Spatial multi-criteria decision analysis for the selection of sentinel regions in tick-borne disease surveillance

Abstract Background The implementation of cost-effective surveillance systems is essential for tracking the emerging risk of tick-borne diseases. In Canada, where Lyme disease is a growing public health concern, a national sentinel surveillance network was designed to follow the epidemiological port...

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Main Authors: C. Guillot, C. Aenishaenslin, E. S. Acheson, J. Koffi, C. Bouchard, P. A. Leighton
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2024-01-01
Series:BMC Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-17684-x
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author C. Guillot
C. Aenishaenslin
E. S. Acheson
J. Koffi
C. Bouchard
P. A. Leighton
author_facet C. Guillot
C. Aenishaenslin
E. S. Acheson
J. Koffi
C. Bouchard
P. A. Leighton
author_sort C. Guillot
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The implementation of cost-effective surveillance systems is essential for tracking the emerging risk of tick-borne diseases. In Canada, where Lyme disease is a growing public health concern, a national sentinel surveillance network was designed to follow the epidemiological portrait of this tick-borne disease across the country. The surveillance network consists of sentinel regions, with active drag sampling carried out annually in all regions to assess the density of Ixodes spp. ticks and prevalence of various tick-borne pathogens in the tick population. The aim of the present study was to prioritize sentinel regions by integrating different spatial criteria relevant to the surveillance goals. Methods We used spatially-explicit multi-criteria decision analyses (MCDA) to map priority areas for surveillance across Canada, and to evaluate different scenarios using sensitivity analyses. Results were shared with stakeholders to support their decision making for the selection of priority areas to survey during active surveillance activities. Results Weights attributed to criteria by decision-makers were overall consistent. Sensitivity analyses showed that the population criterion had the most impact on rankings. Thirty-seven sentinel regions were identified across Canada using this systematic and transparent approach. Conclusion This novel application of spatial MCDA to surveillance network design favors inclusivity of nationwide partners. We propose that such an approach can support the standardized planning of spatial design of sentinel surveillance not only for vector-borne disease BDs, but more broadly for infectious disease surveillance where spatial design is an important component.
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spelling doaj.art-b1d41f14797145b593cd386ba397fa482024-03-05T17:08:24ZengBMCBMC Public Health1471-24582024-01-0124111110.1186/s12889-024-17684-xSpatial multi-criteria decision analysis for the selection of sentinel regions in tick-borne disease surveillanceC. Guillot0C. Aenishaenslin1E. S. Acheson2J. Koffi3C. Bouchard4P. A. Leighton5Groupe de recherche en épidémiologie des zoonoses et santé publique (GREZOSP), Department of Pathology and Microbiology, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of MontrealGroupe de recherche en épidémiologie des zoonoses et santé publique (GREZOSP), Department of Pathology and Microbiology, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of MontrealGroupe de recherche en épidémiologie des zoonoses et santé publique (GREZOSP), Department of Pathology and Microbiology, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of MontrealGroupe de recherche en épidémiologie des zoonoses et santé publique (GREZOSP), Department of Pathology and Microbiology, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of MontrealGroupe de recherche en épidémiologie des zoonoses et santé publique (GREZOSP), Department of Pathology and Microbiology, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of MontrealGroupe de recherche en épidémiologie des zoonoses et santé publique (GREZOSP), Department of Pathology and Microbiology, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of MontrealAbstract Background The implementation of cost-effective surveillance systems is essential for tracking the emerging risk of tick-borne diseases. In Canada, where Lyme disease is a growing public health concern, a national sentinel surveillance network was designed to follow the epidemiological portrait of this tick-borne disease across the country. The surveillance network consists of sentinel regions, with active drag sampling carried out annually in all regions to assess the density of Ixodes spp. ticks and prevalence of various tick-borne pathogens in the tick population. The aim of the present study was to prioritize sentinel regions by integrating different spatial criteria relevant to the surveillance goals. Methods We used spatially-explicit multi-criteria decision analyses (MCDA) to map priority areas for surveillance across Canada, and to evaluate different scenarios using sensitivity analyses. Results were shared with stakeholders to support their decision making for the selection of priority areas to survey during active surveillance activities. Results Weights attributed to criteria by decision-makers were overall consistent. Sensitivity analyses showed that the population criterion had the most impact on rankings. Thirty-seven sentinel regions were identified across Canada using this systematic and transparent approach. Conclusion This novel application of spatial MCDA to surveillance network design favors inclusivity of nationwide partners. We propose that such an approach can support the standardized planning of spatial design of sentinel surveillance not only for vector-borne disease BDs, but more broadly for infectious disease surveillance where spatial design is an important component.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-17684-xSentinel surveillanceLyme diseaseLyme borreliosisMulti-criteria decision analysisVector-borne diseasesPublic health decision-making
spellingShingle C. Guillot
C. Aenishaenslin
E. S. Acheson
J. Koffi
C. Bouchard
P. A. Leighton
Spatial multi-criteria decision analysis for the selection of sentinel regions in tick-borne disease surveillance
BMC Public Health
Sentinel surveillance
Lyme disease
Lyme borreliosis
Multi-criteria decision analysis
Vector-borne diseases
Public health decision-making
title Spatial multi-criteria decision analysis for the selection of sentinel regions in tick-borne disease surveillance
title_full Spatial multi-criteria decision analysis for the selection of sentinel regions in tick-borne disease surveillance
title_fullStr Spatial multi-criteria decision analysis for the selection of sentinel regions in tick-borne disease surveillance
title_full_unstemmed Spatial multi-criteria decision analysis for the selection of sentinel regions in tick-borne disease surveillance
title_short Spatial multi-criteria decision analysis for the selection of sentinel regions in tick-borne disease surveillance
title_sort spatial multi criteria decision analysis for the selection of sentinel regions in tick borne disease surveillance
topic Sentinel surveillance
Lyme disease
Lyme borreliosis
Multi-criteria decision analysis
Vector-borne diseases
Public health decision-making
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-17684-x
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