THE SYSTEM-DYNAMIC MODEL OF EARLY REPAYMENT OF MORTGAGE CREDITS: RISKS AND PROFITABILITY

The article deals with key points of the mortgage securities analysis. The system-dynamic model of early repayment of credits included in mortgage cover was developed. The model allows to assess the impact of the speed of early repayment on appeal of securities and to find out principle risks which...

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Main Authors: Vasiliy M. Kartvelishvili, Anna V. Nikolaeva
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Plekhanov Russian University of Economics 2017-09-01
Series:Вестник Российского экономического университета имени Г. В. Плеханова
Subjects:
Online Access:https://vest.rea.ru/jour/article/view/225
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author Vasiliy M. Kartvelishvili
Anna V. Nikolaeva
author_facet Vasiliy M. Kartvelishvili
Anna V. Nikolaeva
author_sort Vasiliy M. Kartvelishvili
collection DOAJ
description The article deals with key points of the mortgage securities analysis. The system-dynamic model of early repayment of credits included in mortgage cover was developed. The model allows to assess the impact of the speed of early repayment on appeal of securities and to find out principle risks which the mortgage securities investor faces. With the help of the model the authors analyze the real speed of early repayment of credits included in mortgage cover of securities issued on Russian market and find key causes of the speed altering. The prospects of developing the Russian market of secondary mortgage crediting in the near future were reviewed. It was shown that the analysis can be taken into account by Russian investors interested in long-term investment with max profitability. The system-dynamic model designed by the authors will allow the potential investors to analyze the appeal of certain mortgage securities on the basis of the information about the source of cash payments (mortgage pull).
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spelling doaj.art-af1ddec767994278be8ab9e0671ad66a2023-09-03T13:30:09ZrusPlekhanov Russian University of EconomicsВестник Российского экономического университета имени Г. В. Плеханова2413-28292587-92512017-09-0106748510.21686/2413-2829-2016-6-74-85224THE SYSTEM-DYNAMIC MODEL OF EARLY REPAYMENT OF MORTGAGE CREDITS: RISKS AND PROFITABILITYVasiliy M. Kartvelishvili0Anna V. Nikolaeva1РЭУ им. Г. В. ПлехановаРЭУ им. Г. В. ПлехановаThe article deals with key points of the mortgage securities analysis. The system-dynamic model of early repayment of credits included in mortgage cover was developed. The model allows to assess the impact of the speed of early repayment on appeal of securities and to find out principle risks which the mortgage securities investor faces. With the help of the model the authors analyze the real speed of early repayment of credits included in mortgage cover of securities issued on Russian market and find key causes of the speed altering. The prospects of developing the Russian market of secondary mortgage crediting in the near future were reviewed. It was shown that the analysis can be taken into account by Russian investors interested in long-term investment with max profitability. The system-dynamic model designed by the authors will allow the potential investors to analyze the appeal of certain mortgage securities on the basis of the information about the source of cash payments (mortgage pull).https://vest.rea.ru/jour/article/view/225ипотечные ценные бумагипортфель кредитовипотечное покрытие ицбрефинансированиесистемно-динамическая модельдоходностьрискскорость досрочного погашения
spellingShingle Vasiliy M. Kartvelishvili
Anna V. Nikolaeva
THE SYSTEM-DYNAMIC MODEL OF EARLY REPAYMENT OF MORTGAGE CREDITS: RISKS AND PROFITABILITY
Вестник Российского экономического университета имени Г. В. Плеханова
ипотечные ценные бумаги
портфель кредитов
ипотечное покрытие ицб
рефинансирование
системно-динамическая модель
доходность
риск
скорость досрочного погашения
title THE SYSTEM-DYNAMIC MODEL OF EARLY REPAYMENT OF MORTGAGE CREDITS: RISKS AND PROFITABILITY
title_full THE SYSTEM-DYNAMIC MODEL OF EARLY REPAYMENT OF MORTGAGE CREDITS: RISKS AND PROFITABILITY
title_fullStr THE SYSTEM-DYNAMIC MODEL OF EARLY REPAYMENT OF MORTGAGE CREDITS: RISKS AND PROFITABILITY
title_full_unstemmed THE SYSTEM-DYNAMIC MODEL OF EARLY REPAYMENT OF MORTGAGE CREDITS: RISKS AND PROFITABILITY
title_short THE SYSTEM-DYNAMIC MODEL OF EARLY REPAYMENT OF MORTGAGE CREDITS: RISKS AND PROFITABILITY
title_sort system dynamic model of early repayment of mortgage credits risks and profitability
topic ипотечные ценные бумаги
портфель кредитов
ипотечное покрытие ицб
рефинансирование
системно-динамическая модель
доходность
риск
скорость досрочного погашения
url https://vest.rea.ru/jour/article/view/225
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