of Air-Conditioning Energy Consumption in R&D Building Using Multiple Machine Learning Techniques

With the global increase in demand for energy, energy conservation of research and development buildings has become of primary importance for building owners. Knowledge based on the patterns in energy consumption of previous years could be used to predict the near-future energy usage of buildings, t...

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Main Authors: Jun-Mao Liao, Ming-Jui Chang, Luh-Maan Chang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-04-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/7/1847
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author Jun-Mao Liao
Ming-Jui Chang
Luh-Maan Chang
author_facet Jun-Mao Liao
Ming-Jui Chang
Luh-Maan Chang
author_sort Jun-Mao Liao
collection DOAJ
description With the global increase in demand for energy, energy conservation of research and development buildings has become of primary importance for building owners. Knowledge based on the patterns in energy consumption of previous years could be used to predict the near-future energy usage of buildings, to optimize and facilitate more effective energy consumption. Hence, this research aimed to develop a generic model for predicting energy consumption. Air-conditioning was used to exemplify the generic model for electricity consumption, as it is the process that often consumes the most energy in a public building. The purpose of this paper is to present this model and the related findings. After causative factors were determined, the methods of linear regression and various machine learning techniques—including the earlier machine learning techniques of support vector machine, random forest, and multilayer perceptron, and the later machine learning techniques of deep neural network, recurrent neural network, long short-term memory, and gated recurrent unit—were applied for prediction. Among them, the prediction of random forest resulted in an R<sup>2</sup> of 88% ahead of the first month and 81% ahead of the third month. These experimental results demonstrate that the prediction model is reliable and significantly accurate. Building owners could further enrich the model for energy conservation and management.
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spelling doaj.art-ae25002c9abc451894b8f17fca2d4c6c2023-11-19T21:14:42ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732020-04-01137184710.3390/en13071847Prediction of Air-Conditioning Energy Consumption in R&D Building Using Multiple Machine Learning TechniquesJun-Mao Liao0Ming-Jui Chang1Luh-Maan Chang2Department of Civil Engineering, National Taiwan University, No. 1, Sec. 4 Roosevelt Road, Taipei 10617, TaiwanResearch Center of Climate Change and Sustainable Development, National Taiwan University, No. 1, Sec. 4 Roosevelt Road, Taipei 10617, TaiwanDepartment of Civil Engineering, National Taiwan University, No. 1, Sec. 4 Roosevelt Road, Taipei 10617, TaiwanWith the global increase in demand for energy, energy conservation of research and development buildings has become of primary importance for building owners. Knowledge based on the patterns in energy consumption of previous years could be used to predict the near-future energy usage of buildings, to optimize and facilitate more effective energy consumption. Hence, this research aimed to develop a generic model for predicting energy consumption. Air-conditioning was used to exemplify the generic model for electricity consumption, as it is the process that often consumes the most energy in a public building. The purpose of this paper is to present this model and the related findings. After causative factors were determined, the methods of linear regression and various machine learning techniques—including the earlier machine learning techniques of support vector machine, random forest, and multilayer perceptron, and the later machine learning techniques of deep neural network, recurrent neural network, long short-term memory, and gated recurrent unit—were applied for prediction. Among them, the prediction of random forest resulted in an R<sup>2</sup> of 88% ahead of the first month and 81% ahead of the third month. These experimental results demonstrate that the prediction model is reliable and significantly accurate. Building owners could further enrich the model for energy conservation and management.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/7/1847building energy conservationresearch and development buildingelectricity consumptionmachine learningdeep learning
spellingShingle Jun-Mao Liao
Ming-Jui Chang
Luh-Maan Chang
Prediction of Air-Conditioning Energy Consumption in R&D Building Using Multiple Machine Learning Techniques
Energies
building energy conservation
research and development building
electricity consumption
machine learning
deep learning
title Prediction of Air-Conditioning Energy Consumption in R&D Building Using Multiple Machine Learning Techniques
title_full Prediction of Air-Conditioning Energy Consumption in R&D Building Using Multiple Machine Learning Techniques
title_fullStr Prediction of Air-Conditioning Energy Consumption in R&D Building Using Multiple Machine Learning Techniques
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Air-Conditioning Energy Consumption in R&D Building Using Multiple Machine Learning Techniques
title_short Prediction of Air-Conditioning Energy Consumption in R&D Building Using Multiple Machine Learning Techniques
title_sort prediction of air conditioning energy consumption in r d building using multiple machine learning techniques
topic building energy conservation
research and development building
electricity consumption
machine learning
deep learning
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/7/1847
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AT mingjuichang predictionofairconditioningenergyconsumptioninrdbuildingusingmultiplemachinelearningtechniques
AT luhmaanchang predictionofairconditioningenergyconsumptioninrdbuildingusingmultiplemachinelearningtechniques