Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Government Debt in South Africa: Evidence to Structural and Cyclical Effect

The purpose of this paper is to examine the fiscal consolidation impact on government debt in South Africa (SA) looking at both structural and cyclical effects. The paper employs the Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) using time-series data from 1990 to 2020 in South Africa. The key contributio...

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Main Author: Eugene Msizi BUTHELEZI
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Tripal Publishing House 2024-01-01
Series:Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ojs.tripaledu.com/jefa/article/view/84
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author Eugene Msizi BUTHELEZI
author_facet Eugene Msizi BUTHELEZI
author_sort Eugene Msizi BUTHELEZI
collection DOAJ
description The purpose of this paper is to examine the fiscal consolidation impact on government debt in South Africa (SA) looking at both structural and cyclical effects. The paper employs the Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) using time-series data from 1990 to 2020 in South Africa. The key contribution of the paper is it with a focus on the effect of fiscal consolidation as well as investigation of the structural and cyclical component effect of government expenditure cut as well as a tax increase in a developing economy like South Africa. We found that government debt falls as of the result of fiscal consolidation achieved through government expenditure cut. The fiscal consolidation of tax increases is better than based on government expenditure cut. The cyclical component of government expenditure increases domestic government debt. This is also found in the structural government expenditure results in an increase in domestic government debt.
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spelling doaj.art-af843465b9d14ede8e9c636166d993b62024-01-11T20:10:13ZengTripal Publishing HouseJournal of Economics and Financial Analysis2521-66272521-66192024-01-017212310.1991/jefa.v7i2.a6062Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Government Debt in South Africa: Evidence to Structural and Cyclical EffectEugene Msizi BUTHELEZI0University of Free StateThe purpose of this paper is to examine the fiscal consolidation impact on government debt in South Africa (SA) looking at both structural and cyclical effects. The paper employs the Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) using time-series data from 1990 to 2020 in South Africa. The key contribution of the paper is it with a focus on the effect of fiscal consolidation as well as investigation of the structural and cyclical component effect of government expenditure cut as well as a tax increase in a developing economy like South Africa. We found that government debt falls as of the result of fiscal consolidation achieved through government expenditure cut. The fiscal consolidation of tax increases is better than based on government expenditure cut. The cyclical component of government expenditure increases domestic government debt. This is also found in the structural government expenditure results in an increase in domestic government debt.https://ojs.tripaledu.com/jefa/article/view/84fiscal consolidationstructural and cyclical fiscal consolidationgovernment debt.
spellingShingle Eugene Msizi BUTHELEZI
Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Government Debt in South Africa: Evidence to Structural and Cyclical Effect
Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis
fiscal consolidation
structural and cyclical fiscal consolidation
government debt.
title Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Government Debt in South Africa: Evidence to Structural and Cyclical Effect
title_full Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Government Debt in South Africa: Evidence to Structural and Cyclical Effect
title_fullStr Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Government Debt in South Africa: Evidence to Structural and Cyclical Effect
title_full_unstemmed Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Government Debt in South Africa: Evidence to Structural and Cyclical Effect
title_short Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Government Debt in South Africa: Evidence to Structural and Cyclical Effect
title_sort impact of fiscal consolidation on government debt in south africa evidence to structural and cyclical effect
topic fiscal consolidation
structural and cyclical fiscal consolidation
government debt.
url https://ojs.tripaledu.com/jefa/article/view/84
work_keys_str_mv AT eugenemsizibuthelezi impactoffiscalconsolidationongovernmentdebtinsouthafricaevidencetostructuralandcyclicaleffect