Possible Serological Markers to Predict Mortality in Acute Exacerbation of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

<i>Background and objectives:</i> Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) has a particularly poor prognosis, and most IPF-related deaths are due to acute exacerbation (AE) of this condition. Few reports about biomarkers to predict prognosis of AE-IPF have been published since the release of...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yoshimasa Hachisu, Keisuke Murata, Kousuke Takei, Takuma Tsuchiya, Hiroaki Tsurumaki, Yasuhiko Koga, Takeo Horie, Atsushi Takise, Takeshi Hisada
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-05-01
Series:Medicina
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1010-660X/55/5/132
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Summary:<i>Background and objectives:</i> Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) has a particularly poor prognosis, and most IPF-related deaths are due to acute exacerbation (AE) of this condition. Few reports about biomarkers to predict prognosis of AE-IPF have been published since the release of the new AE-IPF criteria in 2016. The present study investigated relationships between serological markers and in-hospital mortality after the onset of AE-IPF. <i>Methods:</i> Demographic, serological, and imaging data from patients hospitalized at the Maebashi Red Cross Hospital (Gunma, Japan) between 1 January 2013, and 31 December 2017, were retrospectively reviewed. Subjects fulfilling the diagnostic criteria for AE-IPF were divided into those who survived or died; statistical analysis of risk factors was performed using data from these two groups. <i>Results:</i> Diagnostic criteria for AE-IPF were fulfilled by 84 patients (59 males (70.2%)), with a median age of 78 years (range, 56&#8211;95 years). IPF was diagnosed before hospitalization in 50 (59.5%) patients and 38 (45.2%) died in hospital. Among the serological markers at hospitalization in the deceased group, C-reactive protein (CRP) was significantly higher than in the survivor group (<i>p</i> = 0.002), while total serum protein (<i>p</i> = 0.031), albumin (<i>p</i> = 0.047) and total cholesterol (<i>p</i> = 0.039) were significantly lower. Cox hazard analysis of factors predicting mortality, corrected for age, sex and BMI, revealed the following: CRP (hazard ratio (HR) 1.080 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.022&#8211;1.141); <i>p</i> = 0.006), LDH (HR 1.003 (95% CI 1.000&#8211;1.006); <i>p</i> = 0.037), and total cholesterol (HR 0.985 (95% CI 0.972&#8211;0.997); <i>p</i> = 0.018). <i>Conclusions:</i> Our data suggest that CRP, LDH, and total cholesterol may be biomarkers predicting mortality in patients with AE-IPF. However, only prospective controlled studies can confirm or not our observation as a generalizable one.
ISSN:1010-660X