Prediction of attributable mortality in pediatric patients with cancer admitted to the intensive care unit for suspected infection: A comprehensive evaluation of risk scores

Abstract Objective To evaluate the performance of existing sepsis scores for prediction of adverse outcomes in children with cancer admitted to the ICU with suspected sepsis. Design Retrospective chart review using data available at 1, 6, 12, and 24 h after ICU admission to calculate the Pediatric R...

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Main Authors: Zachary Rubnitz, Yilun Sun, Asya Agulnik, Pamela Merritt, Kim Allison, Jose Ferrolino, Ronald Dallas, Li Tang, Joshua Wolf
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-12-01
Series:Cancer Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.6709
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author Zachary Rubnitz
Yilun Sun
Asya Agulnik
Pamela Merritt
Kim Allison
Jose Ferrolino
Ronald Dallas
Li Tang
Joshua Wolf
author_facet Zachary Rubnitz
Yilun Sun
Asya Agulnik
Pamela Merritt
Kim Allison
Jose Ferrolino
Ronald Dallas
Li Tang
Joshua Wolf
author_sort Zachary Rubnitz
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Objective To evaluate the performance of existing sepsis scores for prediction of adverse outcomes in children with cancer admitted to the ICU with suspected sepsis. Design Retrospective chart review using data available at 1, 6, 12, and 24 h after ICU admission to calculate the Pediatric Risk of Mortality 3 (PRISM‐3), Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (pSOFA), Paediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction 2 (PELOD‐2), and Quick Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) scores. Area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) was used to evaluate performance for prediction of attributable mortality. Sensitivity analyses included recalculation of scores using worst preceding values for each variable, excluding hematologic parameters, and prediction of alternative outcomes. Setting St. Jude Children's Research Hospital, a pediatric comprehensive cancer center in the USA. Patients Pediatric patients (<25 years of age) receiving conventional therapy for cancer admitted to the ICU with suspected sepsis between 2013 and 2019. Results Of 207 included episodes of suspected sepsis, attributable mortality was 16 (7.7%) and all evaluated sepsis scores performed poorly (maximal AUROC of 0.73 for qSOFA at 1 and 24 h). Sensitivity analyses did not identify an alternative approach that significantly improved prediction. Conclusions Currently available sepsis scores perform poorly for prediction of attributable mortality in children with cancer who present to ICU with suspected sepsis. More research is needed to identify reliable predictors of adverse outcomes in this population.
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spelling doaj.art-b07d2fb85b2240868aed07834907d8592024-05-03T10:01:16ZengWileyCancer Medicine2045-76342023-12-011223212872129210.1002/cam4.6709Prediction of attributable mortality in pediatric patients with cancer admitted to the intensive care unit for suspected infection: A comprehensive evaluation of risk scoresZachary Rubnitz0Yilun Sun1Asya Agulnik2Pamela Merritt3Kim Allison4Jose Ferrolino5Ronald Dallas6Li Tang7Joshua Wolf8Department of Internal Medicine University of Utah School of Medicine Salt Lake City Utah USADepartment of Biostatistics St. Jude Children's Research Hospital Memphis Tennessee USADepartment of Global Pediatric Medicine St. Jude Children's Research Hospital Memphis Tennessee USADepartment of Infectious Diseases St. Jude Children's Research Hospital Memphis Tennessee USADepartment of Infectious Diseases St. Jude Children's Research Hospital Memphis Tennessee USADepartment of Infectious Diseases St. Jude Children's Research Hospital Memphis Tennessee USADepartment of Infectious Diseases St. Jude Children's Research Hospital Memphis Tennessee USADepartment of Biostatistics St. Jude Children's Research Hospital Memphis Tennessee USADepartment of Infectious Diseases St. Jude Children's Research Hospital Memphis Tennessee USAAbstract Objective To evaluate the performance of existing sepsis scores for prediction of adverse outcomes in children with cancer admitted to the ICU with suspected sepsis. Design Retrospective chart review using data available at 1, 6, 12, and 24 h after ICU admission to calculate the Pediatric Risk of Mortality 3 (PRISM‐3), Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (pSOFA), Paediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction 2 (PELOD‐2), and Quick Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) scores. Area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) was used to evaluate performance for prediction of attributable mortality. Sensitivity analyses included recalculation of scores using worst preceding values for each variable, excluding hematologic parameters, and prediction of alternative outcomes. Setting St. Jude Children's Research Hospital, a pediatric comprehensive cancer center in the USA. Patients Pediatric patients (<25 years of age) receiving conventional therapy for cancer admitted to the ICU with suspected sepsis between 2013 and 2019. Results Of 207 included episodes of suspected sepsis, attributable mortality was 16 (7.7%) and all evaluated sepsis scores performed poorly (maximal AUROC of 0.73 for qSOFA at 1 and 24 h). Sensitivity analyses did not identify an alternative approach that significantly improved prediction. Conclusions Currently available sepsis scores perform poorly for prediction of attributable mortality in children with cancer who present to ICU with suspected sepsis. More research is needed to identify reliable predictors of adverse outcomes in this population.https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.6709childreninfectionneoplasmpredictionsepsis
spellingShingle Zachary Rubnitz
Yilun Sun
Asya Agulnik
Pamela Merritt
Kim Allison
Jose Ferrolino
Ronald Dallas
Li Tang
Joshua Wolf
Prediction of attributable mortality in pediatric patients with cancer admitted to the intensive care unit for suspected infection: A comprehensive evaluation of risk scores
Cancer Medicine
children
infection
neoplasm
prediction
sepsis
title Prediction of attributable mortality in pediatric patients with cancer admitted to the intensive care unit for suspected infection: A comprehensive evaluation of risk scores
title_full Prediction of attributable mortality in pediatric patients with cancer admitted to the intensive care unit for suspected infection: A comprehensive evaluation of risk scores
title_fullStr Prediction of attributable mortality in pediatric patients with cancer admitted to the intensive care unit for suspected infection: A comprehensive evaluation of risk scores
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of attributable mortality in pediatric patients with cancer admitted to the intensive care unit for suspected infection: A comprehensive evaluation of risk scores
title_short Prediction of attributable mortality in pediatric patients with cancer admitted to the intensive care unit for suspected infection: A comprehensive evaluation of risk scores
title_sort prediction of attributable mortality in pediatric patients with cancer admitted to the intensive care unit for suspected infection a comprehensive evaluation of risk scores
topic children
infection
neoplasm
prediction
sepsis
url https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.6709
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