Credit Rating Inflation during the 2000s: Lessons from the U.S. State Governments

The recent subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 was considered as resulted partly from the credit rating inflation of subprime mortgage bonds. The credit rating market of state governments may face the same risk of credit rating inflation as that witnessed during the recent recession. In this paper, we...

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Main Authors: Sungchan Kim, Soyoung Park
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2016-03-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/32008/353634?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturk
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author Sungchan Kim
Soyoung Park
author_facet Sungchan Kim
Soyoung Park
author_sort Sungchan Kim
collection DOAJ
description The recent subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 was considered as resulted partly from the credit rating inflation of subprime mortgage bonds. The credit rating market of state governments may face the same risk of credit rating inflation as that witnessed during the recent recession. In this paper, we attempt to examine whether the credit ratings of state governments are inflated, and whether they are accurately reflected in financial or economic conditions. By using a data set from 1999 to 2010, we find that some credit rating agencies don’t reflect financial or economic conditions of state governments appropriately and statistically, and we prove that some credit rating results are affected by characteristics other than financial or economic factors in boom years. Thus, in order to prevent the governmental bond markets from similar credit rating risks in 2008, it needs to investigate whether credit ratings of state governments are inflated.
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spelling doaj.art-b1d9bf47c5564cc0a8a318c77cd3b2bd2023-02-15T16:13:31ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382016-03-016113191032Credit Rating Inflation during the 2000s: Lessons from the U.S. State GovernmentsSungchan KimSoyoung ParkThe recent subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 was considered as resulted partly from the credit rating inflation of subprime mortgage bonds. The credit rating market of state governments may face the same risk of credit rating inflation as that witnessed during the recent recession. In this paper, we attempt to examine whether the credit ratings of state governments are inflated, and whether they are accurately reflected in financial or economic conditions. By using a data set from 1999 to 2010, we find that some credit rating agencies don’t reflect financial or economic conditions of state governments appropriately and statistically, and we prove that some credit rating results are affected by characteristics other than financial or economic factors in boom years. Thus, in order to prevent the governmental bond markets from similar credit rating risks in 2008, it needs to investigate whether credit ratings of state governments are inflated.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/32008/353634?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturkcredit rating inflation state governments credit rating agency bond ratings
spellingShingle Sungchan Kim
Soyoung Park
Credit Rating Inflation during the 2000s: Lessons from the U.S. State Governments
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
credit rating inflation
state governments
credit rating agency
bond ratings
title Credit Rating Inflation during the 2000s: Lessons from the U.S. State Governments
title_full Credit Rating Inflation during the 2000s: Lessons from the U.S. State Governments
title_fullStr Credit Rating Inflation during the 2000s: Lessons from the U.S. State Governments
title_full_unstemmed Credit Rating Inflation during the 2000s: Lessons from the U.S. State Governments
title_short Credit Rating Inflation during the 2000s: Lessons from the U.S. State Governments
title_sort credit rating inflation during the 2000s lessons from the u s state governments
topic credit rating inflation
state governments
credit rating agency
bond ratings
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/32008/353634?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturk
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AT soyoungpark creditratinginflationduringthe2000slessonsfromtheusstategovernments