Development and Evaluation of Ensemble Learning-based Environmental Methane Detection and Intensity Prediction Models

The environmental impacts of global warming driven by methane (CH 4 ) emissions have catalyzed significant research initiatives in developing novel technologies that enable proactive and rapid detection of CH 4 . Several data-driven machine learning (ML) models were tested to determine how well they...

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Main Authors: Reek Majumder, Jacquan Pollard, M Sabbir Salek, David Werth, Gurcan Comert, Adrian Gale, Sakib Mahmud Khan, Samuel Darko, Mashrur Chowdhury
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2024-02-01
Series:Environmental Health Insights
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/11786302241227307
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author Reek Majumder
Jacquan Pollard
M Sabbir Salek
David Werth
Gurcan Comert
Adrian Gale
Sakib Mahmud Khan
Samuel Darko
Mashrur Chowdhury
author_facet Reek Majumder
Jacquan Pollard
M Sabbir Salek
David Werth
Gurcan Comert
Adrian Gale
Sakib Mahmud Khan
Samuel Darko
Mashrur Chowdhury
author_sort Reek Majumder
collection DOAJ
description The environmental impacts of global warming driven by methane (CH 4 ) emissions have catalyzed significant research initiatives in developing novel technologies that enable proactive and rapid detection of CH 4 . Several data-driven machine learning (ML) models were tested to determine how well they identified fugitive CH 4 and its related intensity in the affected areas. Various meteorological characteristics, including wind speed, temperature, pressure, relative humidity, water vapor, and heat flux, were included in the simulation. We used the ensemble learning method to determine the best-performing weighted ensemble ML models built upon several weaker lower-layer ML models to (i) detect the presence of CH 4 as a classification problem and (ii) predict the intensity of CH 4 as a regression problem. The classification model performance for CH 4 detection was evaluated using accuracy, F1 score, Matthew’s Correlation Coefficient (MCC), and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC ROC), with the top-performing model being 97.2%, 0.972, 0.945 and 0.995, respectively. The R  2 score was used to evaluate the regression model performance for CH 4 intensity prediction, with the R  2 score of the best-performing model being 0.858. The ML models developed in this study for fugitive CH 4 detection and intensity prediction can be used with fixed environmental sensors deployed on the ground or with sensors mounted on unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) for mobile detection.
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spelling doaj.art-afdb6c6bd09b4b8ba51a72d3bc4ac62e2024-02-28T10:03:23ZengSAGE PublishingEnvironmental Health Insights1178-63022024-02-011810.1177/11786302241227307Development and Evaluation of Ensemble Learning-based Environmental Methane Detection and Intensity Prediction ModelsReek Majumder0Jacquan Pollard1M Sabbir Salek2David Werth3Gurcan Comert4Adrian Gale5Sakib Mahmud Khan6Samuel Darko7Mashrur Chowdhury8Glenn Department of Civil Engineering, Clemson University, Clemson, SC, USAGlenn Department of Civil Engineering, Clemson University, Clemson, SC, USAGlenn Department of Civil Engineering, Clemson University, Clemson, SC, USASavannah River National Laboratory, Aiken, SC, USAComp. Sci., Phy., and Engineering Department, Benedict College, Columbia, SC, USAComp. Sci., Phy., and Engineering Department, Benedict College, Columbia, SC, USAGlenn Department of Civil Engineering, Clemson University, Clemson, SC, USASchool of Arts and Sciences, Florida Memorial University, Miami Gardens, FL, USAGlenn Department of Civil Engineering, Clemson University, Clemson, SC, USAThe environmental impacts of global warming driven by methane (CH 4 ) emissions have catalyzed significant research initiatives in developing novel technologies that enable proactive and rapid detection of CH 4 . Several data-driven machine learning (ML) models were tested to determine how well they identified fugitive CH 4 and its related intensity in the affected areas. Various meteorological characteristics, including wind speed, temperature, pressure, relative humidity, water vapor, and heat flux, were included in the simulation. We used the ensemble learning method to determine the best-performing weighted ensemble ML models built upon several weaker lower-layer ML models to (i) detect the presence of CH 4 as a classification problem and (ii) predict the intensity of CH 4 as a regression problem. The classification model performance for CH 4 detection was evaluated using accuracy, F1 score, Matthew’s Correlation Coefficient (MCC), and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC ROC), with the top-performing model being 97.2%, 0.972, 0.945 and 0.995, respectively. The R  2 score was used to evaluate the regression model performance for CH 4 intensity prediction, with the R  2 score of the best-performing model being 0.858. The ML models developed in this study for fugitive CH 4 detection and intensity prediction can be used with fixed environmental sensors deployed on the ground or with sensors mounted on unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) for mobile detection.https://doi.org/10.1177/11786302241227307
spellingShingle Reek Majumder
Jacquan Pollard
M Sabbir Salek
David Werth
Gurcan Comert
Adrian Gale
Sakib Mahmud Khan
Samuel Darko
Mashrur Chowdhury
Development and Evaluation of Ensemble Learning-based Environmental Methane Detection and Intensity Prediction Models
Environmental Health Insights
title Development and Evaluation of Ensemble Learning-based Environmental Methane Detection and Intensity Prediction Models
title_full Development and Evaluation of Ensemble Learning-based Environmental Methane Detection and Intensity Prediction Models
title_fullStr Development and Evaluation of Ensemble Learning-based Environmental Methane Detection and Intensity Prediction Models
title_full_unstemmed Development and Evaluation of Ensemble Learning-based Environmental Methane Detection and Intensity Prediction Models
title_short Development and Evaluation of Ensemble Learning-based Environmental Methane Detection and Intensity Prediction Models
title_sort development and evaluation of ensemble learning based environmental methane detection and intensity prediction models
url https://doi.org/10.1177/11786302241227307
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