Rainfall threshold definition using an entropy decision approach and radar data
Flash flood events are floods characterised by a very rapid response of basins to storms, often resulting in loss of life and property damage. Due to the specific space-time scale of this type of flood, the lead time available for triggering civil protection measures is typically short. Rainfall thr...
Main Authors: | , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Copernicus Publications
2011-07-01
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Series: | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences |
Online Access: | http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/2061/2011/nhess-11-2061-2011.pdf |
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author | V. Montesarchio E. Ridolfi F. Russo F. Napolitano |
author_facet | V. Montesarchio E. Ridolfi F. Russo F. Napolitano |
author_sort | V. Montesarchio |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Flash flood events are floods characterised by a very rapid response of basins to storms, often resulting in loss of life and property damage. Due to the specific space-time scale of this type of flood, the lead time available for triggering civil protection measures is typically short. Rainfall threshold values specify the amount of precipitation for a given duration that generates a critical discharge in a given river cross section. If the threshold values are exceeded, it can produce a critical situation in river sites exposed to alluvial risk. It is therefore possible to directly compare the observed or forecasted precipitation with critical reference values, without running online real-time forecasting systems. The focus of this study is the Mignone River basin, located in Central Italy. The critical rainfall threshold values are evaluated by minimising a utility function based on the informative entropy concept and by using a simulation approach based on radar data. The study concludes with a system performance analysis, in terms of correctly issued warnings, false alarms and missed alarms. |
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format | Article |
id | doaj.art-ae29a63bf8db43598d3b85c1701ba394 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1561-8633 1684-9981 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-13T16:15:09Z |
publishDate | 2011-07-01 |
publisher | Copernicus Publications |
record_format | Article |
series | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences |
spelling | doaj.art-ae29a63bf8db43598d3b85c1701ba3942022-12-22T02:40:06ZengCopernicus PublicationsNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences1561-86331684-99812011-07-011172061207410.5194/nhess-11-2061-2011Rainfall threshold definition using an entropy decision approach and radar dataV. MontesarchioE. RidolfiF. RussoF. NapolitanoFlash flood events are floods characterised by a very rapid response of basins to storms, often resulting in loss of life and property damage. Due to the specific space-time scale of this type of flood, the lead time available for triggering civil protection measures is typically short. Rainfall threshold values specify the amount of precipitation for a given duration that generates a critical discharge in a given river cross section. If the threshold values are exceeded, it can produce a critical situation in river sites exposed to alluvial risk. It is therefore possible to directly compare the observed or forecasted precipitation with critical reference values, without running online real-time forecasting systems. The focus of this study is the Mignone River basin, located in Central Italy. The critical rainfall threshold values are evaluated by minimising a utility function based on the informative entropy concept and by using a simulation approach based on radar data. The study concludes with a system performance analysis, in terms of correctly issued warnings, false alarms and missed alarms.http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/2061/2011/nhess-11-2061-2011.pdf |
spellingShingle | V. Montesarchio E. Ridolfi F. Russo F. Napolitano Rainfall threshold definition using an entropy decision approach and radar data Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences |
title | Rainfall threshold definition using an entropy decision approach and radar data |
title_full | Rainfall threshold definition using an entropy decision approach and radar data |
title_fullStr | Rainfall threshold definition using an entropy decision approach and radar data |
title_full_unstemmed | Rainfall threshold definition using an entropy decision approach and radar data |
title_short | Rainfall threshold definition using an entropy decision approach and radar data |
title_sort | rainfall threshold definition using an entropy decision approach and radar data |
url | http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/2061/2011/nhess-11-2061-2011.pdf |
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