Affective lability as a prospective predictor of subsequent bipolar disorder diagnosis: a systematic review

Abstract Objectives The early pathogenesis and precursors of Bipolar Disorder (BD) are poorly understood. There is some cross-sectional and retrospective evidence of affective lability as a predictor of BD, but this is subject to recall biases. The present review synthesises the prospective evidence...

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Main Authors: Rosie H. Taylor, Andrea Ulrichsen, Allan H. Young, Rebecca Strawbridge
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2021-11-01
Series:International Journal of Bipolar Disorders
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40345-021-00237-1
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author Rosie H. Taylor
Andrea Ulrichsen
Allan H. Young
Rebecca Strawbridge
author_facet Rosie H. Taylor
Andrea Ulrichsen
Allan H. Young
Rebecca Strawbridge
author_sort Rosie H. Taylor
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Objectives The early pathogenesis and precursors of Bipolar Disorder (BD) are poorly understood. There is some cross-sectional and retrospective evidence of affective lability as a predictor of BD, but this is subject to recall biases. The present review synthesises the prospective evidence examining affective lability and the subsequent development of BD at follow-up. Methods The authors performed a systematic search of PubMed, PsycInfo and Embase (1960–June 2020) and conducted hand searches to identify studies assessing affective lability (according to a conceptually-inclusive definition) at baseline assessment in individuals without a BD diagnosis, and a longitudinal follow-up assessment of bipolar (spectrum) disorders. Results are reported according to the PRISMA guidelines, and the synthesis without meta-analysis (SWiM) reporting guidelines were used to strengthen the narrative synthesis. The Newcastle–Ottawa Scale was used to assess risk of bias (ROB). Results 11 articles describing 10 studies were included. Being identified as having affective lability at baseline was associated with an increased rate of bipolar diagnoses at follow-up; this association was statistically significant in six of eight studies assessing BD type I/II at follow-up and in all four studies assessing for bipolar spectrum disorder (BSD) criteria. Most studies received a ‘fair’ or ‘poor’ ROB grade. Conclusions Despite a paucity of studies, an overall association between prospectively-identified affective lability and a later diagnosis of BD or BSD is apparent with relative consistency between studies. This association and further longitudinal studies could inform future clinical screening of those who may be at risk of BD, with the potential to improve diagnostic accuracy and facilitate early intervention.
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spelling doaj.art-af23b21484554302884c749f9230e65c2022-12-21T20:47:32ZengSpringerOpenInternational Journal of Bipolar Disorders2194-75112021-11-019111110.1186/s40345-021-00237-1Affective lability as a prospective predictor of subsequent bipolar disorder diagnosis: a systematic reviewRosie H. Taylor0Andrea Ulrichsen1Allan H. Young2Rebecca Strawbridge3Department of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College LondonDepartment of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College LondonDepartment of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College LondonDepartment of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College LondonAbstract Objectives The early pathogenesis and precursors of Bipolar Disorder (BD) are poorly understood. There is some cross-sectional and retrospective evidence of affective lability as a predictor of BD, but this is subject to recall biases. The present review synthesises the prospective evidence examining affective lability and the subsequent development of BD at follow-up. Methods The authors performed a systematic search of PubMed, PsycInfo and Embase (1960–June 2020) and conducted hand searches to identify studies assessing affective lability (according to a conceptually-inclusive definition) at baseline assessment in individuals without a BD diagnosis, and a longitudinal follow-up assessment of bipolar (spectrum) disorders. Results are reported according to the PRISMA guidelines, and the synthesis without meta-analysis (SWiM) reporting guidelines were used to strengthen the narrative synthesis. The Newcastle–Ottawa Scale was used to assess risk of bias (ROB). Results 11 articles describing 10 studies were included. Being identified as having affective lability at baseline was associated with an increased rate of bipolar diagnoses at follow-up; this association was statistically significant in six of eight studies assessing BD type I/II at follow-up and in all four studies assessing for bipolar spectrum disorder (BSD) criteria. Most studies received a ‘fair’ or ‘poor’ ROB grade. Conclusions Despite a paucity of studies, an overall association between prospectively-identified affective lability and a later diagnosis of BD or BSD is apparent with relative consistency between studies. This association and further longitudinal studies could inform future clinical screening of those who may be at risk of BD, with the potential to improve diagnostic accuracy and facilitate early intervention.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40345-021-00237-1Bipolar disorderSystematic reviewAffective labilityMood instabilityProspectivePredictor
spellingShingle Rosie H. Taylor
Andrea Ulrichsen
Allan H. Young
Rebecca Strawbridge
Affective lability as a prospective predictor of subsequent bipolar disorder diagnosis: a systematic review
International Journal of Bipolar Disorders
Bipolar disorder
Systematic review
Affective lability
Mood instability
Prospective
Predictor
title Affective lability as a prospective predictor of subsequent bipolar disorder diagnosis: a systematic review
title_full Affective lability as a prospective predictor of subsequent bipolar disorder diagnosis: a systematic review
title_fullStr Affective lability as a prospective predictor of subsequent bipolar disorder diagnosis: a systematic review
title_full_unstemmed Affective lability as a prospective predictor of subsequent bipolar disorder diagnosis: a systematic review
title_short Affective lability as a prospective predictor of subsequent bipolar disorder diagnosis: a systematic review
title_sort affective lability as a prospective predictor of subsequent bipolar disorder diagnosis a systematic review
topic Bipolar disorder
Systematic review
Affective lability
Mood instability
Prospective
Predictor
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40345-021-00237-1
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AT allanhyoung affectivelabilityasaprospectivepredictorofsubsequentbipolardisorderdiagnosisasystematicreview
AT rebeccastrawbridge affectivelabilityasaprospectivepredictorofsubsequentbipolardisorderdiagnosisasystematicreview