Exploring the spatial variation and associated factors of childhood febrile illness among under-five children in Ethiopia: Geographically weighted regression analysis.

<h4>Background</h4>The global burden of febrile illness and the contribution of many fever inducing pathogens have been difficult to quantify and characterize. However, in sub-Saharan Africa it is clear that febrile illness is a common cause of hospital admission, illness and death inclu...

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Main Authors: Negalgn Byadgie Gelaw, Getayeneh Antehunegn Tessema, Kassahun Alemu Gelaye, Zemenu Tadesse Tessema, Tigist Andargie Ferede, Abebe W/Selassie Tewelde
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2022-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0277565
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author Negalgn Byadgie Gelaw
Getayeneh Antehunegn Tessema
Kassahun Alemu Gelaye
Zemenu Tadesse Tessema
Tigist Andargie Ferede
Abebe W/Selassie Tewelde
author_facet Negalgn Byadgie Gelaw
Getayeneh Antehunegn Tessema
Kassahun Alemu Gelaye
Zemenu Tadesse Tessema
Tigist Andargie Ferede
Abebe W/Selassie Tewelde
author_sort Negalgn Byadgie Gelaw
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Background</h4>The global burden of febrile illness and the contribution of many fever inducing pathogens have been difficult to quantify and characterize. However, in sub-Saharan Africa it is clear that febrile illness is a common cause of hospital admission, illness and death including in Ethiopia. Therefore the major aim of this study is to explore the spatial variation and associated factors of childhood febrile illness among under-five children in Ethiopia.<h4>Methods</h4>This study were based on the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic health survey data. A total weighted sample of 10,127 under- five children was included. Data management was done using Stata version-14, Arc-GIS version-10.8 and SatsScan version- 9.6 statistical software. Multi-level log binomial model was fitted to identify factors associated with childhood febrile illness. Variables with a p-value < 0.2 in the bi-variable analysis were considered for the multivariable analysis. In the multivariable multilevel log binomial regression analysis p-value< 0.05, the APR with the 95% CI was reported. Global spatial autocorrelation was done to assess the spatial pattern of childhood febrile illness. Spatial regression was done to identify factors associated with the spatial variations of childhood febrile illness and model comparison was based on adjusted R2 and AICc.<h4>Result</h4>The prevalence of febrile illness among under-five children was 13.6% (95% CI: 12.6%, 14 .7%) with significant spatial variation across regions of Ethiopia with Moran's I value of 0.148. The significant hotspot areas of childhood febrile illness were identified in the Tigray, Southeast of Amhara, and North SNPPR. In the GWR analysis, the proportion of PNC, children who had diarrhea, ARI, being 1st birth order, were significant explanatory variables. In the multilevel log binomial regression age of children 7-24 months(APR = 1.33, 95% CI: (1.03, 1.72)), maternal age 30-39 years (APR = 1.36 95% CI: 1.02, 1.80)), number of children (APR = 1.78, 95% CI: 0.96, 3.3), diarrhea(APR = 5.3% 95% CI: (4.09, 6.06)), ARI (APR = 11.5, 95% CI: (9.2, 14.2)) and stunting(APR = 1.21; 95% CI: (0.98, 1.49) were significantly associated with childhood febrile illness.<h4>Conclusion</h4>Childhood febrile illness remains public health problem in Ethiopia. On spatial regression analysis proportion of women who had PNC, proportion of children who had diarrhea, proportion of children who had ARI, and proportion of children who had being 1st birth order were associated factors. The detailed map of childhood febrile illness and its predictors could assist health program planners and policy makers to design targeted public health interventions for febrile illness.
