A Web-based Tool for Identifying Strategic Intervention Points in Complex Systems

Steering a complex system towards a desired outcome is a challenging task. The lack of clarity on the system's exact architecture and the often scarce scientific data upon which to base the operationalisation of the dynamic rules that underpin the interactions between participant entities are t...

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Main Authors: Sotiris Moschoyiannis, Nicholas Elia, Alexandra S. Penn, David J.B. Lloyd, Chris Knight
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Open Publishing Association 2016-07-01
Series:Electronic Proceedings in Theoretical Computer Science
Online Access:http://arxiv.org/pdf/1608.00655v1
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author Sotiris Moschoyiannis
Nicholas Elia
Alexandra S. Penn
David J.B. Lloyd
Chris Knight
author_facet Sotiris Moschoyiannis
Nicholas Elia
Alexandra S. Penn
David J.B. Lloyd
Chris Knight
author_sort Sotiris Moschoyiannis
collection DOAJ
description Steering a complex system towards a desired outcome is a challenging task. The lack of clarity on the system's exact architecture and the often scarce scientific data upon which to base the operationalisation of the dynamic rules that underpin the interactions between participant entities are two contributing factors. We describe an analytical approach that builds on Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping (FCM) to address the latter and represent the system as a complex network. We apply results from network controllability to address the former and determine minimal control configurations - subsets of factors, or system levers, which comprise points for strategic intervention in steering the system. We have implemented the combination of these techniques in an analytical tool that runs in the browser, and generates all minimal control configurations of a complex network. We demonstrate our approach by reporting on our experience of working alongside industrial, local-government, and NGO stakeholders in the Humber region, UK. Our results are applied to the decision-making process involved in the transition of the region to a bio-based economy.
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spelling doaj.art-afdc66af904f4c03a8db9a6699e5cd272022-12-21T20:33:28ZengOpen Publishing AssociationElectronic Proceedings in Theoretical Computer Science2075-21802016-07-01220Proc. Cassting 2016/SynCoP'16395210.4204/EPTCS.220.4:1A Web-based Tool for Identifying Strategic Intervention Points in Complex SystemsSotiris Moschoyiannis0Nicholas Elia1Alexandra S. Penn2David J.B. Lloyd3Chris Knight4 Department of Computer Science, University of Surrey, UK Extended-Content Solutions, London, UK Department of Sociology, University of Surrey, UK Department of Mathematics, University of Surrey, UK Department of Mathematics, University of Surrey, UK Steering a complex system towards a desired outcome is a challenging task. The lack of clarity on the system's exact architecture and the often scarce scientific data upon which to base the operationalisation of the dynamic rules that underpin the interactions between participant entities are two contributing factors. We describe an analytical approach that builds on Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping (FCM) to address the latter and represent the system as a complex network. We apply results from network controllability to address the former and determine minimal control configurations - subsets of factors, or system levers, which comprise points for strategic intervention in steering the system. We have implemented the combination of these techniques in an analytical tool that runs in the browser, and generates all minimal control configurations of a complex network. We demonstrate our approach by reporting on our experience of working alongside industrial, local-government, and NGO stakeholders in the Humber region, UK. Our results are applied to the decision-making process involved in the transition of the region to a bio-based economy.http://arxiv.org/pdf/1608.00655v1
spellingShingle Sotiris Moschoyiannis
Nicholas Elia
Alexandra S. Penn
David J.B. Lloyd
Chris Knight
A Web-based Tool for Identifying Strategic Intervention Points in Complex Systems
Electronic Proceedings in Theoretical Computer Science
title A Web-based Tool for Identifying Strategic Intervention Points in Complex Systems
title_full A Web-based Tool for Identifying Strategic Intervention Points in Complex Systems
title_fullStr A Web-based Tool for Identifying Strategic Intervention Points in Complex Systems
title_full_unstemmed A Web-based Tool for Identifying Strategic Intervention Points in Complex Systems
title_short A Web-based Tool for Identifying Strategic Intervention Points in Complex Systems
title_sort web based tool for identifying strategic intervention points in complex systems
url http://arxiv.org/pdf/1608.00655v1
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