Risks and Clinical Predictors of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chinese Populations: A Real-World Study of 10,359 Patients in Six Medical Centers

Chenjun Huang,1,* Xiao Xiao,1,* Lin Tong,2,* Zhiyuan Gao,1 Jun Ji,2 Lin Zhou,3 Ya Li,4 Lijuan Liu,5 Huijuan Feng,5 Meng Fang,2 Chunfang Gao1,2 1Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine Center, Yueyang Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Shanghai...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Huang C, Xiao X, Tong L, Gao Z, Ji J, Zhou L, Li Y, Liu L, Feng H, Fang M, Gao C
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Dove Medical Press 2024-02-01
Series:Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.dovepress.com/risks-and-clinical-predictors-of-hepatocellular-carcinoma-in-chinese-p-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-JHC
_version_ 1827330881235189760
author Huang C
Xiao X
Tong L
Gao Z
Ji J
Zhou L
Li Y
Liu L
Feng H
Fang M
Gao C
author_facet Huang C
Xiao X
Tong L
Gao Z
Ji J
Zhou L
Li Y
Liu L
Feng H
Fang M
Gao C
author_sort Huang C
collection DOAJ
description Chenjun Huang,1,* Xiao Xiao,1,* Lin Tong,2,* Zhiyuan Gao,1 Jun Ji,2 Lin Zhou,3 Ya Li,4 Lijuan Liu,5 Huijuan Feng,5 Meng Fang,2 Chunfang Gao1,2 1Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine Center, Yueyang Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200437, People’s Republic of China; 2Department of Laboratory Medicine, Shanghai Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Shanghai, 200438, People’s Republic of China; 3Department of Laboratory Medicine, Shanghai Changzheng Hospital, Shanghai, 200003, People’s Republic of China; 4Department of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, 650032, People’s Republic of China; 5Department of Laboratory Medicine, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350025, People’s Republic of China*These authors contributed equally to this workCorrespondence: Chunfang Gao, Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine Center, Yueyang Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200437, People’s Republic of China, Tel +86-21-65161782-1210, Email gaocf1115@163.com; gaocf1115@shutcm.edu.cnPurpose: Early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) through surveillance could reduce this cancer-associated mortality. We aimed to develop and validate algorithms using panel serum biomarkers to identify HCC in a real-world multi-center study in China.Patients and Methods: A total of 10,359 eligible subjects, including HCCs and benign liver diseases (BLDs), were recruited from six Chinese medical centers. The three nomograms were built using logistic regression and their sensitivities and specificities were carefully assessed in training and validation cohorts. HCC patients after surgical resection were followed to determine the prognostic values of these algorithms. Prospective surveillance performance was assessed in a cohort of chronic hepatitis B patients during 144 weeks follow-up.Results: Independent risk factors such as alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), lens cuinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3), des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP), albumin (ALB), and total bilirubin (TBIL) obtained from train cohort were used to construct three nomograms (LAD, C-GALAD, and TAGALAD) using logistic regression. In the training and two validation cohorts, their AUCs were all over 0.900, and the higher AUCs appeared in TAGALAD and C-GALAD. Furthermore, the three nomograms could effectively stratify HCC into two groups with different survival and recurrence outcomes in follow-up validation. Notably, TAGALAD could predict HCC up to 48 weeks (AUC: 0.984) and 24 weeks (AUC: 0.900) before clinical diagnosis.Conclusion: The proposed nomograms generated from real-world Chinese populations are effective and easy-to use for HCC surveillance, diagnosis, as well as prognostic evaluation in various clinical scenarios based on data feasibility.Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma, real-world data, diagnostic, prognosis, algorithm
first_indexed 2024-03-07T16:24:55Z
format Article
id doaj.art-ae2b396ccca34df5be7b1a18f8b2b181
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2253-5969
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-07T16:24:55Z
publishDate 2024-02-01
publisher Dove Medical Press
record_format Article
series Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma
spelling doaj.art-ae2b396ccca34df5be7b1a18f8b2b1812024-03-03T18:36:48ZengDove Medical PressJournal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma2253-59692024-02-01Volume 1141142590765Risks and Clinical Predictors of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chinese Populations: A Real-World Study of 10,359 Patients in Six Medical CentersHuang CXiao XTong LGao ZJi JZhou LLi YLiu LFeng HFang MGao CChenjun Huang,1,* Xiao Xiao,1,* Lin Tong,2,* Zhiyuan Gao,1 Jun Ji,2 Lin Zhou,3 Ya Li,4 Lijuan Liu,5 Huijuan Feng,5 Meng Fang,2 Chunfang Gao1,2 1Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine Center, Yueyang Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200437, People’s Republic of China; 2Department of Laboratory Medicine, Shanghai Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Shanghai, 200438, People’s Republic of China; 3Department of Laboratory Medicine, Shanghai Changzheng Hospital, Shanghai, 200003, People’s Republic of China; 4Department of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, 650032, People’s Republic of China; 5Department of Laboratory Medicine, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350025, People’s