Measuring the popularity of football players with Google Trends

Google Trends is a valuable tool for measuring popularity since it collects a large amount of information related to Google searches. However, Google Trends has been underused by sports analysts. This research proposes a novel method to calculate several popularity indicators for predicting players’...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Pilar Malagón-Selma, Ana Debón, Josep Domenech
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2023-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10431623/?tool=EBI
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author Pilar Malagón-Selma
Ana Debón
Josep Domenech
author_facet Pilar Malagón-Selma
Ana Debón
Josep Domenech
author_sort Pilar Malagón-Selma
collection DOAJ
description Google Trends is a valuable tool for measuring popularity since it collects a large amount of information related to Google searches. However, Google Trends has been underused by sports analysts. This research proposes a novel method to calculate several popularity indicators for predicting players’ market value. Google Trends was used to calculate six popularity indicators by requesting information about two football players simultaneously and creating popularity layers to compare players of unequal popularity. In addition, as the main idea is to obtain the popularity indicators of all players on the same scale, a cumulative conversion factor was used to rescale these indicators. The results show that the proposed popularity indicators are essential to predicting a player’s market value. In addition, using the proposed popularity indicators decreases the transfer fee prediction error for three different models that are fitted to the data using the multiple linear regression, random forest, and gradient boosting machine methods. The popularity indicator Min, which is a robust reflection of the popularity that represents a player’s popularity during the periods when they are less popular, is the most important popularity indicator, with a significant effect on the market value. This research provides practical guidance for developing and incorporating the proposed indicators, which could be applied in sports analytics and in any study in which popularity is relevant.
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spelling doaj.art-affbd3527de245019239b684a05f9cb62023-08-27T05:31:55ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032023-01-01188Measuring the popularity of football players with Google TrendsPilar Malagón-SelmaAna DebónJosep DomenechGoogle Trends is a valuable tool for measuring popularity since it collects a large amount of information related to Google searches. However, Google Trends has been underused by sports analysts. This research proposes a novel method to calculate several popularity indicators for predicting players’ market value. Google Trends was used to calculate six popularity indicators by requesting information about two football players simultaneously and creating popularity layers to compare players of unequal popularity. In addition, as the main idea is to obtain the popularity indicators of all players on the same scale, a cumulative conversion factor was used to rescale these indicators. The results show that the proposed popularity indicators are essential to predicting a player’s market value. In addition, using the proposed popularity indicators decreases the transfer fee prediction error for three different models that are fitted to the data using the multiple linear regression, random forest, and gradient boosting machine methods. The popularity indicator Min, which is a robust reflection of the popularity that represents a player’s popularity during the periods when they are less popular, is the most important popularity indicator, with a significant effect on the market value. This research provides practical guidance for developing and incorporating the proposed indicators, which could be applied in sports analytics and in any study in which popularity is relevant.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10431623/?tool=EBI
spellingShingle Pilar Malagón-Selma
Ana Debón
Josep Domenech
Measuring the popularity of football players with Google Trends
PLoS ONE
title Measuring the popularity of football players with Google Trends
title_full Measuring the popularity of football players with Google Trends
title_fullStr Measuring the popularity of football players with Google Trends
title_full_unstemmed Measuring the popularity of football players with Google Trends
title_short Measuring the popularity of football players with Google Trends
title_sort measuring the popularity of football players with google trends
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10431623/?tool=EBI
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