Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing
ABSTRACT In Brazil and elsewhere in the world, diagnoses of deindustrialization are concentrated in aggregate manufacturing, so policies can be ineffective if deindustrialization has a sector-specific component. This study quantifies and analyses deindustrialization for the individualised manufactur...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Editora 34
2023-05-01
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Series: | Brazilian Journal of Political Economy |
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Online Access: | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-31572023000200418&tlng=en |
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author | PAULO CÉSAR MORCEIRO JOAQUIM JOSÉ MARTINS GUILHOTO |
author_facet | PAULO CÉSAR MORCEIRO JOAQUIM JOSÉ MARTINS GUILHOTO |
author_sort | PAULO CÉSAR MORCEIRO |
collection | DOAJ |
description | ABSTRACT In Brazil and elsewhere in the world, diagnoses of deindustrialization are concentrated in aggregate manufacturing, so policies can be ineffective if deindustrialization has a sector-specific component. This study quantifies and analyses deindustrialization for the individualised manufacturing sub-sectors. To do this, unpublished series of the manufacturing sub-sectors’ share in the Brazilian GDP from 1970 to 2016 were created, based on official IBGE data. The results show that the manufacturing sub-sectors have deindustrialised at different intensities and periods of aggregate manufacturing, and a sub-sectoral approach reveals traces ignored by the literature on the quality of deindustrialization. We conclude that the Brazilian deindustrialization is normal (and expected) for the labour-intensive manufacturing sub-sectors, but premature (and undesirable) for the technology-intensive sub-sectors. Therefore, Brazilian deindustrialization has negative consequences for the country’s future scientific and technological development. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-09T13:42:59Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-b1918a881cf543e68715d5ac2079b874 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1809-4538 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-09T13:42:59Z |
publishDate | 2023-05-01 |
publisher | Editora 34 |
record_format | Article |
series | Brazilian Journal of Political Economy |
spelling | doaj.art-b1918a881cf543e68715d5ac2079b8742023-05-09T07:31:48ZengEditora 34Brazilian Journal of Political Economy1809-45382023-05-0143241844110.1590/0101-31572023-3340Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturingPAULO CÉSAR MORCEIROhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9548-0996JOAQUIM JOSÉ MARTINS GUILHOTOhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7098-1209ABSTRACT In Brazil and elsewhere in the world, diagnoses of deindustrialization are concentrated in aggregate manufacturing, so policies can be ineffective if deindustrialization has a sector-specific component. This study quantifies and analyses deindustrialization for the individualised manufacturing sub-sectors. To do this, unpublished series of the manufacturing sub-sectors’ share in the Brazilian GDP from 1970 to 2016 were created, based on official IBGE data. The results show that the manufacturing sub-sectors have deindustrialised at different intensities and periods of aggregate manufacturing, and a sub-sectoral approach reveals traces ignored by the literature on the quality of deindustrialization. We conclude that the Brazilian deindustrialization is normal (and expected) for the labour-intensive manufacturing sub-sectors, but premature (and undesirable) for the technology-intensive sub-sectors. Therefore, Brazilian deindustrialization has negative consequences for the country’s future scientific and technological development.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-31572023000200418&tlng=enSectoral deindustrializationindustrial developmentsectoral heterogeneitystructural change |
spellingShingle | PAULO CÉSAR MORCEIRO JOAQUIM JOSÉ MARTINS GUILHOTO Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing Brazilian Journal of Political Economy Sectoral deindustrialization industrial development sectoral heterogeneity structural change |
title | Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing |
title_full | Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing |
title_fullStr | Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing |
title_full_unstemmed | Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing |
title_short | Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing |
title_sort | sectoral deindustrialization and long run stagnation of brazilian manufacturing |
topic | Sectoral deindustrialization industrial development sectoral heterogeneity structural change |
url | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-31572023000200418&tlng=en |
work_keys_str_mv | AT paulocesarmorceiro sectoraldeindustrializationandlongrunstagnationofbrazilianmanufacturing AT joaquimjosemartinsguilhoto sectoraldeindustrializationandlongrunstagnationofbrazilianmanufacturing |