Projecting years in good health between age 50–69 by education in the Netherlands until 2030 using several health indicators - an application in the context of a changing pension age
Abstract Objective We investigate whether there are changes over time in years in good health people can expect to live above (surplus) or below (deficit) the pension age, by level of attained education, for the past (2006), present (2018) and future (2030) in the Netherlands. Methods We used regres...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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BMC
2022-04-01
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| Series: | BMC Public Health |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-13223-8 |
| _version_ | 1828341755341176832 |
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| author | Jose R. Rubio Valverde Johan P. Mackenbach Anja M. B. De Waegenaere Bertrand Melenberg Pintao Lyu Wilma J. Nusselder |
| author_facet | Jose R. Rubio Valverde Johan P. Mackenbach Anja M. B. De Waegenaere Bertrand Melenberg Pintao Lyu Wilma J. Nusselder |
| author_sort | Jose R. Rubio Valverde |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Objective We investigate whether there are changes over time in years in good health people can expect to live above (surplus) or below (deficit) the pension age, by level of attained education, for the past (2006), present (2018) and future (2030) in the Netherlands. Methods We used regression analysis to estimate linear trends in prevalence of four health indicators: self-assessed health (SAH), the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) functional limitation indicator, the OECD indicator without hearing and seeing, and the activities-of-daily-living (ADL) disability indicator, for individuals between 50 and 69 years of age, by age category, gender and education using the Dutch National Health Survey (1989–2018). We combined these prevalence estimates with past and projected mortality data to obtain estimates of years lived in good health. We calculated how many years individuals are expected to live in good health above (surplus) or below (deficit) the pension age for the three points in time. The pension ages used were 65 years for 2006, 66 years for 2018 and 67.25 years for 2030. Results Both for low educated men and women, our analyses show an increasing deficit of years in good health relative to the pension age for most outcomes, particularly for the SAH and OECD indicator. For high educated we find a decreasing surplus of years lived in good health for all indicators with the exception of SAH. For women, absolute inequalities in the deficit or surplus of years in good health between low and high educated appear to be increasing over time. Conclusions Socio-economic inequalities in trends of mortality and the prevalence of ill-health, combined with increasing statutory pension age, impact the low educated more adversely than the high educated. Policies are needed to mitigate the increasing deficit of years in good health relative to the pension age, particularly among the low educated. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-13T23:18:43Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-aef148247d7b4b13bd2c46913ba2c2ac |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1471-2458 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-13T23:18:43Z |
| publishDate | 2022-04-01 |
| publisher | BMC |
| record_format | Article |
| series | BMC Public Health |
| spelling | doaj.art-aef148247d7b4b13bd2c46913ba2c2ac2022-12-22T02:25:18ZengBMCBMC Public Health1471-24582022-04-0122111210.1186/s12889-022-13223-8Projecting years in good health between age 50–69 by education in the Netherlands until 2030 using several health indicators - an application in the context of a changing pension ageJose R. Rubio Valverde0Johan P. Mackenbach1Anja M. B. De Waegenaere2Bertrand Melenberg3Pintao Lyu4Wilma J. Nusselder5Department of Public Health, Erasmus MCDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MCSchool of Economics and Management, Tilburg UniversitySchool of Economics and Management, Tilburg UniversitySchool of Economics and Management, Tilburg UniversityDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MCAbstract Objective We investigate whether there are changes over time in years in good health people can expect to live above (surplus) or below (deficit) the pension age, by level of attained education, for the past (2006), present (2018) and future (2030) in the Netherlands. Methods We used regression analysis to estimate linear trends in prevalence of four health indicators: self-assessed health (SAH), the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) functional limitation indicator, the OECD indicator without hearing and seeing, and the activities-of-daily-living (ADL) disability indicator, for individuals between 50 and 69 years of age, by age category, gender and education using the Dutch National Health Survey (1989–2018). We combined these prevalence estimates with past and projected mortality data to obtain estimates of years lived in good health. We calculated how many years individuals are expected to live in good health above (surplus) or below (deficit) the pension age for the three points in time. The pension ages used were 65 years for 2006, 66 years for 2018 and 67.25 years for 2030. Results Both for low educated men and women, our analyses show an increasing deficit of years in good health relative to the pension age for most outcomes, particularly for the SAH and OECD indicator. For high educated we find a decreasing surplus of years lived in good health for all indicators with the exception of SAH. For women, absolute inequalities in the deficit or surplus of years in good health between low and high educated appear to be increasing over time. Conclusions Socio-economic inequalities in trends of mortality and the prevalence of ill-health, combined with increasing statutory pension age, impact the low educated more adversely than the high educated. Policies are needed to mitigate the increasing deficit of years in good health relative to the pension age, particularly among the low educated.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-13223-8Ill-healthRetirementSocioeconomic position |
| spellingShingle | Jose R. Rubio Valverde Johan P. Mackenbach Anja M. B. De Waegenaere Bertrand Melenberg Pintao Lyu Wilma J. Nusselder Projecting years in good health between age 50–69 by education in the Netherlands until 2030 using several health indicators - an application in the context of a changing pension age BMC Public Health Ill-health Retirement Socioeconomic position |
| title | Projecting years in good health between age 50–69 by education in the Netherlands until 2030 using several health indicators - an application in the context of a changing pension age |
| title_full | Projecting years in good health between age 50–69 by education in the Netherlands until 2030 using several health indicators - an application in the context of a changing pension age |
| title_fullStr | Projecting years in good health between age 50–69 by education in the Netherlands until 2030 using several health indicators - an application in the context of a changing pension age |
| title_full_unstemmed | Projecting years in good health between age 50–69 by education in the Netherlands until 2030 using several health indicators - an application in the context of a changing pension age |
| title_short | Projecting years in good health between age 50–69 by education in the Netherlands until 2030 using several health indicators - an application in the context of a changing pension age |
| title_sort | projecting years in good health between age 50 69 by education in the netherlands until 2030 using several health indicators an application in the context of a changing pension age |
| topic | Ill-health Retirement Socioeconomic position |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-13223-8 |
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