Optimal Temporal Risk Assessment

Time is an essential feature of most decisions. Keeping track of time is adaptive because the reward earned from decisions frequently depends on the temporal statistics of the environment. Accordingly, evolution appears to have favored a mechanism that predicts intervals in the seconds-to-minutes ra...

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Main Authors: Fuat eBalcı, David eFreestone, Patrick eSimen, Laura edeSouza, Jonathan D Cohen, Philip eHolmes
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2011-09-01
Series:Frontiers in Integrative Neuroscience
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fnint.2011.00056/full
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author Fuat eBalcı
Fuat eBalcı
David eFreestone
Patrick eSimen
Laura edeSouza
Jonathan D Cohen
Philip eHolmes
author_facet Fuat eBalcı
Fuat eBalcı
David eFreestone
Patrick eSimen
Laura edeSouza
Jonathan D Cohen
Philip eHolmes
author_sort Fuat eBalcı
collection DOAJ
description Time is an essential feature of most decisions. Keeping track of time is adaptive because the reward earned from decisions frequently depends on the temporal statistics of the environment. Accordingly, evolution appears to have favored a mechanism that predicts intervals in the seconds-to-minutes range with high accuracy on average, but significant variability from trial to trial. Importantly, the subjective sense of time that results is sufficiently imprecise that maximizing rewards can require substantial behavioral adjustments in response to this temporal uncertainty. Reward-maximization in many daily decisions therefore requires optimal temporal risk assessment. Using tasks that entail different decisions and that impose different time constraints on the reward function, we examine temporal risk assessment ability in terms of the degree to which it approaches optimality. We review recent literature and present human and rodent data that strongly support the hypothesis that these animals take normative account of their endogenous timing uncertainty. By incorporating the psychophysics of interval timing into the study of reward maximization, our approach bridges empirical and theoretical gaps between the interval timing and decision making literatures.
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spelling doaj.art-afe4d11c5e81429eb48f24e5063cd2262022-12-21T17:13:02ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Integrative Neuroscience1662-51452011-09-01510.3389/fnint.2011.0005612031Optimal Temporal Risk AssessmentFuat eBalcı0Fuat eBalcı1David eFreestone2Patrick eSimen3Laura edeSouza4Jonathan D Cohen5Philip eHolmes6Princeton UniversityKoç UniversityBrown UniversityPrinceton UniversityPrinceton UniversityPrinceton UniversityPrinceton UniversityTime is an essential feature of most decisions. Keeping track of time is adaptive because the reward earned from decisions frequently depends on the temporal statistics of the environment. Accordingly, evolution appears to have favored a mechanism that predicts intervals in the seconds-to-minutes range with high accuracy on average, but significant variability from trial to trial. Importantly, the subjective sense of time that results is sufficiently imprecise that maximizing rewards can require substantial behavioral adjustments in response to this temporal uncertainty. Reward-maximization in many daily decisions therefore requires optimal temporal risk assessment. Using tasks that entail different decisions and that impose different time constraints on the reward function, we examine temporal risk assessment ability in terms of the degree to which it approaches optimality. We review recent literature and present human and rodent data that strongly support the hypothesis that these animals take normative account of their endogenous timing uncertainty. By incorporating the psychophysics of interval timing into the study of reward maximization, our approach bridges empirical and theoretical gaps between the interval timing and decision making literatures.http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fnint.2011.00056/fullDecision MakingPsychophysicsRisk Assessmentuncertaintyinterval timingoptimality
spellingShingle Fuat eBalcı
Fuat eBalcı
David eFreestone
Patrick eSimen
Laura edeSouza
Jonathan D Cohen
Philip eHolmes
Optimal Temporal Risk Assessment
Frontiers in Integrative Neuroscience
Decision Making
Psychophysics
Risk Assessment
uncertainty
interval timing
optimality
title Optimal Temporal Risk Assessment
title_full Optimal Temporal Risk Assessment
title_fullStr Optimal Temporal Risk Assessment
title_full_unstemmed Optimal Temporal Risk Assessment
title_short Optimal Temporal Risk Assessment
title_sort optimal temporal risk assessment
topic Decision Making
Psychophysics
Risk Assessment
uncertainty
interval timing
optimality
url http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fnint.2011.00056/full
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AT jonathandcohen optimaltemporalriskassessment
AT philipeholmes optimaltemporalriskassessment