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spelling doaj.art-aeb7576de40f451dacff65cfa0dcb40c2023-01-11T05:32:18ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032022-01-011712e027756510.1371/journal.pone.0277565Exploring the spatial variation and associated factors of childhood febrile illness among under-five children in Ethiopia: Geographically weighted regression analysis.Negalgn Byadgie GelawGetayeneh Antehunegn TessemaKassahun Alemu GelayeZemenu Tadesse TessemaTigist Andargie FeredeAbebe W/Selassie Tewelde<h4>Background</h4>The global burden of febrile illness and the contribution of many fever inducing pathogens have been difficult to quantify and characterize. However, in sub-Saharan Africa it is clear that febrile illness is a common cause of hospital admission, illness and death including in Ethiopia. Therefore the major aim of this study is to explore the spatial variation and associated factors of childhood febrile illness among under-five children in Ethiopia.<h4>Methods</h4>This study were based on the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic health survey data. A total weighted sample of 10,127 under- five children was included. Data management was done using Stata version-14, Arc-GIS version-10.8 and SatsScan version- 9.6 statistical software. Multi-level log binomial model was fitted to identify factors associated with childhood febrile illness. Variables with a p-value < 0.2 in the bi-variable analysis were considered for the multivariable analysis. In the multivariable multilevel log binomial regression analysis p-value< 0.05, the APR with the 95% CI was reported. Global spatial autocorrelation was done to assess the spatial pattern of childhood febrile illness. Spatial regression was done to identify factors associated with the spatial variations of childhood febrile illness and model comparison was based on adjusted R2 and AICc.<h4>Result</h4>The prevalence of febrile illness among under-five children was 13.6% (95% CI: 12.6%, 14 .7%) with significant spatial variation across regions of Ethiopia with Moran's I value of 0.148. The significant hotspot areas of childhood febrile illness were identified in the Tigray, Southeast of Amhara, and North SNPPR. In the GWR analysis, the proportion of PNC, children who had diarrhea, ARI, being 1st birth order, were significant explanatory variables. In the multilevel log binomial regression age of children 7-24 months(APR = 1.33, 95% CI: (1.03, 1.72)), maternal age 30-39 years (APR = 1.36 95% CI: 1.02, 1.80)), number of children (APR = 1.78, 95% CI: 0.96, 3.3), diarrhea(APR = 5.3% 95% CI: (4.09, 6.06)), ARI (APR = 11.5, 95% CI: (9.2, 14.2)) and stunting(APR = 1.21; 95% CI: (0.98, 1.49) were significantly associated with childhood febrile illness.<h4>Conclusion</h4>Childhood febrile illness remains public health problem in Ethiopia. On spatial regression analysis proportion of women who had PNC, proportion of children who had diarrhea, proportion of children who had ARI, and proportion of children who had being 1st birth order were associated factors. The detailed map of childhood febrile illness and its predictors could assist health program planners and policy makers to design targeted public health interventions for febrile illness.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0277565
spellingShingle Negalgn Byadgie Gelaw
Getayeneh Antehunegn Tessema
Kassahun Alemu Gelaye
Zemenu Tadesse Tessema
Tigist Andargie Ferede
Abebe W/Selassie Tewelde
Exploring the spatial variation and associated factors of childhood febrile illness among under-five children in Ethiopia: Geographically weighted regression analysis.
PLoS ONE
title Exploring the spatial variation and associated factors of childhood febrile illness among under-five children in Ethiopia: Geographically weighted regression analysis.
title_full Exploring the spatial variation and associated factors of childhood febrile illness among under-five children in Ethiopia: Geographically weighted regression analysis.
title_fullStr Exploring the spatial variation and associated factors of childhood febrile illness among under-five children in Ethiopia: Geographically weighted regression analysis.
title_full_unstemmed Exploring the spatial variation and associated factors of childhood febrile illness among under-five children in Ethiopia: Geographically weighted regression analysis.
title_short Exploring the spatial variation and associated factors of childhood febrile illness among under-five children in Ethiopia: Geographically weighted regression analysis.
title_sort exploring the spatial variation and associated factors of childhood febrile illness among under five children in ethiopia geographically weighted regression analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0277565
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