Primates facing climate crisis in a tropical forest hotspot will lose climatic suitable geographical range
Abstract Global climate changes affect biodiversity and cause species distribution shifts, contractions, and expansions. Climate change and disease are emerging threats to primates, and approximately one-quarter of primates’ ranges have temperatures over historical ones. How will climate changes inf...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Nature Portfolio
2023-01-01
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| Series: | Scientific Reports |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-26756-0 |
| _version_ | 1797952571204173824 |
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| author | Míriam Plaza Pinto Raone Beltrão-Mendes Maurício Talebi Adriana Almeida de Lima |
| author_facet | Míriam Plaza Pinto Raone Beltrão-Mendes Maurício Talebi Adriana Almeida de Lima |
| author_sort | Míriam Plaza Pinto |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Global climate changes affect biodiversity and cause species distribution shifts, contractions, and expansions. Climate change and disease are emerging threats to primates, and approximately one-quarter of primates’ ranges have temperatures over historical ones. How will climate changes influence Atlantic Forest primate ranges? We used habitat suitability models and measured potential changes in area and distributions shifts. Climate change expected in 2100 may change the distribution area of Atlantic Forest primates. Fourteen species (74%) are predicted to lose more than 50% of their distribution, and nine species (47%) are predicted to lose more than 75% of their distribution. The balance was negative, indicating a potential future loss, and the strength of the reduction in the distribution is related to the severity of climate change (SSP scenarios). Directional shifts were detected to the south. The projected mean centroid latitudinal shift is ~ 51 km to the south for 2100 SSP5-8.5 scenario. The possibility of dispersal will depend on suitable routes and landscape configuration. Greenhouse gas emissions should be urgently reduced. Our results also emphasize that no more forest loss is acceptable in Atlantic Forest, and restoration, canopy bridges, friendly agroecosystems, and monitoring of infrastructure projects are urgent to enable dealing with climate change. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T22:48:29Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-ae78eda64cb444babcc657deda912dd3 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2045-2322 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T22:48:29Z |
| publishDate | 2023-01-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Scientific Reports |
| spelling | doaj.art-ae78eda64cb444babcc657deda912dd32023-01-15T12:09:59ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222023-01-0113111310.1038/s41598-022-26756-0Primates facing climate crisis in a tropical forest hotspot will lose climatic suitable geographical rangeMíriam Plaza Pinto0Raone Beltrão-Mendes1Maurício Talebi2Adriana Almeida de Lima3Departamento de Ecologia, Centro de Biociências, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN)Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ecologia e Conservação, Universidade Federal de Sergipe (UFS)Departamento de Ciências Ambientais, Universidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP)Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ecologia, Centro de Biociências, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN)Abstract Global climate changes affect biodiversity and cause species distribution shifts, contractions, and expansions. Climate change and disease are emerging threats to primates, and approximately one-quarter of primates’ ranges have temperatures over historical ones. How will climate changes influence Atlantic Forest primate ranges? We used habitat suitability models and measured potential changes in area and distributions shifts. Climate change expected in 2100 may change the distribution area of Atlantic Forest primates. Fourteen species (74%) are predicted to lose more than 50% of their distribution, and nine species (47%) are predicted to lose more than 75% of their distribution. The balance was negative, indicating a potential future loss, and the strength of the reduction in the distribution is related to the severity of climate change (SSP scenarios). Directional shifts were detected to the south. The projected mean centroid latitudinal shift is ~ 51 km to the south for 2100 SSP5-8.5 scenario. The possibility of dispersal will depend on suitable routes and landscape configuration. Greenhouse gas emissions should be urgently reduced. Our results also emphasize that no more forest loss is acceptable in Atlantic Forest, and restoration, canopy bridges, friendly agroecosystems, and monitoring of infrastructure projects are urgent to enable dealing with climate change.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-26756-0 |
| spellingShingle | Míriam Plaza Pinto Raone Beltrão-Mendes Maurício Talebi Adriana Almeida de Lima Primates facing climate crisis in a tropical forest hotspot will lose climatic suitable geographical range Scientific Reports |
| title | Primates facing climate crisis in a tropical forest hotspot will lose climatic suitable geographical range |
| title_full | Primates facing climate crisis in a tropical forest hotspot will lose climatic suitable geographical range |
| title_fullStr | Primates facing climate crisis in a tropical forest hotspot will lose climatic suitable geographical range |
| title_full_unstemmed | Primates facing climate crisis in a tropical forest hotspot will lose climatic suitable geographical range |
| title_short | Primates facing climate crisis in a tropical forest hotspot will lose climatic suitable geographical range |
| title_sort | primates facing climate crisis in a tropical forest hotspot will lose climatic suitable geographical range |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-26756-0 |
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