The impacts of COVID-19 lockdown and post-lockdown on homicide and rape in Bangladesh: A dynamic time series analysis
There are studies on crime trend changes during the pandemic lockdown, but very few on homicide and rape instances afterward. This study investigates how lockdown and post-lockdown pandemic situations affect homicide and rape cases in Bangladesh. Initially, the investigation checked the bidirectiona...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2023-09-01
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| Series: | Heliyon |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023072699 |
| _version_ | 1797669724544303104 |
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| author | Md Zobraj Hosen |
| author_facet | Md Zobraj Hosen |
| author_sort | Md Zobraj Hosen |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | There are studies on crime trend changes during the pandemic lockdown, but very few on homicide and rape instances afterward. This study investigates how lockdown and post-lockdown pandemic situations affect homicide and rape cases in Bangladesh. Initially, the investigation checked the bidirectional Granger cause between COVID-19 and the trend of crimes (homicide and rape). The study found a unidirectional Granger cause of COVID-19 in crime trend changes. Further, the study used the ordinary least square (OLS) approach to a dynamic model to produce unbiased, consistent, and efficient conclusions for future policy implications. Compared to the crime rates during normal (pre-pandemic) times, this study found that homicides increased substantially (9.5%) during the lockdown and declined marginally (3.0%) afterward. The rate of rapes dropped considerably (34.3%) during the lockdown, but it rebounded significantly (13.9%) during the post-lockdown pandemic period. This study suggests further investigations of the causes of increased rape cases during the post-lockdown pandemic period in the country. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-11T20:48:41Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-b0aed3711af7497f8997754b26888618 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2405-8440 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-11T20:48:41Z |
| publishDate | 2023-09-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Heliyon |
| spelling | doaj.art-b0aed3711af7497f8997754b268886182023-10-01T06:02:26ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402023-09-0199e20061The impacts of COVID-19 lockdown and post-lockdown on homicide and rape in Bangladesh: A dynamic time series analysisMd Zobraj Hosen0Police Headquarters, Bangladesh Police, Dhaka, BangladeshThere are studies on crime trend changes during the pandemic lockdown, but very few on homicide and rape instances afterward. This study investigates how lockdown and post-lockdown pandemic situations affect homicide and rape cases in Bangladesh. Initially, the investigation checked the bidirectional Granger cause between COVID-19 and the trend of crimes (homicide and rape). The study found a unidirectional Granger cause of COVID-19 in crime trend changes. Further, the study used the ordinary least square (OLS) approach to a dynamic model to produce unbiased, consistent, and efficient conclusions for future policy implications. Compared to the crime rates during normal (pre-pandemic) times, this study found that homicides increased substantially (9.5%) during the lockdown and declined marginally (3.0%) afterward. The rate of rapes dropped considerably (34.3%) during the lockdown, but it rebounded significantly (13.9%) during the post-lockdown pandemic period. This study suggests further investigations of the causes of increased rape cases during the post-lockdown pandemic period in the country.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023072699COVID-19PandemicLockdownHomicideRape |
| spellingShingle | Md Zobraj Hosen The impacts of COVID-19 lockdown and post-lockdown on homicide and rape in Bangladesh: A dynamic time series analysis Heliyon COVID-19 Pandemic Lockdown Homicide Rape |
| title | The impacts of COVID-19 lockdown and post-lockdown on homicide and rape in Bangladesh: A dynamic time series analysis |
| title_full | The impacts of COVID-19 lockdown and post-lockdown on homicide and rape in Bangladesh: A dynamic time series analysis |
| title_fullStr | The impacts of COVID-19 lockdown and post-lockdown on homicide and rape in Bangladesh: A dynamic time series analysis |
| title_full_unstemmed | The impacts of COVID-19 lockdown and post-lockdown on homicide and rape in Bangladesh: A dynamic time series analysis |
| title_short | The impacts of COVID-19 lockdown and post-lockdown on homicide and rape in Bangladesh: A dynamic time series analysis |
| title_sort | impacts of covid 19 lockdown and post lockdown on homicide and rape in bangladesh a dynamic time series analysis |
| topic | COVID-19 Pandemic Lockdown Homicide Rape |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023072699 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT mdzobrajhosen theimpactsofcovid19lockdownandpostlockdownonhomicideandrapeinbangladeshadynamictimeseriesanalysis AT mdzobrajhosen impactsofcovid19lockdownandpostlockdownonhomicideandrapeinbangladeshadynamictimeseriesanalysis |