Predictors of prolonged weaning among mechanically ventilated patients in respiratory intensive care unit

Background Weaning has been classified into simple, difficult, and prolonged. Objective The aim of this study was to assess predictors of prolonged weaning (PW) and survival in the respiratory ICU (RICU). Patients and methods Fifty-three patients admitted to RICU and requiring mechanical ventilation...

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Main Authors: Hamdy A Mohammadien, Mostafa I Ali, Mona T Hussien, Doaa G Hassanin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wolters Kluwer Medknow Publications 2019-01-01
Series:Egyptian Journal of Chest Disease and Tuberculosis
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.ejcdt.eg.net/article.asp?issn=0422-7638;year=2019;volume=68;issue=4;spage=526;epage=535;aulast=Mohammadien
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author Hamdy A Mohammadien
Mostafa I Ali
Mona T Hussien
Doaa G Hassanin
author_facet Hamdy A Mohammadien
Mostafa I Ali
Mona T Hussien
Doaa G Hassanin
author_sort Hamdy A Mohammadien
collection DOAJ
description Background Weaning has been classified into simple, difficult, and prolonged. Objective The aim of this study was to assess predictors of prolonged weaning (PW) and survival in the respiratory ICU (RICU). Patients and methods Fifty-three patients admitted to RICU and requiring mechanical ventilation (MV) were included in the study. According to the classification of weaning, patients were categorized into simple [20 (37.7%)], difficult [20 (37.7%)], and PW [13 (24.5%)]. Factors associated with PW and outcomes were assessed. Results Multiple factors were associated with PW: decreased serum Ca2+ (P<0.0001), Mg2+(P<0.0001), and albumin (P=0.001); increased urea (P=0.001), aspartate aminotransferase (P=0.0005), and alanine aminotransferase (P=0.0001); increased PaCO2 (P=0.04); decreased SaO2% (P<0.0001) at beginning of the first weaning trial; at least 2 comorbidities (P=0.02); increased duration of MV (P<0.0001); and increased ICU stay (P<0.0001). There was no significant association between PW and modes of MV (P=0.2); moreover, alveolar–arterial gradient decreased in patients with PW but was not significant (P=0.57). By multivariate analysis, PW was associated with low serum Mg2+ (odds ratio: 0.03, 95% confidence interval: 0.003–0.24, P=0.001), and SaO2% change (between baseline and first weaning trial) (odds ratio: 0.68, 95% confidence interval: 0.54–1.04, P=0.03). Regarding baseline serum Mg2+ and tidal volume, the cutoff point for predicting PW was less than or equal to 1.5 mg/dl and less than or equal to 6.3 ml/kg body weight, respectively, with sensitivity of 61.5 and 77%, respectively, specificity of 92.5 and 55%, respectively, positive predictive value of 72.7 and 36%, respectively, negative predictive value of 88.1 and 88%, respectively, accuracy of 77 and 66%, respectively, and P values of less than 0.0001 and less than 0.02, respectively. The cutoff points of PaCO2 of at least 49 mmHg and SaO2% of less than or equal to 91 at beginning of the first weaning trial and SaO2% change of at least 5 (between baseline and first weaning trial) were strongly associated with PW (P˂0.02, ˂0.0001, and ˂0.003, respectively). PW was significantly associated with mortality (P<0.0001). Conclusion PW was associated with multiple factors; when subjected to multivariate analysis, only serum Mg2+ and SaO2% change (between baseline and first weaning trial) significantly predict PW. Increased ICU stay and mortality were significantly associated with PW. Clinical implications Prolonged MV is associated with higher frequency of tracheostomy, reintubation, longer ICU stay, and poor outcome. Detection and correction of PW associated factors may improve the outcome.
