Artificial Intelligence Methodologies Applied to Prompt Pluvial Flood Estimation and Prediction

Regarding urban flooding issues, applying Artificial Intelligence (AI) methodologies can provide a timely prediction of imminent incidences of flash floods. The study aims to develop and deploy an effective real-time pluvial flood forecasting AI platform. The platform integrates rainfall hyetographs...

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Main Authors: Deng-Lin Chang, Sheng-Hsueh Yang, Sheau-Ling Hsieh, Hui-Jung Wang, Keh-Chia Yeh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-12-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/12/3552
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author Deng-Lin Chang
Sheng-Hsueh Yang
Sheau-Ling Hsieh
Hui-Jung Wang
Keh-Chia Yeh
author_facet Deng-Lin Chang
Sheng-Hsueh Yang
Sheau-Ling Hsieh
Hui-Jung Wang
Keh-Chia Yeh
author_sort Deng-Lin Chang
collection DOAJ
description Regarding urban flooding issues, applying Artificial Intelligence (AI) methodologies can provide a timely prediction of imminent incidences of flash floods. The study aims to develop and deploy an effective real-time pluvial flood forecasting AI platform. The platform integrates rainfall hyetographs embedded with uncertainty analyses as well as hydrological and hydraulic modeling. It establishes a large number synthetic of torrential rainfall events and their simulated flooding datasets. The obtained data contain 6000 sets of color-classified rainfall hyetograph maps and 300,000 simulated flooding maps (water depth) in an urban district. The generated datasets are utilized for AI image processing. Through the AI deep learning classifications, the rainfall hyetograph map feature parameters are detected and extracted. The trained features are applied to predict potential rainfall events, recognize their potential inundated water depths as well as display flooding maps in real-time. The performance assessments of the platform are evaluated by Root Means Square Error (RMSE), Nash Sutcliffe Efficiency Coefficient (NSCE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results of RMSE and NSCE indicators illustrate that the methodologies and approaches of the AI platform are reliable and acceptable. However, the values of MAPE show inconsistency. Ultimately, the platform can perform and be utilized promptly in real-time and ensure sufficient lead time in order to prevent possible flooding hazards.
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spelling doaj.art-af0728dd990d4d00a6d99c3b924f92652023-11-21T01:21:16ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412020-12-011212355210.3390/w12123552Artificial Intelligence Methodologies Applied to Prompt Pluvial Flood Estimation and PredictionDeng-Lin Chang0Sheng-Hsueh Yang1Sheau-Ling Hsieh2Hui-Jung Wang3Keh-Chia Yeh4Department of Civil Engineering, National Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu 30010, TaiwanDisaster Prevention & Water Environment Research Center, National Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu 30010, TaiwanDisaster Prevention & Water Environment Research Center, National Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu 30010, TaiwanDisaster Prevention & Water Environment Research Center, National Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu 30010, TaiwanDepartment of Civil Engineering, National Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu 30010, TaiwanRegarding urban flooding issues, applying Artificial Intelligence (AI) methodologies can provide a timely prediction of imminent incidences of flash floods. The study aims to develop and deploy an effective real-time pluvial flood forecasting AI platform. The platform integrates rainfall hyetographs embedded with uncertainty analyses as well as hydrological and hydraulic modeling. It establishes a large number synthetic of torrential rainfall events and their simulated flooding datasets. The obtained data contain 6000 sets of color-classified rainfall hyetograph maps and 300,000 simulated flooding maps (water depth) in an urban district. The generated datasets are utilized for AI image processing. Through the AI deep learning classifications, the rainfall hyetograph map feature parameters are detected and extracted. The trained features are applied to predict potential rainfall events, recognize their potential inundated water depths as well as display flooding maps in real-time. The performance assessments of the platform are evaluated by Root Means Square Error (RMSE), Nash Sutcliffe Efficiency Coefficient (NSCE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results of RMSE and NSCE indicators illustrate that the methodologies and approaches of the AI platform are reliable and acceptable. However, the values of MAPE show inconsistency. Ultimately, the platform can perform and be utilized promptly in real-time and ensure sufficient lead time in order to prevent possible flooding hazards.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/12/3552artificial intelligencedeep learningurban floodingflash floodshyetograph mapreal-time flooding map datasets
spellingShingle Deng-Lin Chang
Sheng-Hsueh Yang
Sheau-Ling Hsieh
Hui-Jung Wang
Keh-Chia Yeh
Artificial Intelligence Methodologies Applied to Prompt Pluvial Flood Estimation and Prediction
Water
artificial intelligence
deep learning
urban flooding
flash floods
hyetograph map
real-time flooding map datasets
title Artificial Intelligence Methodologies Applied to Prompt Pluvial Flood Estimation and Prediction
title_full Artificial Intelligence Methodologies Applied to Prompt Pluvial Flood Estimation and Prediction
title_fullStr Artificial Intelligence Methodologies Applied to Prompt Pluvial Flood Estimation and Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Artificial Intelligence Methodologies Applied to Prompt Pluvial Flood Estimation and Prediction
title_short Artificial Intelligence Methodologies Applied to Prompt Pluvial Flood Estimation and Prediction
title_sort artificial intelligence methodologies applied to prompt pluvial flood estimation and prediction
topic artificial intelligence
deep learning
urban flooding
flash floods
hyetograph map
real-time flooding map datasets
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/12/3552
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