Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing

ABSTRACT In Brazil and elsewhere in the world, diagnoses of deindustrialization are concentrated in aggregate manufacturing, so policies can be ineffective if deindustrialization has a sector-specific component. This study quantifies and analyses deindustrialization for the individualised manufactur...

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Main Authors: PAULO CÉSAR MORCEIRO, JOAQUIM JOSÉ MARTINS GUILHOTO
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Editora 34 2023-05-01
Series:Brazilian Journal of Political Economy
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-31572023000200418&tlng=en
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author PAULO CÉSAR MORCEIRO
JOAQUIM JOSÉ MARTINS GUILHOTO
author_facet PAULO CÉSAR MORCEIRO
JOAQUIM JOSÉ MARTINS GUILHOTO
author_sort PAULO CÉSAR MORCEIRO
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT In Brazil and elsewhere in the world, diagnoses of deindustrialization are concentrated in aggregate manufacturing, so policies can be ineffective if deindustrialization has a sector-specific component. This study quantifies and analyses deindustrialization for the individualised manufacturing sub-sectors. To do this, unpublished series of the manufacturing sub-sectors’ share in the Brazilian GDP from 1970 to 2016 were created, based on official IBGE data. The results show that the manufacturing sub-sectors have deindustrialised at different intensities and periods of aggregate manufacturing, and a sub-sectoral approach reveals traces ignored by the literature on the quality of deindustrialization. We conclude that the Brazilian deindustrialization is normal (and expected) for the labour-intensive manufacturing sub-sectors, but premature (and undesirable) for the technology-intensive sub-sectors. Therefore, Brazilian deindustrialization has negative consequences for the country’s future scientific and technological development.
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spelling doaj.art-b1918a881cf543e68715d5ac2079b8742023-05-09T07:31:48ZengEditora 34Brazilian Journal of Political Economy1809-45382023-05-0143241844110.1590/0101-31572023-3340Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturingPAULO CÉSAR MORCEIROhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9548-0996JOAQUIM JOSÉ MARTINS GUILHOTOhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7098-1209ABSTRACT In Brazil and elsewhere in the world, diagnoses of deindustrialization are concentrated in aggregate manufacturing, so policies can be ineffective if deindustrialization has a sector-specific component. This study quantifies and analyses deindustrialization for the individualised manufacturing sub-sectors. To do this, unpublished series of the manufacturing sub-sectors’ share in the Brazilian GDP from 1970 to 2016 were created, based on official IBGE data. The results show that the manufacturing sub-sectors have deindustrialised at different intensities and periods of aggregate manufacturing, and a sub-sectoral approach reveals traces ignored by the literature on the quality of deindustrialization. We conclude that the Brazilian deindustrialization is normal (and expected) for the labour-intensive manufacturing sub-sectors, but premature (and undesirable) for the technology-intensive sub-sectors. Therefore, Brazilian deindustrialization has negative consequences for the country’s future scientific and technological development.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-31572023000200418&tlng=enSectoral deindustrializationindustrial developmentsectoral heterogeneitystructural change
spellingShingle PAULO CÉSAR MORCEIRO
JOAQUIM JOSÉ MARTINS GUILHOTO
Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy
Sectoral deindustrialization
industrial development
sectoral heterogeneity
structural change
title Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing
title_full Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing
title_fullStr Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing
title_full_unstemmed Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing
title_short Sectoral deindustrialization and long-run stagnation of Brazilian manufacturing
title_sort sectoral deindustrialization and long run stagnation of brazilian manufacturing
topic Sectoral deindustrialization
industrial development
sectoral heterogeneity
structural change
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-31572023000200418&tlng=en
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