Cryptocurrency Portfolio Selection—A Multicriteria Approach

This paper proposes the PROMETHEE II based multicriteria approach for cryptocurrency portfolio selection. Such an approach allows considering a number of variables important for cryptocurrencies rather than limiting them to the commonly employed return and risk. The proposed multiobjective decision...

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Main Authors: Zdravka Aljinović, Branka Marasović, Tea Šestanović
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-07-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/14/1677
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author Zdravka Aljinović
Branka Marasović
Tea Šestanović
author_facet Zdravka Aljinović
Branka Marasović
Tea Šestanović
author_sort Zdravka Aljinović
collection DOAJ
description This paper proposes the PROMETHEE II based multicriteria approach for cryptocurrency portfolio selection. Such an approach allows considering a number of variables important for cryptocurrencies rather than limiting them to the commonly employed return and risk. The proposed multiobjective decision making model gives the best cryptocurrency portfolio considering the daily return, standard deviation, value-at-risk, conditional value-at-risk, volume, market capitalization and attractiveness of nine cryptocurrencies from January 2017 to February 2020. The optimal portfolios are calculated at the first of each month by taking the previous 6 months of daily data for the calculations yielding with 32 optimal portfolios in 32 successive months. The out-of-sample performances of the proposed model are compared with five commonly used optimal portfolio models, i.e., naïve portfolio, two mean-variance models (in the middle and at the end of the efficient frontier), maximum Sharpe ratio and the middle of the mean-CVaR (conditional value-at-risk) efficient frontier, based on the average return, standard deviation and VaR (value-at-risk) of the returns in the next 30 days and the return in the next trading day for all portfolios on 32 dates. The proposed model wins against all other models according to all observed indicators, with the winnings spanning from 50% up to 94%, proving the benefits of employing more criteria and the appropriate multicriteria approach in the cryptocurrency portfolio selection process.
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spelling doaj.art-b125e30d76494dec88ad94562e6fab4a2023-11-22T04:20:29ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902021-07-01914167710.3390/math9141677Cryptocurrency Portfolio Selection—A Multicriteria ApproachZdravka Aljinović0Branka Marasović1Tea Šestanović2Faculty of Economics, Business and Tourism, University of Split, 21000 Split, CroatiaFaculty of Economics, Business and Tourism, University of Split, 21000 Split, CroatiaFaculty of Economics, Business and Tourism, University of Split, 21000 Split, CroatiaThis paper proposes the PROMETHEE II based multicriteria approach for cryptocurrency portfolio selection. Such an approach allows considering a number of variables important for cryptocurrencies rather than limiting them to the commonly employed return and risk. The proposed multiobjective decision making model gives the best cryptocurrency portfolio considering the daily return, standard deviation, value-at-risk, conditional value-at-risk, volume, market capitalization and attractiveness of nine cryptocurrencies from January 2017 to February 2020. The optimal portfolios are calculated at the first of each month by taking the previous 6 months of daily data for the calculations yielding with 32 optimal portfolios in 32 successive months. The out-of-sample performances of the proposed model are compared with five commonly used optimal portfolio models, i.e., naïve portfolio, two mean-variance models (in the middle and at the end of the efficient frontier), maximum Sharpe ratio and the middle of the mean-CVaR (conditional value-at-risk) efficient frontier, based on the average return, standard deviation and VaR (value-at-risk) of the returns in the next 30 days and the return in the next trading day for all portfolios on 32 dates. The proposed model wins against all other models according to all observed indicators, with the winnings spanning from 50% up to 94%, proving the benefits of employing more criteria and the appropriate multicriteria approach in the cryptocurrency portfolio selection process.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/14/1677cryptocurrencyportfolio selectionreturn and risk measuresmarket capitalizationvolumeattractiveness
spellingShingle Zdravka Aljinović
Branka Marasović
Tea Šestanović
Cryptocurrency Portfolio Selection—A Multicriteria Approach
Mathematics
cryptocurrency
portfolio selection
return and risk measures
market capitalization
volume
attractiveness
title Cryptocurrency Portfolio Selection—A Multicriteria Approach
title_full Cryptocurrency Portfolio Selection—A Multicriteria Approach
title_fullStr Cryptocurrency Portfolio Selection—A Multicriteria Approach
title_full_unstemmed Cryptocurrency Portfolio Selection—A Multicriteria Approach
title_short Cryptocurrency Portfolio Selection—A Multicriteria Approach
title_sort cryptocurrency portfolio selection a multicriteria approach
topic cryptocurrency
portfolio selection
return and risk measures
market capitalization
volume
attractiveness
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/14/1677
work_keys_str_mv AT zdravkaaljinovic cryptocurrencyportfolioselectionamulticriteriaapproach
AT brankamarasovic cryptocurrencyportfolioselectionamulticriteriaapproach
AT teasestanovic cryptocurrencyportfolioselectionamulticriteriaapproach