Temporal and spatial evolution of embodied carbon transfer network in the context of the domestic economic cycle

Under accelerated domestic economic cycle, it is significant to predict the embodied carbon transfer network (ECTNs) to identify key emission regions to improve emission reduction efficiency. Based on the existing China Multi-regional Input-Output Table (CMRIOs) for 2002, 2007, 2010, 2012, 2015 and...

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Main Authors: Xiaoyun Zhang, Feng Dong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2023-12-01
Series:Carbon Management
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17583004.2023.2176005
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author Xiaoyun Zhang
Feng Dong
author_facet Xiaoyun Zhang
Feng Dong
author_sort Xiaoyun Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Under accelerated domestic economic cycle, it is significant to predict the embodied carbon transfer network (ECTNs) to identify key emission regions to improve emission reduction efficiency. Based on the existing China Multi-regional Input-Output Table (CMRIOs) for 2002, 2007, 2010, 2012, 2015 and 2017, the CMRIOs for 2002-2017 were updated, then the ECTNs were predicted and constructed from 2018 to 2025 through Particle Swarm Optimization- Support Vector Model. Finally, the spatial and temporal evolution trends of the ECTNs’ features were explored through complex networks analysis. The results showed that carbon leakage between provinces has been becoming increasingly serious. The small-world features of the ECTNs were becoming increasingly obvious. The distribution of provinces with great influence on carbon transfer was transferred from north to south, and then to the central region. Hebei, Jiangsu, Henan, Zhejiang, Inner Mongolia, and other resource-intensive and manufacturing provinces played an important "bridge" role in the trade between economic developed and developing provinces. Trade ties between non neighboring provinces have become increasingly close, which means the development of China’s integration has strengthened. This study provides a theoretical reference for the formulation of China’s overall carbon emission reduction policy.
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spelling doaj.art-b1f003ee9ff940ab890907744af2b80b2023-09-21T15:09:07ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCarbon Management1758-30041758-30122023-12-0114110.1080/17583004.2023.21760052176005Temporal and spatial evolution of embodied carbon transfer network in the context of the domestic economic cycleXiaoyun Zhang0Feng Dong1School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and TechnologySchool of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and TechnologyUnder accelerated domestic economic cycle, it is significant to predict the embodied carbon transfer network (ECTNs) to identify key emission regions to improve emission reduction efficiency. Based on the existing China Multi-regional Input-Output Table (CMRIOs) for 2002, 2007, 2010, 2012, 2015 and 2017, the CMRIOs for 2002-2017 were updated, then the ECTNs were predicted and constructed from 2018 to 2025 through Particle Swarm Optimization- Support Vector Model. Finally, the spatial and temporal evolution trends of the ECTNs’ features were explored through complex networks analysis. The results showed that carbon leakage between provinces has been becoming increasingly serious. The small-world features of the ECTNs were becoming increasingly obvious. The distribution of provinces with great influence on carbon transfer was transferred from north to south, and then to the central region. Hebei, Jiangsu, Henan, Zhejiang, Inner Mongolia, and other resource-intensive and manufacturing provinces played an important "bridge" role in the trade between economic developed and developing provinces. Trade ties between non neighboring provinces have become increasingly close, which means the development of China’s integration has strengthened. This study provides a theoretical reference for the formulation of China’s overall carbon emission reduction policy.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17583004.2023.2176005domestic economic cycleembodied carbon transfercomplex networkstemporal and spatial evolution trend
spellingShingle Xiaoyun Zhang
Feng Dong
Temporal and spatial evolution of embodied carbon transfer network in the context of the domestic economic cycle
Carbon Management
domestic economic cycle
embodied carbon transfer
complex networks
temporal and spatial evolution trend
title Temporal and spatial evolution of embodied carbon transfer network in the context of the domestic economic cycle
title_full Temporal and spatial evolution of embodied carbon transfer network in the context of the domestic economic cycle
title_fullStr Temporal and spatial evolution of embodied carbon transfer network in the context of the domestic economic cycle
title_full_unstemmed Temporal and spatial evolution of embodied carbon transfer network in the context of the domestic economic cycle
title_short Temporal and spatial evolution of embodied carbon transfer network in the context of the domestic economic cycle
title_sort temporal and spatial evolution of embodied carbon transfer network in the context of the domestic economic cycle
topic domestic economic cycle
embodied carbon transfer
complex networks
temporal and spatial evolution trend
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17583004.2023.2176005
work_keys_str_mv AT xiaoyunzhang temporalandspatialevolutionofembodiedcarbontransfernetworkinthecontextofthedomesticeconomiccycle
AT fengdong temporalandspatialevolutionofembodiedcarbontransfernetworkinthecontextofthedomesticeconomiccycle