Developing a Preliminary Causal Loop Diagram for Understanding the Wicked Complexity of the COVID-19 Pandemic
COVID-19 is a wicked problem for policy makers internationally as the complexity of the pandemic transcends health, environment, social and economic boundaries. Many countries are focusing on two key responses, namely virus containment and financial measures, but fail to recognise other aspects. The...
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Format: | Article |
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MDPI AG
2020-06-01
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Series: | Systems |
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Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/8/2/20 |
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author | Oz Sahin Hengky Salim Emiliya Suprun Russell Richards Stefen MacAskill Simone Heilgeist Shannon Rutherford Rodney A. Stewart Cara D. Beal |
author_facet | Oz Sahin Hengky Salim Emiliya Suprun Russell Richards Stefen MacAskill Simone Heilgeist Shannon Rutherford Rodney A. Stewart Cara D. Beal |
author_sort | Oz Sahin |
collection | DOAJ |
description | COVID-19 is a wicked problem for policy makers internationally as the complexity of the pandemic transcends health, environment, social and economic boundaries. Many countries are focusing on two key responses, namely virus containment and financial measures, but fail to recognise other aspects. The systems approach, however, enables policy makers to design the most effective strategies and reduce the unintended consequences. To achieve fundamental change, it is imperative to firstly identify the “right” interventions (leverage points) and implement additional measures to reduce negative consequences. To do so, a preliminary causal loop diagram of the COVID-19 pandemic was designed to explore its influence on socio-economic systems. In order to transcend the “wait and see” approach, and create an adaptive and resilient system, governments need to consider “deep” leverage points that can be realistically maintained over the long-term and cause a fundamental change, rather than focusing on “shallow” leverage points that are relatively easy to implement but do not result in significant systemic change. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-10T19:04:26Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-aeb7e06933cd4a62b99ab1171619ca75 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2079-8954 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-10T19:04:26Z |
publishDate | 2020-06-01 |
publisher | MDPI AG |
record_format | Article |
series | Systems |
spelling | doaj.art-aeb7e06933cd4a62b99ab1171619ca752023-11-20T04:14:12ZengMDPI AGSystems2079-89542020-06-01822010.3390/systems8020020Developing a Preliminary Causal Loop Diagram for Understanding the Wicked Complexity of the COVID-19 PandemicOz Sahin0Hengky Salim1Emiliya Suprun2Russell Richards3Stefen MacAskill4Simone Heilgeist5Shannon Rutherford6Rodney A. Stewart7Cara D. Beal8School of Engineering and Built Environment, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4222, AustraliaSchool of Engineering and Built Environment, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4222, AustraliaSchool of Engineering and Built Environment, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4222, AustraliaCities Research Institute, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4222, AustraliaSchool of Engineering and Built Environment, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4222, AustraliaSchool of Engineering and Built Environment, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4222, AustraliaSchool of Medicine, Gold Coast campus, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4222, AustraliaSchool of Engineering and Built Environment, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4222, AustraliaSchool of Engineering and Built Environment, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4222, AustraliaCOVID-19 is a wicked problem for policy makers internationally as the complexity of the pandemic transcends health, environment, social and economic boundaries. Many countries are focusing on two key responses, namely virus containment and financial measures, but fail to recognise other aspects. The systems approach, however, enables policy makers to design the most effective strategies and reduce the unintended consequences. To achieve fundamental change, it is imperative to firstly identify the “right” interventions (leverage points) and implement additional measures to reduce negative consequences. To do so, a preliminary causal loop diagram of the COVID-19 pandemic was designed to explore its influence on socio-economic systems. In order to transcend the “wait and see” approach, and create an adaptive and resilient system, governments need to consider “deep” leverage points that can be realistically maintained over the long-term and cause a fundamental change, rather than focusing on “shallow” leverage points that are relatively easy to implement but do not result in significant systemic change.https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/8/2/20COVID-19pandemicwicked problemsystems approachleverage points |
spellingShingle | Oz Sahin Hengky Salim Emiliya Suprun Russell Richards Stefen MacAskill Simone Heilgeist Shannon Rutherford Rodney A. Stewart Cara D. Beal Developing a Preliminary Causal Loop Diagram for Understanding the Wicked Complexity of the COVID-19 Pandemic Systems COVID-19 pandemic wicked problem systems approach leverage points |
title | Developing a Preliminary Causal Loop Diagram for Understanding the Wicked Complexity of the COVID-19 Pandemic |
title_full | Developing a Preliminary Causal Loop Diagram for Understanding the Wicked Complexity of the COVID-19 Pandemic |
title_fullStr | Developing a Preliminary Causal Loop Diagram for Understanding the Wicked Complexity of the COVID-19 Pandemic |
title_full_unstemmed | Developing a Preliminary Causal Loop Diagram for Understanding the Wicked Complexity of the COVID-19 Pandemic |
title_short | Developing a Preliminary Causal Loop Diagram for Understanding the Wicked Complexity of the COVID-19 Pandemic |
title_sort | developing a preliminary causal loop diagram for understanding the wicked complexity of the covid 19 pandemic |
topic | COVID-19 pandemic wicked problem systems approach leverage points |
url | https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/8/2/20 |
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