Republic of China*These authors contributed equally to this workCorrespondence: Chunfang Gao, Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine Center, Yueyang Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200437, People’s Republic of China, Tel +86-21-65161782-1210, Email gaocf1115@163.com; gaocf1115@shutcm.edu.cnPurpose: Early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) through surveillance could reduce this cancer-associated mortality. We aimed to develop and validate algorithms using panel serum biomarkers to identify HCC in a real-world multi-center study in China.Patients and Methods: A total of 10,359 eligible subjects, including HCCs and benign liver diseases (BLDs), were recruited from six Chinese medical centers. The three nomograms were built using logistic regression and their sensitivities and specificities were carefully assessed in training and validation cohorts. HCC patients after surgical resection were followed to determine the prognostic values of these algorithms. Prospective surveillance performance was assessed in a cohort of chronic hepatitis B patients during 144 weeks follow-up.Results: Independent risk factors such as alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), lens cuinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3), des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP), albumin (ALB), and total bilirubin (TBIL) obtained from train cohort were used to construct three nomograms (LAD, C-GALAD, and TAGALAD) using logistic regression. In the training and two validation cohorts, their AUCs were all over 0.900, and the higher AUCs appeared in TAGALAD and C-GALAD. Furthermore, the three nomograms could effectively stratify HCC into two groups with different survival and recurrence outcomes in follow-up validation. Notably, TAGALAD could predict HCC up to 48 weeks (AUC: 0.984) and 24 weeks (AUC: 0.900) before clinical diagnosis.Conclusion: The proposed nomograms generated from real-world Chinese populations are effective and easy-to use for HCC surveillance, diagnosis, as well as prognostic evaluation in various clinical scenarios based on data feasibility.Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma, real-world data, diagnostic, prognosis, algorithmhttps://www.dovepress.com/risks-and-clinical-predictors-of-hepatocellular-carcinoma-in-chinese-p-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-JHChepatocellular carcinomareal-world datadiagnosticprognosisalgorithm
spellingShingle Huang C
Xiao X
Tong L
Gao Z
Ji J
Zhou L
Li Y
Liu L
Feng H
Fang M
Gao C
Risks and Clinical Predictors of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chinese Populations: A Real-World Study of 10,359 Patients in Six Medical Centers
Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma
hepatocellular carcinoma
real-world data
diagnostic
prognosis
algorithm
title Risks and Clinical Predictors of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chinese Populations: A Real-World Study of 10,359 Patients in Six Medical Centers
title_full Risks and Clinical Predictors of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chinese Populations: A Real-World Study of 10,359 Patients in Six Medical Centers
title_fullStr Risks and Clinical Predictors of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chinese Populations: A Real-World Study of 10,359 Patients in Six Medical Centers
title_full_unstemmed Risks and Clinical Predictors of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chinese Populations: A Real-World Study of 10,359 Patients in Six Medical Centers
title_short Risks and Clinical Predictors of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chinese Populations: A Real-World Study of 10,359 Patients in Six Medical Centers
title_sort risks and clinical predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma in chinese populations a real world study of 10 359 patients in six medical centers
topic hepatocellular carcinoma
real-world data
diagnostic
prognosis
algorithm
url https://www.dovepress.com/risks-and-clinical-predictors-of-hepatocellular-carcinoma-in-chinese-p-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-JHC
work_keys_str_mv AT huangc risksandclinicalpredictorsofhepatocellularcarcinomainchinesepopulationsarealworldstudyof10359patientsinsixmedicalcenters
AT xiaox risksandclinicalpredictorsofhepatocellularcarcinomainchinesepopulationsarealworldstudyof10359patientsinsixmedicalcenters
AT tongl risksandclinicalpredictorsofhepatocellularcarcinomainchinesepopulationsarealworldstudyof10359patientsinsixmedicalcenters
AT gaoz risksandclinicalpredictorsofhepatocellularcarcinomainchinesepopulationsarealworldstudyof10359patientsinsixmedicalcenters
AT jij risksandclinicalpredictorsofhepatocellularcarcinomainchinesepopulationsarealworldstudyof10359patientsinsixmedicalcenters
AT zhoul risksandclinicalpredictorsofhepatocellularcarcinomainchinesepopulationsarealworldstudyof10359patientsinsixmedicalcenters
AT liy risksandclinicalpredictorsofhepatocellularcarcinomainchinesepopulationsarealworldstudyof10359patientsinsixmedicalcenters
AT liul risksandclinicalpredictorsofhepatocellularcarcinomainchinesepopulationsarealworldstudyof10359patientsinsixmedicalcenters
AT fengh risksandclinicalpredictorsofhepatocellularcarcinomainchinesepopulationsarealworldstudyof10359patientsinsixmedicalcenters
AT fangm risksandclinicalpredictorsofhepatocellularcarcinomainchinesepopulationsarealworldstudyof10359patientsinsixmedicalcenters
AT gaoc risksandclinicalpredictorsofhepatocellularcarcinomainchinesepopulationsarealworldstudyof10359patientsinsixmedicalcenters