“Oil price shocks and fiscal policy management: Implications for Nigerian economic planning (1980-2009)

High Oil price fluctuations have been a common feature in Nigeria and these have considerably constituted a major source of fiscal policy disturbance to the Nigerian economy as well as the economies of other oil producing countries of the world. The over-reliance on oil production for income generat...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Aremo, A.G., Orisadare, M.A., Ekperiware, C.M
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: International Society for Development and Sustainability (ISDS) 2013-12-01
Series:International Journal of Development and Sustainability
Subjects:
Online Access:http://isdsnet.com/ijds-v1n3-37.pdf
_version_ 1818652219864514560
author Aremo, A.G.
Orisadare, M.A.
Ekperiware, C.M
author_facet Aremo, A.G.
Orisadare, M.A.
Ekperiware, C.M
author_sort Aremo, A.G.
collection DOAJ
description High Oil price fluctuations have been a common feature in Nigeria and these have considerably constituted a major source of fiscal policy disturbance to the Nigerian economy as well as the economies of other oil producing countries of the world. The over-reliance on oil production for income generation combined with local undiversified revenue and export bases is an issue for concern. This has policy implications for economic policy and in particular fiscal policy management. The motivation for this study is to examine the effect of oil price shock on fiscal policy in the country. Using structural vector autoregression (SVAR) methodology, the effects of crude oil price fluctuations on two major key fiscal policy variables (government expenditure (GEXP) and government revenue (GREV)), money supply (MS2) and GDP were examined. The results showed that oil prices have significant effect on fiscal policy in Nigeria within the study period of 1980:1 to 2009:4. The study also revealed that oil price shock affects GREV and GDP first before reflecting on fiscal expenditure. The study suggests strongly that diversification of the economy is necessary in order to minimize the consequences of oil price fluctuations on government revenue, by implication government expenditure planning in the country.
first_indexed 2024-12-17T02:18:32Z
format Article
id doaj.art-af32addf82cb4b559a7978670dc70534
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2186-8662
2186-8662
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-17T02:18:32Z
publishDate 2013-12-01
publisher International Society for Development and Sustainability (ISDS)
record_format Article
series International Journal of Development and Sustainability
spelling doaj.art-af32addf82cb4b559a7978670dc705342022-12-21T22:07:20ZengInternational Society for Development and Sustainability (ISDS)International Journal of Development and Sustainability2186-86622186-86622013-12-011311211139“Oil price shocks and fiscal policy management: Implications for Nigerian economic planning (1980-2009)Aremo, A.G.Orisadare, M.A. Ekperiware, C.MHigh Oil price fluctuations have been a common feature in Nigeria and these have considerably constituted a major source of fiscal policy disturbance to the Nigerian economy as well as the economies of other oil producing countries of the world. The over-reliance on oil production for income generation combined with local undiversified revenue and export bases is an issue for concern. This has policy implications for economic policy and in particular fiscal policy management. The motivation for this study is to examine the effect of oil price shock on fiscal policy in the country. Using structural vector autoregression (SVAR) methodology, the effects of crude oil price fluctuations on two major key fiscal policy variables (government expenditure (GEXP) and government revenue (GREV)), money supply (MS2) and GDP were examined. The results showed that oil prices have significant effect on fiscal policy in Nigeria within the study period of 1980:1 to 2009:4. The study also revealed that oil price shock affects GREV and GDP first before reflecting on fiscal expenditure. The study suggests strongly that diversification of the economy is necessary in order to minimize the consequences of oil price fluctuations on government revenue, by implication government expenditure planning in the country.http://isdsnet.com/ijds-v1n3-37.pdfOil price shockFiscal policyNigerian economic planning
spellingShingle Aremo, A.G.
Orisadare, M.A.
Ekperiware, C.M
“Oil price shocks and fiscal policy management: Implications for Nigerian economic planning (1980-2009)
International Journal of Development and Sustainability
Oil price shock
Fiscal policy
Nigerian economic planning
title “Oil price shocks and fiscal policy management: Implications for Nigerian economic planning (1980-2009)
title_full “Oil price shocks and fiscal policy management: Implications for Nigerian economic planning (1980-2009)
title_fullStr “Oil price shocks and fiscal policy management: Implications for Nigerian economic planning (1980-2009)
title_full_unstemmed “Oil price shocks and fiscal policy management: Implications for Nigerian economic planning (1980-2009)
title_short “Oil price shocks and fiscal policy management: Implications for Nigerian economic planning (1980-2009)
title_sort oil price shocks and fiscal policy management implications for nigerian economic planning 1980 2009
topic Oil price shock
Fiscal policy
Nigerian economic planning
url http://isdsnet.com/ijds-v1n3-37.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT aremoag oilpriceshocksandfiscalpolicymanagementimplicationsfornigerianeconomicplanning19802009
AT orisadarema oilpriceshocksandfiscalpolicymanagementimplicationsfornigerianeconomicplanning19802009
AT ekperiwarecm oilpriceshocksandfiscalpolicymanagementimplicationsfornigerianeconomicplanning19802009