The Unemployment Invariant Hypothesis: Heterogeneous Panel Cointegration Evidence from U.S. State Level Data

We explore the long-run relationship between the unemployment rate and the labor force participation rates for United States over the period of 1976 to 2015. We use U.S. state level data and panel cointegration techniques that are robust to cross sectional heterogeneity, cross-sectional dependency,...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Mercy Laita Palamuleni
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2017-01-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/3239
Description
Summary:We explore the long-run relationship between the unemployment rate and the labor force participation rates for United States over the period of 1976 to 2015. We use U.S. state level data and panel cointegration techniques that are robust to cross sectional heterogeneity, cross-sectional dependency, omitted variable bias and endogeniety issues. We find evidence that on average these two variables are cointegrated and are inversely related. Similar to studies that employ U.S. country level data, this study further questions the empirical relevance of the unemployment invariant hypothesis for the case of the United States. Keywords: Unemployment rate; Unemployment invariant hypothesis; panel cointegration JEL Classifications: E24, J60
ISSN:2146-4138