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spelling doaj.art-b0da407520154584af1376d75260acf62022-12-22T01:12:58ZengWolters Kluwer Medknow PublicationsEgyptian Journal of Chest Disease and Tuberculosis0422-76382090-99502019-01-0168452653510.4103/ejcdt.ejcdt_186_18Predictors of prolonged weaning among mechanically ventilated patients in respiratory intensive care unitHamdy A MohammadienMostafa I AliMona T HussienDoaa G HassaninBackground Weaning has been classified into simple, difficult, and prolonged. Objective The aim of this study was to assess predictors of prolonged weaning (PW) and survival in the respiratory ICU (RICU). Patients and methods Fifty-three patients admitted to RICU and requiring mechanical ventilation (MV) were included in the study. According to the classification of weaning, patients were categorized into simple [20 (37.7%)], difficult [20 (37.7%)], and PW [13 (24.5%)]. Factors associated with PW and outcomes were assessed. Results Multiple factors were associated with PW: decreased serum Ca2+ (P<0.0001), Mg2+(P<0.0001), and albumin (P=0.001); increased urea (P=0.001), aspartate aminotransferase (P=0.0005), and alanine aminotransferase (P=0.0001); increased PaCO2 (P=0.04); decreased SaO2% (P<0.0001) at beginning of the first weaning trial; at least 2 comorbidities (P=0.02); increased duration of MV (P<0.0001); and increased ICU stay (P<0.0001). There was no significant association between PW and modes of MV (P=0.2); moreover, alveolar–arterial gradient decreased in patients with PW but was not significant (P=0.57). By multivariate analysis, PW was associated with low serum Mg2+ (odds ratio: 0.03, 95% confidence interval: 0.003–0.24, P=0.001), and SaO2% change (between baseline and first weaning trial) (odds ratio: 0.68, 95% confidence interval: 0.54–1.04, P=0.03). Regarding baseline serum Mg2+ and tidal volume, the cutoff point for predicting PW was less than or equal to 1.5 mg/dl and less than or equal to 6.3 ml/kg body weight, respectively, with sensitivity of 61.5 and 77%, respectively, specificity of 92.5 and 55%, respectively, positive predictive value of 72.7 and 36%, respectively, negative predictive value of 88.1 and 88%, respectively, accuracy of 77 and 66%, respectively, and P values of less than 0.0001 and less than 0.02, respectively. The cutoff points of PaCO2 of at least 49 mmHg and SaO2% of less than or equal to 91 at beginning of the first weaning trial and SaO2% change of at least 5 (between baseline and first weaning trial) were strongly associated with PW (P˂0.02, ˂0.0001, and ˂0.003, respectively). PW was significantly associated with mortality (P<0.0001). Conclusion PW was associated with multiple factors; when subjected to multivariate analysis, only serum Mg2+ and SaO2% change (between baseline and first weaning trial) significantly predict PW. Increased ICU stay and mortality were significantly associated with PW. Clinical implications Prolonged MV is associated with higher frequency of tracheostomy, reintubation, longer ICU stay, and poor outcome. Detection and correction of PW associated factors may improve the outcome.http://www.ejcdt.eg.net/article.asp?issn=0422-7638;year=2019;volume=68;issue=4;spage=526;epage=535;aulast=Mohammadienintensive care unitmechanical ventilationprolonged weaningrespiratory intensive care unitweaning
spellingShingle Hamdy A Mohammadien
Mostafa I Ali
Mona T Hussien
Doaa G Hassanin
Predictors of prolonged weaning among mechanically ventilated patients in respiratory intensive care unit
Egyptian Journal of Chest Disease and Tuberculosis
intensive care unit
mechanical ventilation
prolonged weaning
respiratory intensive care unit
weaning
title Predictors of prolonged weaning among mechanically ventilated patients in respiratory intensive care unit
title_full Predictors of prolonged weaning among mechanically ventilated patients in respiratory intensive care unit
title_fullStr Predictors of prolonged weaning among mechanically ventilated patients in respiratory intensive care unit
title_full_unstemmed Predictors of prolonged weaning among mechanically ventilated patients in respiratory intensive care unit
title_short Predictors of prolonged weaning among mechanically ventilated patients in respiratory intensive care unit
title_sort predictors of prolonged weaning among mechanically ventilated patients in respiratory intensive care unit
topic intensive care unit
mechanical ventilation
prolonged weaning
respiratory intensive care unit
weaning
url http://www.ejcdt.eg.net/article.asp?issn=0422-7638;year=2019;volume=68;issue=4;spage=526;epage=535;aulast=Mohammadien
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