Seasonal Shift of Storm Surges in the Yangtze Estuary, China
This study explores storm floods in the Yangtze Estuary to investigate how extreme sea levels and storm surges change in the context of global warming. Previous studies focused on the long-term variations in amplitude or frequency of storm surges, with limited research conducted on the timing of ext...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2024-02-01
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| Series: | Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/12/2/277 |
| _version_ | 1797297826426781696 |
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| author | Chengtuan Yin Weisheng Zhang Mengjie Xiong Jinhua Wang Xin Xu Jinshan Zhang Junning Pan Jinlan Guo |
| author_facet | Chengtuan Yin Weisheng Zhang Mengjie Xiong Jinhua Wang Xin Xu Jinshan Zhang Junning Pan Jinlan Guo |
| author_sort | Chengtuan Yin |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This study explores storm floods in the Yangtze Estuary to investigate how extreme sea levels and storm surges change in the context of global warming. Previous studies focused on the long-term variations in amplitude or frequency of storm surges, with limited research conducted on the timing of extreme storm surge events. Based on the methods of non-stationary extreme value theory, we explored the last 33-year tidal levels at Xuliujing Station and found that the annual extreme water level has exhibited a slight downward trend, which is directly attributed to the decrease in mean sea level resulting from reduced upstream river flow. The storm surge season of the Yangtze Estuary experienced a significant lag in the period 2005–2018, which is not restricted to the Yangtze Estuary but is rather a large-scale climate characteristic of a broad oceanic region. The reason for this shift is the sustained increase in the intensity of the western Pacific subtropical high in the last 15 years, leading to the appearance of low-pressure channels in the East China Sea in September and October and thus causing more typhoons to enter the East China Sea during the later period of the storm surge season. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T22:25:59Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-b23febbddd9c4cfe9c742d393558aee2 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2077-1312 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-07T22:25:59Z |
| publishDate | 2024-02-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
| spelling | doaj.art-b23febbddd9c4cfe9c742d393558aee22024-02-23T15:23:11ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122024-02-0112227710.3390/jmse12020277Seasonal Shift of Storm Surges in the Yangtze Estuary, ChinaChengtuan Yin0Weisheng Zhang1Mengjie Xiong2Jinhua Wang3Xin Xu4Jinshan Zhang5Junning Pan6Jinlan Guo7The National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, ChinaThe National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, ChinaThe National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, ChinaThe National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, ChinaHydrological and Water Resources Geological Bureau of Yangtze Estuary, Shanghai 200136, ChinaThe National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, ChinaThe National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, ChinaMacao Environmental Research Institute, Macau University of Science and Technology, Macau 999078, ChinaThis study explores storm floods in the Yangtze Estuary to investigate how extreme sea levels and storm surges change in the context of global warming. Previous studies focused on the long-term variations in amplitude or frequency of storm surges, with limited research conducted on the timing of extreme storm surge events. Based on the methods of non-stationary extreme value theory, we explored the last 33-year tidal levels at Xuliujing Station and found that the annual extreme water level has exhibited a slight downward trend, which is directly attributed to the decrease in mean sea level resulting from reduced upstream river flow. The storm surge season of the Yangtze Estuary experienced a significant lag in the period 2005–2018, which is not restricted to the Yangtze Estuary but is rather a large-scale climate characteristic of a broad oceanic region. The reason for this shift is the sustained increase in the intensity of the western Pacific subtropical high in the last 15 years, leading to the appearance of low-pressure channels in the East China Sea in September and October and thus causing more typhoons to enter the East China Sea during the later period of the storm surge season.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/12/2/277storm surgesurge season shiftextreme value theorysubtropical highthe Yangtze Estuary |
| spellingShingle | Chengtuan Yin Weisheng Zhang Mengjie Xiong Jinhua Wang Xin Xu Jinshan Zhang Junning Pan Jinlan Guo Seasonal Shift of Storm Surges in the Yangtze Estuary, China Journal of Marine Science and Engineering storm surge surge season shift extreme value theory subtropical high the Yangtze Estuary |
| title | Seasonal Shift of Storm Surges in the Yangtze Estuary, China |
| title_full | Seasonal Shift of Storm Surges in the Yangtze Estuary, China |
| title_fullStr | Seasonal Shift of Storm Surges in the Yangtze Estuary, China |
| title_full_unstemmed | Seasonal Shift of Storm Surges in the Yangtze Estuary, China |
| title_short | Seasonal Shift of Storm Surges in the Yangtze Estuary, China |
| title_sort | seasonal shift of storm surges in the yangtze estuary china |
| topic | storm surge surge season shift extreme value theory subtropical high the Yangtze Estuary |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/12/2/277 |
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