Analyzing the Effect of Internet Influence on Iran’s Goods and Services Trade with Trading Partners: A Fuzzy Regression Approach
Over the past three decades, Internet has been playing a major role in societies, and the rapid increase in its use reflects its impact on all aspects of the economy, including international trade. The present study intends to investigate the effect of Internet influence on Iran's goods and ser...
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Allameh Tabataba'i University Press
2020-03-01
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Series: | فصلنامه پژوهشهای اقتصادی ایران |
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Online Access: | https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_11914_53adeb11b0b535341dfeb8e8e83e0dce.pdf |
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author | Ali Sarkhoshsara Aso Esmailpour Khadijeh Nasrollahi Jafar Haghighat |
author_facet | Ali Sarkhoshsara Aso Esmailpour Khadijeh Nasrollahi Jafar Haghighat |
author_sort | Ali Sarkhoshsara |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Over the past three decades, Internet has been playing a major role in societies, and the rapid increase in its use reflects its impact on all aspects of the economy, including international trade. The present study intends to investigate the effect of Internet influence on Iran's goods and services trade with its largest trading partners. For this purpose, the fuzzy regression method was applied to investigate the relationships between variables from 1995 to 2016. In the present study three experimental models: 1) the effect of Internet influence on all goods trade and services of Iran with trading partners; 2) the effect of Internet influence on the Iranian goods export and services to trading partners; and 3) the effect of Internet influence on the Iranian goods import and services from commercial partners, within the framework of the modified gravity model are estimated. The results show that in all the three models, the variables of Internet diffusion and GDP per capita of Iran and trading partners and the population of Iran have a positive effect on trade in goods and services. Also, according to the results, it was found that the population of Iran's trading partners has a positive effect on the total Iran’s trade and exports to these countries, while it has a negative effect on Iran’s goods import and services. Furthermore, the findings suggest that the effect of the variables the distance and the exchange rate between Iran and trading partners on the total trade of Iran with these countries and export to them and imports from them is negative. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-08T17:45:14Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-af0b0c07e8404af4815f7ab90fa7eb05 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1726-0728 2476-6445 |
language | fas |
last_indexed | 2024-03-08T17:45:14Z |
publishDate | 2020-03-01 |
publisher | Allameh Tabataba'i University Press |
record_format | Article |
series | فصلنامه پژوهشهای اقتصادی ایران |
spelling | doaj.art-af0b0c07e8404af4815f7ab90fa7eb052024-01-02T10:29:39ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University Pressفصلنامه پژوهشهای اقتصادی ایران1726-07282476-64452020-03-01258217321610.22054/ijer.2020.1191411914Analyzing the Effect of Internet Influence on Iran’s Goods and Services Trade with Trading Partners: A Fuzzy Regression ApproachAli Sarkhoshsara0Aso Esmailpour1Khadijeh Nasrollahi2Jafar Haghighat3Ph.D. Student,University of Isfahan, Department of Economics, Isfahan, IranPh.D. Student,University of Tabriz, Department of Economics, Tabriz, IranAssociate professor of Economics, University of Isfahan, Department of Economics, Isfahan, IranProfessor of Economics, University of Tabriz, Department of Economics Tabriz, IranOver the past three decades, Internet has been playing a major role in societies, and the rapid increase in its use reflects its impact on all aspects of the economy, including international trade. The present study intends to investigate the effect of Internet influence on Iran's goods and services trade with its largest trading partners. For this purpose, the fuzzy regression method was applied to investigate the relationships between variables from 1995 to 2016. In the present study three experimental models: 1) the effect of Internet influence on all goods trade and services of Iran with trading partners; 2) the effect of Internet influence on the Iranian goods export and services to trading partners; and 3) the effect of Internet influence on the Iranian goods import and services from commercial partners, within the framework of the modified gravity model are estimated. The results show that in all the three models, the variables of Internet diffusion and GDP per capita of Iran and trading partners and the population of Iran have a positive effect on trade in goods and services. Also, according to the results, it was found that the population of Iran's trading partners has a positive effect on the total Iran’s trade and exports to these countries, while it has a negative effect on Iran’s goods import and services. Furthermore, the findings suggest that the effect of the variables the distance and the exchange rate between Iran and trading partners on the total trade of Iran with these countries and export to them and imports from them is negative.https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_11914_53adeb11b0b535341dfeb8e8e83e0dce.pdfrade of goods and servicesinternet diffusionfuzzy regressionexports and import |
spellingShingle | Ali Sarkhoshsara Aso Esmailpour Khadijeh Nasrollahi Jafar Haghighat Analyzing the Effect of Internet Influence on Iran’s Goods and Services Trade with Trading Partners: A Fuzzy Regression Approach فصلنامه پژوهشهای اقتصادی ایران rade of goods and services internet diffusion fuzzy regression exports and import |
title | Analyzing the Effect of Internet Influence on Iran’s Goods and Services Trade with Trading Partners: A Fuzzy Regression Approach |
title_full | Analyzing the Effect of Internet Influence on Iran’s Goods and Services Trade with Trading Partners: A Fuzzy Regression Approach |
title_fullStr | Analyzing the Effect of Internet Influence on Iran’s Goods and Services Trade with Trading Partners: A Fuzzy Regression Approach |
title_full_unstemmed | Analyzing the Effect of Internet Influence on Iran’s Goods and Services Trade with Trading Partners: A Fuzzy Regression Approach |
title_short | Analyzing the Effect of Internet Influence on Iran’s Goods and Services Trade with Trading Partners: A Fuzzy Regression Approach |
title_sort | analyzing the effect of internet influence on iran s goods and services trade with trading partners a fuzzy regression approach |
topic | rade of goods and services internet diffusion fuzzy regression exports and import |
url | https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_11914_53adeb11b0b535341dfeb8e8e83e0dce.pdf |
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